Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfe7a65e05570c89ad858f257a2773cc0b37f0f01d460978d708755083198aa31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rune Eatersof Rune Eaters, Xtreme Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $308,966
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $361,800
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $308,966 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 272 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Rune Eaters | 49c | 25,873$12,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,279.41 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2146…d41bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 34c | 21,000$7,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,239.43 | 897 | 41.5%372 W · 525 L | +22.7wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd06c…cdafbacked Xtreme Gaming | 40c | 20,110$7,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,970.46 | 1,186 | 43.2%512 W · 674 L | +42.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…f9f7backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 18,941$14,769 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,769.4 | 569 | 55.5%316 W · 253 L | +22.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Rune Eaters | 42c | 10,376$4,361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,015 | 1,823 | 45.1%822 W · 1,001 L | +34.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3413…8ff2backed Rune Eaters | 21c | 10,000$2,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,906.28 | 476 | 46.4%221 W · 255 L | +27.2wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe16d…5e30backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 7,900$5,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,601 | 1,210 | 57.1%691 W · 519 L | +44.5wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 7,096$1,988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.51 | 457 | 50.8%232 W · 225 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe548…a9febacked Rune Eaters | 22c | 6,882$1,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,367.6 | 74 | 35.1%26 W · 48 L | -6.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1943…1561backed Rune Eaters | 72c | 5,142$3,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,415.99 | 453 | 52.1%236 W · 217 L | +13.8wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 4,924$1,379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,544.95 | 894 | 40.3%360 W · 534 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe922…39b3backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 4,500$3,465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,464.99 | 413 | 51.8%214 W · 199 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 4,434$3,459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,458.68 | 293 | 48.5%142 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa14c…23a1backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 3,916$3,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,079.99 | 351 | 51.3%180 W · 171 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc50c…fe5dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 18c | 3,766$671 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$670.81 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Rune Eaters | 48c | 3,750$1,807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,943.37 | 2,834 | 43.6%1,236 W · 1,598 L | -39.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5789…6407backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 3,445$1,998 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,446.97 | 42 | 23.8%10 W · 32 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 33cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb2…5c04backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 71 | 2.8%2 W · 69 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0e1…b9b4backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 2,980$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,380.43 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce08…510bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 2,973$2,327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,327.35 | 359 | 51.3%184 W · 175 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb635…bef0backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,923$657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,265.63 | 303 | 36.6%111 W · 192 L | -18.4wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c8f…4d12backed Rune Eaters | 70c | 2,857$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.14 | 350 | 62.6%219 W · 131 L | +44.4wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked Rune Eaters | 52c | 2,816$1,471 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,344.93 | 1,280 | 45%576 W · 704 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6373…a0b7backed Rune Eaters | 38c | 2,784$1,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,714.53 | 148 | 25%37 W · 111 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Rune Eaters | 41c | 2,716$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.19 | 470 | 46.6%219 W · 251 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Rune Eaters | 56c | 2,672$1,508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,164.05 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4e…9d89backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 2,600$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,028 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +45.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3752…2f08backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 2,359$542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,816.88 | 345 | 42.3%146 W · 199 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd93b…cd48backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 2,223$1,756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,756.17 | 96 | 44.8%43 W · 53 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef62…cf76backed Rune Eaters | 64c | 2,212$1,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.09 | 433 | 44.8%194 W · 239 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2d…2b35backed Rune Eaters | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 536 | 52.6%282 W · 254 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x048f…9992backed Xtreme Gaming | 1c | 2,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 211 | 0.5%1 W · 210 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -99.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaeb…9ec2backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 2,000$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.38 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 1,828$1,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437.82 | 158 | 48.1%76 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75a…1ab2backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 1,731$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.57 | 400 | 14.8%59 W · 341 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf0a…320abacked Rune Eaters | 53c | 1,700$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$790.92 | 921 | 56.5%520 W · 401 L | +78.5wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,449$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,028.79 | 781 | 41.2%322 W · 459 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x96a8…6107backed Rune Eaters | 29c | 1,375$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$975.26 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a77…e59dbacked Rune Eaters | 40c | 1,353$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$813.18 | 220 | 31.8%70 W · 150 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f40…c8ffbacked Rune Eaters | 64c | 1,300$832 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.22 | 310 | 52.6%163 W · 147 L | +15.3wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcdd…73a5backed Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 1,281$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 158 | 39.9%63 W · 95 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rune Eaters | 51c | 1,267$652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.51 | 915 | 53.3%488 W · 427 L | +48.0wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 1,233$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$956.89 | 1,577 | 43.9%692 W · 885 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x287b…7b88backed Xtreme Gaming | 17c | 1,214$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.45 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd24c…3f33backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 1,211$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$887.27 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Xtreme Gaming | 53c | 1,165$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.37 | 1,707 | 41.2%704 W · 1,003 L | -43.5wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3135…f6c3backed Rune Eaters | 53c | 1,132$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.08 | 120 | 65.8%79 W · 41 L | +15.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +25%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbca8…cf14backed Xtreme Gaming | 78c | 1,049$818 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$818.2 | 252 | 48.8%123 W · 129 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9bb7…7028backed Rune Eaters | 80c | 1,046$836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.76 | 68 | 39.7%27 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b34…e95dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 9c | 1,034$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.6 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0758…9532backed Xtreme Gaming | 55c | 1,001$551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550.55 | 184 | 37.5%69 W · 115 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$790 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Xtreme Gaming | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebe…5e6fbacked Rune Eaters | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510 | 257 | 52.1%134 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfeb…763ebacked Rune Eaters | 47c | 983.56$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$517.94 | 115 | 35.7%41 W · 74 L | -6.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…f65bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 969.45$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e63…9e38backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 950$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750.5 | 345 | 61.2%211 W · 134 L | +17.7wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 887.01$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$625.46 | 507 | 49.7%252 W · 255 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcb8…6b51backed Rune Eaters | 50c | 835.14$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.9 | 420 | 53.6%225 W · 195 L | +16.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 800$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Rune Eaters | 28c | 790.35$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.05 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Rune Eaters | 77c | 775.7$594 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.84 | 251 | 43.4%109 W · 142 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b97…8d30backed Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 769$592 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$592.42 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Rune Eaters | 46c | 763.21$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.59 | 1,154 | 47.7%550 W · 604 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b99…8bddbacked Rune Eaters | 71c | 750$533 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.5 | 774 | 58.5%453 W · 321 L | +75.1wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x86b1…c094backed Xtreme Gaming | 15c | 749.99$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.5 | 656 | 25.6%168 W · 488 L | +14.7wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a7…42e6backed Rune Eaters | 22c | 747$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$582.66 | 410 | 56.8%233 W · 177 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c67…d062backed Rune Eaters | 27c | 740.74$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.74 | 1,137 | 42.3%481 W · 656 L | -27.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9120…ae70backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 729.18$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517.72 | 210 | 62.4%131 W · 79 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 713.44$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$549.35 | 2,378 | 47.2%1,123 W · 1,255 L | +15.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 705$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 681.8$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.53 | 656 | 47.3%310 W · 346 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x443c…d83abacked Rune Eaters | 70c | 667.65$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.36 | 258 | 51.2%132 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb8f…4a0bbacked Rune Eaters | 23c | 660$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.2 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e23…1c3dbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 657.97$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 112 | 54.5%61 W · 51 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x056e…cd80backed Rune Eaters | 18c | 655.19$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.64 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 51c | 640.77$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.67 | 1,066 | 57%608 W · 458 L | +52.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Xtreme Gaming | 79c | 640$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.79 | 410 | 50.2%206 W · 204 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48f7…3aebbacked Xtreme Gaming | 77c | 631.74$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483.42 | 669 | 48.4%324 W · 345 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f19…b9ffbacked Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 591.8$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.01 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed Xtreme Gaming | 24c | 573.38$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 67 | 35.8%24 W · 43 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31fd…e144backed Rune Eaters | 58c | 571.15$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.92 | 131 | 45%59 W · 72 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98a7…b766backed Rune Eaters | 54c | 558.36$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.91 | 602 | 51.2%308 W · 294 L | +3.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 554.76$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.98 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf7c…4c16backed Rune Eaters | 59c | 509.13$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.39 | 121 | 36.4%44 W · 77 L | -8.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad2a…99a3backed Xtreme Gaming | 74c | 508$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376.16 | 237 | 36.7%87 W · 150 L | -17.3wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Xtreme Gaming | 71c | 500.1$355 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.07 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -9.1wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a1…d6ecbacked Rune Eaters | 66c | 500$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.54 | 144 | 52.1%75 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8010…c05fbacked Xtreme Gaming | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 169 | 32.5%55 W · 114 L | +7.8wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3be…12ccbacked Rune Eaters | 21c | 500$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$395 | 112 | 42%47 W · 65 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x880d…39bcbacked Xtreme Gaming | 23c | 500$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.75 | 327 | 56.9%186 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9a…a06bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 7c | 499.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 378 | 11.1%42 W · 336 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Rune Eaters | 57c | 494.31$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.25 | 1,461 | 48.5%709 W · 752 L | +28.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33d3…bf38backed Xtreme Gaming | 42c | 450$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16ce…eba1backed Xtreme Gaming | 4c | 450$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.18 | 613 | 2.1%13 W · 600 L | -23.4wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -76.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Xtreme Gaming | 73c | 438.04$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.77 | 183 | 56.8%104 W · 79 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…83b0backed Rune Eaters | 23c | 435.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 157 | 42%66 W · 91 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4912…b76fbacked Rune Eaters | 29c | 408.62$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.12 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Xtreme Gaming | 76c | 394.73$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb238…4961backed Rune Eaters | 66c | 394.01$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.96 | 125 | 48.8%61 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Rune Eaters vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 2 WinnerXtreme Gaming won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.