Valorant · resolved market
Will G2 Esports win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcaacc662db927db594e3a918953161e92b4eda844c4b8752fa66163fa44af4f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,634
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,462
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,634 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb10b…0b04backed Yes | 54c | 10,060$5,477 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,583.27 | 98 | 44.9%44 W · 54 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed No | 46c | 9,628$4,398 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,397.95 | 339 | 42.2%143 W · 196 L | -6.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb75…f496backed No | 6c | 500$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a2c…80e5backed Yes | 49c | 228$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +102.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed Yes | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +107%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cff…97f7backed Yes | 51c | 147.1$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.11 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3690…e16fbacked No | 55c | 116$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa328…4977backed No | 48c | 106.64$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 51c | 105$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -3.2wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…1367backed Yes | 45c | 53.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.41 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 46cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ad9…0eaebacked Yes | 50c | 53$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.34per pick | 59cpaid | -50%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 48c | 32.96$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.82 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 64cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 48c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 55c | 25.45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will G2 Esports win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?this page
- Will Leviatán win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?No won
- Will NRG win VCT 2026: Americas League Stage 1?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.