Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0c42fedb24e47a33bf55992b6b65b2c441a2a29aebf5d3e82872ce6ccc653e50
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,212
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,718
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,212 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 149 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde63…46c2backed No | 2c | 1,283$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.16 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f11…53b0backed Yes | 78c | 857.05$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.28 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d98…261ebacked Yes | 77c | 755.23$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.04 | 67 | 50.7%34 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 13c | 645.84$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.87 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 51c | 566.81$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.53 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 30c | 500.49$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.56 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x515f…a606backed No | 21c | 475$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 175 | 53.1%93 W · 82 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775c…28a9backed No | 21c | 475$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 89 | 64%57 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 61c | 454.95$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$279.55 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f74…8774backed Yes | 39c | 383.41$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.41 | 212 | 36.8%78 W · 134 L | +14.2wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 22c | 379$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.11 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x599c…e29bbacked Yes | 40c | 366$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.53 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed No | 44c | 355.95$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.97 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…4a6dbacked Yes | 40c | 324.8$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.8 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 46c | 322.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.51 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed No | 10c | 321.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.7 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32d1…e5c8backed No | 8c | 320$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.9 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +56%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 14c | 302.99$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.67 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 67c | 289.4$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.24 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4079…7126backed Yes | 80c | 268.41$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.95 | 140 | 54.3%76 W · 64 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa8c…9169backed Yes | 56c | 267.84$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.84 | 402 | 65.9%265 W · 137 L | +31.7wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 54c | 258$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.33 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x632e…6a56backed Yes | 32c | 218.85$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.85 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fc…7a72backed No | 7c | 215.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 71 | 59.2%42 W · 29 L | +3.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6424…2718backed Yes | 34c | 211.37$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.62 | 427 | 54.6%233 W · 194 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c63…93d4backed Yes | 34c | 210.2$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.73 | 10,354 | 37.9%3,919 W · 6,435 L | +417.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b4…fc14backed No | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 203 | 47.8%97 W · 106 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0130…fb49backed No | 11c | 192.95$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.02 | 665 | 43.6%290 W · 375 L | +25.2wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3a…3df7backed No | 65c | 190.1$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.73 | 452 | 53.3%241 W · 211 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 56c | 177.03$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.03 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3c70…34c4backed No | 40c | 174.97$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.24 | 168 | 47.6%80 W · 88 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed No | 19c | 171.11$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.22 | 2,302 | 26.9%620 W · 1,682 L | -41.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc5…d6b7backed No | 59c | 167$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.8 | 274 | 61.7%169 W · 105 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…5296backed Yes | 31c | 161.61$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.61 | 203 | 39.9%81 W · 122 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 25c | 159$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.75 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe086…0450backed No | 62c | 150.49$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.13 | 1,243 | 52.5%652 W · 591 L | -18.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd55…f905backed No | 35c | 150$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 4,547 | 58.4%2,655 W · 1,892 L | -107.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 66c | 148.55$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.45 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec86…60e4backed Yes | 36c | 133.45$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.2 | 1,163 | 38.2%444 W · 719 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 37c | 132.46$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.34 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2797…9bc0backed No | 46c | 121.04$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.49 | 181 | 42.5%77 W · 104 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38e2…2909backed No | 63c | 111.55$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 3,479 | 53%1,845 W · 1,634 L | +72.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc89f…14a9backed Yes | 68c | 103.7$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.15 | 186 | 50.5%94 W · 92 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf333…ba41backed No | 59c | 102$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.18 | 869 | 49.8%433 W · 436 L | -24.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 55c | 100$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.69 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.54 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed Yes | 43c | 97.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.78 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 33c | 91.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa753…d828backed No | 44c | 90.9$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 29c | 90.41$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.19 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…af96backed Yes | 57c | 87.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.02 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f4…81a6backed No | 24c | 83.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 19.1%22 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2bb9…ce8fbacked No | 32c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 152 | 36.2%55 W · 97 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd746…2c6fbacked Yes | 62c | 79.82$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 147 | 46.9%69 W · 78 L | +7.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed No | 65c | 79.49$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.92 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 31c | 79.34$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.35 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cef…8fa3backed No | 22c | 78.49$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.64 | 393 | 46.6%183 W · 210 L | +29.9wins | +0.08per pick | 39cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x496f…fa5dbacked Yes | 32c | 71.59$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.37 | 4,514 | 52.9%2,389 W · 2,125 L | +47.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 36c | 70.84$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.34 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaa9…1737backed No | 60c | 70.04$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.02 | 1,126 | 51.2%577 W · 549 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 65c | 69$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.85 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 39c | 68.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.83 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbd…a959backed Yes | 40c | 67.6$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.42 | 8,952 | 26.7%2,392 W · 6,560 L | +120.3wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c18…f3aebacked Yes | 33c | 66$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.67per pick | 33cpaid | +203%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked No | 26c | 65.02$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 4,347 | 29.7%1,293 W · 3,054 L | +19.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaff9…64ffbacked Yes | 37c | 65$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 2,674 | 30%803 W · 1,871 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x286d…825abacked Yes | 39c | 64.69$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.72 | 625 | 55.2%345 W · 280 L | -12.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98d1…019abacked Yes | 37c | 64.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +17.3wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7a12…f7fdbacked No | 60c | 64.2$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.72 | 160 | 45.6%73 W · 87 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed No | 19c | 62.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…48cfbacked Yes | 35c | 62.49$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09fe…76eebacked No | 18c | 56.95$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 50 | 62%31 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2831…5473backed Yes | 76c | 54.99$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ff6…e4fbbacked No | 42c | 54.36$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.94 | 653 | 53.4%349 W · 304 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…c5fcbacked Yes | 37c | 52.58$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.28 | 425 | 47.5%202 W · 223 L | -16.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd17e…7a0cbacked Yes | 76c | 51.34$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 189 | 45.5%86 W · 103 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22b8…8b13backed Yes | 67c | 50.69$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.64 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 61c | 50.63$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 61c | 50.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.61 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked No | 20c | 50.42$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f30…f8debacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3,830 | 47.1%1,805 W · 2,025 L | +63.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4af9…3144backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 219 | 50.7%111 W · 108 L | -10.6wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7d…9cfbbacked No | 62c | 49.9$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 49.87$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.16 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c85…b89cbacked Yes | 60c | 49.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.91 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed No | 60c | 49.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.77 | 2,530 | 50.4%1,275 W · 1,255 L | -48.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x96ee…0662backed Yes | 39c | 44.81$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.24 | 75 | 30.7%23 W · 52 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 36c | 44.61$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.61 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5dc…dec3backed No | 58c | 44.58$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.73 | 1,360 | 69.3%943 W · 417 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 69cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0428…7d12backed Yes | 37c | 41$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 301 | 36.9%111 W · 190 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9a6…6216backed No | 63c | 41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 31 | 35.5%11 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9149…f2dabacked Yes | 60c | 40.92$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.37 | 28 | 85.7%24 W · 4 L | +6.5wins | +0.23per pick | 62cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 53c | 40.51$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 51c | 39.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 64c | 38.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.79 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2429…02d9backed No | 48c | 37.9$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.06 | 177 | 47.5%84 W · 93 L | +4.6wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 70c | 37.1$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4dd…847fbacked No | 60c | 37.03$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.