Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b8483129ff4011c75671a2a78a5f6b46c2d9c0804f1c53c77a96f8fc4c9d9ee
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,233
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,942
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,233 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc9de…81d9backed Yes | 41c | 1,772$719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$718.99 | 420 | 36.4%153 W · 267 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd251…4d37backed Yes | 45c | 1,287$578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$578.11 | 1,697 | 42.4%720 W · 977 L | +56.9wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 57c | 1,095$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.17 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2856…c8f9backed Yes | 39c | 1,005$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388.89 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbb7…a11abacked Yes | 33c | 717.8$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,196 | 57.9%693 W · 503 L | +47.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0da…3ff6backed No | 55c | 518$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.1 | 176 | 58%102 W · 74 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed No | 60c | 490.7$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.04 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x094a…a9d2backed Yes | 3c | 439.64$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.52 | 292 | 19.5%57 W · 235 L | +12.3wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…2013backed No | 60c | 422.34$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.9 | 314 | 54.1%170 W · 144 L | +31.3wins | +0.10per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x044f…d1f1backed Yes | 38c | 374.48$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.03 | 8,162 | 49.4%4,035 W · 4,127 L | +269.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8dc…f31fbacked Yes | 24c | 364.86$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.7 | 4,525 | 26.7%1,206 W · 3,319 L | +62.2wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked No | 62c | 349.15$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.3 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 62c | 337.57$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.24 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed No | 59c | 315.88$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.35 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 301.43$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.59 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed No | 68c | 293.71$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.11 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 56c | 286.82$161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.27 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xffd0…cd07backed No | 59c | 254$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.14 | 2,311 | 57.7%1,334 W · 977 L | -19.0wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2801…3676backed Yes | 39c | 242.93$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.41 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 31cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 227.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19f4…c772backed Yes | 16c | 217.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.52 | 1,054 | 34.9%368 W · 686 L | +11.1wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…4420backed Yes | 46c | 163$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.98 | 895 | 57.2%512 W · 383 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed Yes | 36c | 158.32$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 67c | 152$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.59 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 8c | 150$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6f…0e20backed Yes | 32c | 128$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.96 | 914 | 44.7%409 W · 505 L | +16.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 53c | 124$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.28 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddc…5d4fbacked Yes | 47c | 123.09$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.5 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed No | 53c | 115.35$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 180 | 43.3%78 W · 102 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacb0…4346backed Yes | 28c | 106.64$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.76 | 159 | 48.4%77 W · 82 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed Yes | 36c | 106.53$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.86 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x951c…d8c7backed Yes | 48c | 100.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.85 | 683 | 35.4%242 W · 441 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef11…a7a1backed Yes | 42c | 100.01$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.17 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb58…407abacked Yes | 44c | 92.27$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.41 | 2,424 | 26.2%636 W · 1,788 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 64c | 85$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d57…419cbacked No | 63c | 84.57$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 64c | 74.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.73 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x942e…be27backed No | 57c | 72$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2,010 | 61.5%1,237 W · 773 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0982…24e3backed Yes | 44c | 69.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.5 | 351 | 37.9%133 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x03e1…e180backed No | 51c | 66$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.34 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1e…862ebacked Yes | 29c | 60.52$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.65 | 87 | 27.6%24 W · 63 L | -10.0wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 31c | 60.33$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef49…d27bbacked Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 216 | 51.9%112 W · 104 L | +4.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 38c | 59.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc6…dde3backed Yes | 43c | 58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.94 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae33…7804backed No | 53c | 57.58$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.78 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8fc…88e1backed Yes | 23c | 56.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1,298 | 33.1%430 W · 868 L | +39.5wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a2f…e889backed No | 59c | 56.67$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.07 | 228 | 49.6%113 W · 115 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked No | 70c | 56.12$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.07 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x508d…791abacked No | 55c | 55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 542 | 53%287 W · 255 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…9ff2backed Yes | 30c | 54.34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 323 | 52.9%171 W · 152 L | +19.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc662…0927backed No | 58c | 53.71$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.43 | 1,190 | 57.9%689 W · 501 L | -5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…e06fbacked Yes | 43c | 53$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.79 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb57e…0b91backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 464 | 57.5%267 W · 197 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb664…abbdbacked Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 446 | 46.2%206 W · 240 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked No | 65c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.5 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0380…073dbacked No | 54c | 47.78$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 4,257 | 65.3%2,779 W · 1,478 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 35c | 47.64$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 30c | 47.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.06 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x36ff…f2a6backed Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 621 | 37.7%234 W · 387 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa2…5a0bbacked Yes | 38c | 44.96$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 1,420 | 58.7%833 W · 587 L | +69.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked No | 57c | 44.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 69 | 66.7%46 W · 23 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff18…a5fbbacked Yes | 44c | 43.29$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.97 | 78 | 35.9%28 W · 50 L | -7.9wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…925abacked No | 53c | 40$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfe49…7a4cbacked No | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.2 | 76 | 55.3%42 W · 34 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 47c | 39.47$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x634d…4d02backed Yes | 45c | 35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 127 | 47.2%60 W · 67 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd4…05ebbacked Yes | 40c | 34.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.64 | 163 | 54%88 W · 75 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93a6…b1c2backed Yes | 48c | 33.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 105 | 47.6%50 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xacac…50fbbacked No | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 283 | 60.4%171 W · 112 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 54c | 31$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.2 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea83…7393backed No | 55c | 30.43$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.68 | 1,445 | 60.1%868 W · 577 L | +5.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…db44backed No | 60c | 30$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 171 | 65.5%112 W · 59 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73d2…f9b7backed No | 50c | 28.14$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.07 | 1,082 | 65.6%710 W · 372 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bf7…40c0backed No | 51c | 26.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 800 | 50.1%401 W · 399 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84b9…7f7fbacked Yes | 41c | 25.31$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 357 | 42.9%153 W · 204 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3774…b424backed Yes | 43c | 24.51$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.47 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 54c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.15 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 80c | 23.8$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.76 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48c0…53d5backed Yes | 45c | 23.61$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbf2e…52c7backed Yes | 47c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba63…36dcbacked No | 59c | 22.7$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 402 | 37.1%149 W · 253 L | -8.8wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd687…b2adbacked No | 63c | 22.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…78dabacked No | 56c | 21.33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.22per pick | 37cpaid | +74.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xddfa…68b0backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb6…4f98backed No | 55c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -28%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca07…6269backed No | 62c | 19.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.43 | 716 | 49.4%354 W · 362 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3904…539bbacked No | 58c | 19.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 427 | 62.8%268 W · 159 L | +16.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f12…59ddbacked No | 64c | 15.75$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 940 | 66.4%624 W · 316 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 76-77°F on July 9?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 72-73°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 74-75°F on July 9?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 9?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 80-81°F on July 9?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.