CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbaa620ffd5864d2422424ff902fa5a435eb45dcc3bca2fff7365e46dac73b4cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,180 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xad8d…a233backed Under | 52c | 4,500$2,340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecc4…7a2abacked Over | 48c | 4,500$2,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,160 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 38c | 2,627$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.75 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Under | 63c | 1,297$823 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.53 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 62c | 1,179$728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.16 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 60c | 1,070$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.64 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Under | 62c | 1,052$651 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$401.11 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 2c | 745$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.46 | 1,650 | 32.7%540 W · 1,110 L | -49.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 33c | 742.17$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.1 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…7287backed Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 105 | 41%43 W · 62 L | -10.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf691…f990backed Under | 67c | 276$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.08 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +48.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16d1…68b6backed Over | 33c | 243$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07d…31c5backed Over | 33c | 211$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfe…e1c0backed Under | 67c | 178$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.74 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b60…76d5backed Over | 19c | 152.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 378 | 41.8%158 W · 220 L | -33.1wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa76e…dcb6backed Under | 50c | 146$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73 | 1,310 | 53.7%703 W · 607 L | +32.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 50c | 144$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f8…b5e5backed Under | 65c | 99.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.89 | 447 | 43.8%196 W · 251 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb5…f5ecbacked Over | 35c | 98.86$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.6 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Over | 38c | 60.53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.99 | 527 | 55.8%294 W · 233 L | +23.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 51c | 60.53$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.66 | 1,714 | 46.7%801 W · 913 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 42c | 50.4$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.29 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -3.5wins | -0.14per pick | 46cpaid | -39.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Over | 31c | 32.83$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 1,547 | 33.9%524 W · 1,023 L | -73.4wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Over | 36c | 31.64$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.6wins | -0.26per pick | 43cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc85b…8b98backed Over | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -4.5wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -40.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x00b7…5b93backed Under | 66c | 17.76$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 196 | 53.1%104 W · 92 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Under | 57c | 17.69$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.61 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Under | 62c | 16.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 287 | 61.3%176 W · 111 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5df0…95b3backed Under | 66c | 15.26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 138 | 71%98 W · 40 L | +15.7wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2FaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte - Map 1 WinnerFaZe won
- Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Monte - Map 2 WinnerFaZe won
- Map Handicap: FaZe (-1.5) vs Monte (+1.5)FaZe won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.