TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Dota2 · resolved market

Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs PARIVISION - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
PARIVISIONof Team Nemesis, PARIVISION
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$174,556
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$218,261

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $174,556 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Dota2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xf201…527ebacked Team Nemesis19c17,288$3,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,292.532549.8%162 W · 163 L+23.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xef62…cf76backed PARIVISION77c15,107$11,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,506.6843344.8%194 W · 239 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3ce…a57abacked Team Nemesis26c10,107$2,650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6501,20259.3%713 W · 489 L+64.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x3a09…f9f7backed Team Nemesis23c6,786$1,585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,584.8456955.5%316 W · 253 L+22.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc0f5…3d04backed Team Nemesis17c5,825$1,010 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,009.6651049%250 W · 260 L-0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3b0…329ebacked Team Nemesis20c5,237$1,032 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,031.9380256%449 W · 353 L+22.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2146…d41bbacked Team Nemesis20c4,712$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.4989741.5%372 W · 525 L+22.7wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked PARIVISION75c4,133$3,079 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,053.921,82145%820 W · 1,001 L+33.5wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d39…6053backed PARIVISION76c3,970$3,009 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.191,03647.2%489 W · 547 L+15.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Team Nemesis24c3,260$782 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$782.3519847%93 W · 105 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5789…6407backed Team Nemesis16c3,159$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004223.8%10 W · 32 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick33cpaid-34.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x3471…f17ebacked PARIVISION78c2,876$2,237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.461,15547.8%552 W · 603 L+29.5wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xce08…510bbacked Team Nemesis22c2,742$611 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$611.0435951.3%184 W · 175 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31a4…7afcbacked PARIVISION78c2,610$2,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.295342.2%402 W · 551 L-20.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x31cb…2442backed PARIVISION79c2,517$1,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$525.763043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-14.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x80ba…2e78backed PARIVISION75c2,500$1,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62588539.7%351 W · 534 L+7.7wins+0.01per pick39cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…165bbacked Team Nemesis15c2,443$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.771,27533.5%427 W · 848 L-15.6wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-18.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe872…819abacked PARIVISION78c2,333$1,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.3322340.4%90 W · 133 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick44cpaid-14.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb234…1c20backed PARIVISION73c2,227$1,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601.1729042.1%122 W · 168 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x183f…85e3backed Team Nemesis22c2,199$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490.1215848.1%76 W · 82 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc746…3943backed PARIVISION75c2,000$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5006440.6%26 W · 38 L-5.5wins-0.09per pick49cpaid-22.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x048f…9992backed Team Nemesis1c2,000$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202110.5%1 W · 210 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-99.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x53e9…5ef8backed Team Nemesis12c2,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25018143.6%79 W · 102 L+7.1wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+5.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Team Nemesis14c1,836$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.292,82843.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L-39.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1365…c82abacked Team Nemesis22c1,832$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5661456%344 W · 270 L+13.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x958c…a328backed Team Nemesis26c1,759$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.3428347%133 W · 150 L+10.9wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Team Nemesis26c1,598$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$420.8425143.4%109 W · 142 L-5.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Team Nemesis19c1,578$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.8241455.6%230 W · 184 L+41.4wins+0.10per pick46cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa14c…23a1backed Team Nemesis25c1,486$364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$364.2835151.3%180 W · 171 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3fc7…62b9backed PARIVISION80c1,400$1,116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$284.265441.9%274 W · 380 L-1.3wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…56efbacked PARIVISION79c1,300$1,027 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27356542.8%242 W · 323 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed PARIVISION76c946.54$719 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.3945750.8%232 W · 225 L+14.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-5.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x450e…4fddbacked Team Nemesis22c915.83$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.3811758.1%68 W · 49 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6b97…8d30backed Team Nemesis23c861$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.0336248.6%176 W · 186 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa0b…2debbacked Team Nemesis15c787.53$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11819547.7%93 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xcd65…5726backed Team Nemesis22c785.56$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.1411753%62 W · 55 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Team Nemesis10c771.7$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.571,28045%576 W · 704 L-12.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-15%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa599…5230backed Team Nemesis21c768.12$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1609156%51 W · 40 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x703b…e371backed PARIVISION78c698.72$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.7351544.9%231 W · 284 L+40.9wins+0.08per pick37cpaid+3.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xdc7d…8895backed PARIVISION77c650.97$498 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.5228252.5%148 W · 134 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x43dc…86e1backed Team Nemesis18c569.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024244.6%108 W · 134 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff7…bf32backed Team Nemesis21c514.65$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.7425359.3%150 W · 103 L+15.4wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa033…4938backed PARIVISION80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1002737%10 W · 17 L-3.7wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Team Nemesis24c472.5$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.739550.1%198 W · 197 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Team Nemesis26c450$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11743738.4%168 W · 269 L-1.8wins0.00per pick39cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Team Nemesis23c428$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.4541050.2%206 W · 204 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x904e…0becbacked Team Nemesis9c409.95$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.381,45848.5%707 W · 751 L+27.0wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-14.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb36f…53d0backed PARIVISION74c406.76$301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7620949.8%104 W · 105 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x443c…d83abacked PARIVISION76c391.91$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.5625851.2%132 W · 126 L-5.9wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec96…f5d7backed Team Nemesis26c387.08$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.1537253%197 W · 175 L+14.8wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed PARIVISION80c317$254 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.47546.7%35 W · 40 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Team Nemesis26c300$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.196245.5%438 W · 524 L+22.1wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7437…142dbacked PARIVISION79c300$237 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$631070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+18.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc03b…21e2backed Team Nemesis16c276.43$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.232733.3%9 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-11.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked PARIVISION79c260.16$205 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.3389238.1%340 W · 552 L-42.7wins-0.05per pick43cpaid-33.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x15d1…ccfebacked PARIVISION79c250$198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.554659.7%326 W · 220 L+6.9wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcd6a…fdbbbacked Team Nemesis20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507454.1%40 W · 34 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed Team Nemesis20c250$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,57743.9%692 W · 885 L-10.4wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9417…8440backed Team Nemesis30c250$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.829455.3%52 W · 42 L+11.1wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe61a…292dbacked Team Nemesis21c230.78$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6322558.2%131 W · 94 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8cfc…4f30backed Team Nemesis22c225$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.8737745.4%171 W · 206 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5de7…5417backed PARIVISION80c217$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.447951.8%248 W · 231 L+17.7wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ea8…0491backed Team Nemesis14c212.28$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.7224041.3%99 W · 141 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe76d…5a75backed PARIVISION80c200$160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401,24844.4%554 W · 694 L+17.0wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee45…200abacked Team Nemesis16c187.5$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3018046.1%83 W · 97 L-7.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2e3c…08babacked Team Nemesis14c181.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.921,70241.2%701 W · 1,001 L-44.0wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-26.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Team Nemesis14c179.8$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2548539.2%190 W · 295 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-10.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59e2…1c55backed PARIVISION74c175$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.547548%228 W · 247 L-10.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x024c…5fa1backed PARIVISION80c173.71$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7413635.3%48 W · 88 L-6.5wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-16.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1943…1561backed Team Nemesis14c171.73$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2445352.1%236 W · 217 L+13.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1ea8…ea3cbacked Team Nemesis15c161.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$255425.9%14 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-26.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Team Nemesis14c150$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2111733.3%39 W · 78 L-5.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c3c…2377backed Team Nemesis20c149.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301747.1%8 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed10…15edbacked PARIVISION77c140$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.288166.7%588 W · 293 L+76.3wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+12.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xcbda…d2c0backed PARIVISION79c139.24$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.2410870.4%76 W · 32 L+5.4wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x56cc…d589backed Team Nemesis25c122.2$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5527459.5%163 W · 111 L+12.9wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…d388backed Team Nemesis23c120$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.59645.8%44 W · 52 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid-3.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdf7c…4c16backed PARIVISION75c119.57$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.8912136.4%44 W · 77 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Team Nemesis14c117.56$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.4626445.1%119 W · 145 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad22…014abacked Team Nemesis18c100$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1847358.6%277 W · 196 L+25.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadc2…401dbacked Team Nemesis20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010261.8%63 W · 39 L+5.3wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x88fa…b50bbacked Team Nemesis21c99.99$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216237.1%23 W · 39 L+2.5wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7511…7fb5backed Team Nemesis15c98.27$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159444.7%42 W · 52 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x149a…49d0backed PARIVISION78c97.08$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.3650769.2%351 W · 156 L+33.7wins+0.07per pick63cpaid+10.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe881…19abbacked Team Nemesis16c93.5$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.961153.5%4 W · 111 L-7.0wins-0.06per pick10cpaid-88.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x07b1…b027backed Team Nemesis16c92$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7214043.6%61 W · 79 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Team Nemesis14c90.94$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7365647.3%310 W · 346 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1025…fbfabacked Team Nemesis21c87.95$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.4730255.3%167 W · 135 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f85…e91abacked PARIVISION75c80$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2011452.6%60 W · 54 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid0%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6fb2…bd2dbacked Team Nemesis22c75.5$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9330054.7%164 W · 136 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9942…dcd0backed PARIVISION74c73$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.986100%6 W · 0 L+2.7wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+111.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe489…8804backed Team Nemesis21c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.714349%70 W · 73 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26c6…1e14backed Team Nemesis22c65.96$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.74247.6%20 W · 22 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d60…be72backed Team Nemesis16c62.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1019949.2%98 W · 101 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x69fa…e259backed Team Nemesis21c60.57$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7228252.1%147 W · 135 L-6.5wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdaee…8559backed Team Nemesis26c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.618356.8%104 W · 79 L+0.9wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe559…b262backed PARIVISION76c56.49$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.567635.5%27 W · 49 L-6.2wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-27.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Team Nemesis24c48.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6941351.8%214 W · 199 L+1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x772b…5facbacked Team Nemesis26c40$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.426848.9%131 W · 137 L-7.6wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-13.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c87…516bbacked PARIVISION76c38.72$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.2915961%97 W · 62 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick59cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.