Tennis · resolved market
Rio Open, Qualification: Francesco Passaro vs Vilius Gaubas
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x37d8682c873573ca5277a70f404aeff4b0f276e3a7f4e039eda9f420786a443f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Gaubasof Passaro, Gaubas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,117
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,117 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Passaro | 22c | 6,256$1,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,390.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f3e…bcf8backed Passaro | 58c | 4,214$2,431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,430.85 | 761 | 46.6%355 W · 406 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa9…c100backed Gaubas | 42c | 4,192$1,761 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,431.54 | 430 | 51.2%220 W · 210 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Gaubas | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,709.99 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Passaro | 45c | 1,882$849 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$848.64 | 813 | 49.1%399 W · 414 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Gaubas | 61c | 1,621$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.65 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47a1…2169backed Gaubas | 63c | 1,487$941 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$546.87 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Gaubas | 44c | 1,176$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.77 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Passaro | 45c | 1,071$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.06 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Passaro | 2c | 890$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.7 | 101 | 38.6%39 W · 62 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Passaro | 58c | 492$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.36 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Passaro | 57c | 491.23$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 196 | 53.6%105 W · 91 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gaubas | 36c | 433$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.68 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Passaro | 58c | 362.07$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 434 | 48.4%210 W · 224 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Passaro | 62c | 315$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.75 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Passaro | 57c | 267.08$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.15 | 658 | 49.4%325 W · 333 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5562…3b41backed Passaro | 46c | 259$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.41 | 149 | 49.7%74 W · 75 L | -13.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Passaro | 34c | 251.65$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.37 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Gaubas | 36c | 240$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.8 | 990 | 44.8%444 W · 546 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Passaro | 45c | 197.04$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.05 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Passaro | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 67 | 58.2%39 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Passaro | 57c | 165$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.3 | 147 | 44.2%65 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe649…4e37backed Gaubas | 43c | 164$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.48 | 1,414 | 41.1%581 W · 833 L | -21.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Passaro | 39c | 147.25$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.37 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26fb…67b8backed Passaro | 55c | 134.55$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 651 | 57.1%372 W · 279 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Passaro | 40c | 127.7$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 1,276 | 30.4%388 W · 888 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Passaro | 41c | 111.43$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.05 | 129 | 52.7%68 W · 61 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Gaubas | 40c | 101.35$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.01 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Passaro | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 273 | 44.7%122 W · 151 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Passaro | 61c | 100$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 779 | 67.8%528 W · 251 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 69cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked Gaubas | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Gaubas | 43c | 99.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Passaro | 42c | 87.57$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.1 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Passaro | 58c | 86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.88 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Passaro | 58c | 81.1$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.94 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Passaro | 39c | 75.06$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.15 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Passaro | 34c | 71.43$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 78 | 39.7%31 W · 47 L | -7.1wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Passaro | 57c | 71$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.45 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6430…0bc4backed Gaubas | 31c | 64.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +223.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Gaubas | 49c | 61.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Passaro | 57c | 60.6$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.54 | 131 | 38.9%51 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00f8…2c23backed Gaubas | 46c | 50.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.38 | 77 | 33.8%26 W · 51 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x350e…6539backed Gaubas | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 137 | 50.4%69 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Passaro | 39c | 45$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.55 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked Gaubas | 68c | 39.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Passaro | 36c | 36.78$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.11 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x25bf…7a56backed Passaro | 58c | 34.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,335 | 46.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L | +55.3wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Passaro | 61c | 32.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x46ea…225bbacked Passaro | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 69cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Passaro | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…5d1dbacked Gaubas | 69c | 29$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Passaro | 56c | 27.73$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.61 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Passaro | 62c | 24.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.