Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x09f44907a18d831fc4a203b59c5ef61829a19f14ffaea60e0412bdd6db5ba2b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PARIVISIONof Team Nemesis, PARIVISION
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $174,556
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $218,261
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,556 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf201…527ebacked Team Nemesis | 19c | 17,288$3,293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,292.5 | 325 | 49.8%162 W · 163 L | +23.9wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION | 77c | 15,107$11,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,506.68 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 10,107$2,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,650 | 1,202 | 59.3%713 W · 489 L | +64.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 6,786$1,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,584.84 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Nemesis | 17c | 5,825$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,009.66 | 510 | 49%250 W · 260 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 5,237$1,032 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,031.93 | 802 | 56%449 W · 353 L | +22.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 4,712$942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$942.49 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION | 75c | 4,133$3,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.92 | 1,821 | 45%820 W · 1,001 L | +33.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION | 76c | 3,970$3,009 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$961.19 | 1,036 | 47.2%489 W · 547 L | +15.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 3,260$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.35 | 198 | 47%93 W · 105 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 3,159$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,876$2,237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.46 | 1,155 | 47.8%552 W · 603 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 2,742$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.04 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,610$2,036 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574.2 | 953 | 42.2%402 W · 551 L | -20.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…2442backed PARIVISION | 79c | 2,517$1,991 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$525.76 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,500$1,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625 | 885 | 39.7%351 W · 534 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 2,443$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.77 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe872…819abacked PARIVISION | 78c | 2,333$1,820 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.33 | 223 | 40.4%90 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed PARIVISION | 73c | 2,227$1,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$601.17 | 290 | 42.1%122 W · 168 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 2,199$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490.12 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc746…3943backed PARIVISION | 75c | 2,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Nemesis | 12c | 2,000$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 181 | 43.6%79 W · 102 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 1,836$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.29 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1365…c82abacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 1,832$411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410.56 | 614 | 56%344 W · 270 L | +13.5wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958c…a328backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 1,759$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.34 | 283 | 47%133 W · 150 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 1,598$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.84 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed Team Nemesis | 19c | 1,578$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.82 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 1,486$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.28 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3fc7…62b9backed PARIVISION | 80c | 1,400$1,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.2 | 654 | 41.9%274 W · 380 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…56efbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 1,300$1,027 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273 | 565 | 42.8%242 W · 323 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION | 76c | 946.54$719 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.39 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x450e…4fddbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 915.83$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.38 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 861$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.03 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 787.53$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 195 | 47.7%93 W · 102 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd65…5726backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 785.56$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.14 | 117 | 53%62 W · 55 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis | 10c | 771.7$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.57 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa599…5230backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 768.12$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION | 78c | 698.72$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.73 | 515 | 44.9%231 W · 284 L | +40.9wins | +0.08per pick | 37cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdc7d…8895backed PARIVISION | 77c | 650.97$498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 282 | 52.5%148 W · 134 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43dc…86e1backed Team Nemesis | 18c | 569.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 242 | 44.6%108 W · 134 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 514.65$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.74 | 253 | 59.3%150 W · 103 L | +15.4wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa033…4938backed PARIVISION | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -3.7wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Nemesis | 24c | 472.5$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.7 | 395 | 50.1%198 W · 197 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x180c…cd04backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 450$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117 | 437 | 38.4%168 W · 269 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 428$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.45 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis | 9c | 409.95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.38 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb36f…53d0backed PARIVISION | 74c | 406.76$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.76 | 209 | 49.8%104 W · 105 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked PARIVISION | 76c | 391.91$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.56 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec96…f5d7backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 387.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.15 | 372 | 53%197 W · 175 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed PARIVISION | 80c | 317$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.4 | 75 | 46.7%35 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 300$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.1 | 962 | 45.5%438 W · 524 L | +22.1wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7437…142dbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 300$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc03b…21e2backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 276.43$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.23 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked PARIVISION | 79c | 260.16$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.33 | 892 | 38.1%340 W · 552 L | -42.7wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…ccfebacked PARIVISION | 79c | 250$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.5 | 546 | 59.7%326 W · 220 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…8440backed Team Nemesis | 30c | 250$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.82 | 94 | 55.3%52 W · 42 L | +11.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe61a…292dbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 230.78$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.63 | 225 | 58.2%131 W · 94 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 225$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.87 | 377 | 45.4%171 W · 206 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION | 80c | 217$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.4 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ea8…0491backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 212.28$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.72 | 240 | 41.3%99 W · 141 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 1,248 | 44.4%554 W · 694 L | +17.0wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…200abacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 187.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 180 | 46.1%83 W · 97 L | -7.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 181.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.92 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 179.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 485 | 39.2%190 W · 295 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59e2…1c55backed PARIVISION | 74c | 175$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 475 | 48%228 W · 247 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x024c…5fa1backed PARIVISION | 80c | 173.71$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 136 | 35.3%48 W · 88 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 171.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea8…ea3cbacked Team Nemesis | 15c | 161.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 150$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 117 | 33.3%39 W · 78 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c3c…2377backed Team Nemesis | 20c | 149.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION | 77c | 140$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.2 | 881 | 66.7%588 W · 293 L | +76.3wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbda…d2c0backed PARIVISION | 79c | 139.24$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.24 | 108 | 70.4%76 W · 32 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56cc…d589backed Team Nemesis | 25c | 122.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 274 | 59.5%163 W · 111 L | +12.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb4d…d388backed Team Nemesis | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 96 | 45.8%44 W · 52 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed PARIVISION | 75c | 119.57$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.89 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Nemesis | 14c | 117.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 264 | 45.1%119 W · 145 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad22…014abacked Team Nemesis | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 473 | 58.6%277 W · 196 L | +25.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadc2…401dbacked Team Nemesis | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 102 | 61.8%63 W · 39 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…b50bbacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7511…7fb5backed Team Nemesis | 15c | 98.27$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 94 | 44.7%42 W · 52 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION | 78c | 97.08$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.36 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…19abbacked Team Nemesis | 16c | 93.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 115 | 3.5%4 W · 111 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 10cpaid | -88.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x07b1…b027backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 92$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.72 | 140 | 43.6%61 W · 79 L | +7.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis | 14c | 90.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.73 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1025…fbfabacked Team Nemesis | 21c | 87.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.47 | 302 | 55.3%167 W · 135 L | +10.5wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f85…e91abacked PARIVISION | 75c | 80$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Nemesis | 22c | 75.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 300 | 54.7%164 W · 136 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9942…dcd0backed PARIVISION | 74c | 73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +111.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe489…8804backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 70$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 143 | 49%70 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26c6…1e14backed Team Nemesis | 22c | 65.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 42 | 47.6%20 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d60…be72backed Team Nemesis | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 199 | 49.2%98 W · 101 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Team Nemesis | 21c | 60.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 282 | 52.1%147 W · 135 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdaee…8559backed Team Nemesis | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe559…b262backed PARIVISION | 76c | 56.49$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.56 | 76 | 35.5%27 W · 49 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Team Nemesis | 24c | 48.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.69 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…5facbacked Team Nemesis | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 268 | 48.9%131 W · 137 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c87…516bbacked PARIVISION | 76c | 38.72$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.29 | 159 | 61%97 W · 62 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION (BO2) - Esports World Cup Group CPARIVISION won
- Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 2 WinnerPARIVISION won
- Game 1: Any Player Rampage?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.