Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8dc0713c967a33aa1e73377e77c29d42378551dd11f64bcba5223982bd83091
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,759
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,202
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,759 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 22c | 5,663$1,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,219.05 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3790…5e8bbacked Over | 78c | 4,600$3,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.97 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 75cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bc3…0b17backed Over | 80c | 4,137$3,297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.81 | 82 | 57.3%47 W · 35 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 20c | 2,038$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.62 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 23c | 1,411$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$318.48 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed Over | 78c | 769.49$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.49 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 78c | 632.8$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.22 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 22c | 465.13$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.8 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…6b8abacked Over | 79c | 379.75$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.75 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dad…a040backed Over | 75c | 350$263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 88 | 73.9%65 W · 23 L | +8.0wins | +0.09per pick | 65cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a3c…84c5backed Over | 79c | 304.85$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.02 | 33 | 72.7%24 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 65cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 21c | 200$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa01…f0a7backed Over | 78c | 199.99$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44 | 199 | 54.3%108 W · 91 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 22c | 119.64$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.32 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f7e…d218backed Over | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x649a…02afbacked Over | 78c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 48 | 68.8%33 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 74cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 22c | 56.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8dc…f75cbacked Over | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +42.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2548…b742backed Over | 78c | 44.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.23per pick | 63cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefc8…7309backed Over | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 60cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed19…801ebacked Over | 77c | 22.74$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.23 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 77c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.7 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 76c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 76c | 16$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…eff4backed Over | 79c | 15.94$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.35 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Over | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed Over | 78c | 13.93$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.06 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5this page
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.