Other European Leagues · resolved market
Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78d0531d16813abf979713017060ceb4c16fc19566d49ed1584ce4e4e79d7ff9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 46c | 8,889$4,123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,122.51 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 54c | 8,658$4,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,022.86 | 376 | 41.5%156 W · 220 L | -17.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 42c | 6,128$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,546.63 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 74c | 3,780$2,797 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$982.8 | 371 | 49.6%184 W · 187 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 29c | 2,931$852 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$852.1 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Over | 55c | 1,601$875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.42 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Over | 54c | 1,403$758 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.48 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x717f…1501backed Over | 54c | 744.69$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.69 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 53c | 557.74$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.25 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc181…0992backed Over | 53c | 375.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Over | 53c | 278$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.66 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x454b…5b8bbacked Under | 50c | 231.73$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed Under | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48d7…1bd1backed Over | 51c | 196.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.08 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +6.2wins | +0.21per pick | 34cpaid | +58.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 47c | 178.44$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.47 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 39c | 172.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.18 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa2…30ccbacked Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +7.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x516a…e1b2backed Over | 53c | 112.71$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.71 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 54c | 110.44$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.44 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 46c | 106$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.45 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4523…0be0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 76 | 60.5%46 W · 30 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +42%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 54c | 100$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.3wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2085…dd27backed Over | 51c | 84.31$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.31 | 71 | 42.3%30 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…fc78backed Over | 53c | 83.02$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.02 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8867…518cbacked Under | 47c | 77.99$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.66 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Under | 34c | 69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.64 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 37c | 61.64$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.11 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae55…9385backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 51cpaid | +56%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.82 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 39c | 53.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.88 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Under | 45c | 50.92$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.9 | 111 | 36.9%41 W · 70 L | -15.2wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xe429…ef44backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +48%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 26c | 48.77$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.68 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb985…cf92backed Over | 53c | 47.17$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.17 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Under | 28c | 43.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe903…f8e1backed Over | 53c | 42.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.86 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 53c | 41.51$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.51 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6366…8ccdbacked Over | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab47…9f8fbacked Over | 53c | 36.64$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Over | 54c | 31.2$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.35 | 110 | 52.7%58 W · 52 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b59…a1cdbacked Over | 53c | 29.58$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 56c | 27.52$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.11 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 45c | 26.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 53c | 24.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.53 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11ab…f911backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 2.5this page
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 1.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 3.5Over won
- Trabzonspor vs. Fenerbahçe SK: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.