Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x577e82cc06cc27f01401c0362c59d6fd839e321b878d476c42952e96a91df883
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,980
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $22,577
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,980 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf421…efcebacked Yes | 27c | 1,583$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.14 | 428 | 20.1%86 W · 342 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x777f…d8b2backed Yes | 20c | 1,089$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.53 | 64 | 18.8%12 W · 52 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 17cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cd2…c304backed Yes | 15c | 615.52$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 160 | 38.8%62 W · 98 L | +18.0wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +123.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…80babacked Yes | 16c | 594.81$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.17 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +5.2wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x599c…e29bbacked Yes | 28c | 550$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked Yes | 28c | 498.4$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7300…e52cbacked Yes | 16c | 421.53$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.62 | 2,214 | 20.7%458 W · 1,756 L | -60.8wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…e42abacked No | 77c | 419.96$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.69 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46f1…701fbacked No | 69c | 392.27$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.45 | 2,877 | 55.3%1,590 W · 1,287 L | -59.3wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52eb…67acbacked Yes | 23c | 307.36$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.14 | 4,988 | 49.8%2,485 W · 2,503 L | -155.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd498…a6c5backed No | 72c | 282.65$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.06 | 1,710 | 47.8%818 W · 892 L | -48.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…84dfbacked Yes | 14c | 239.09$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.98 | 6,787 | 39.1%2,654 W · 4,133 L | +256.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30fb…7db4backed No | 70c | 232.3$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.68 | 4,117 | 47.6%1,958 W · 2,159 L | -158.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe040…824fbacked No | 70c | 220.65$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.16 | 4,267 | 53.4%2,279 W · 1,988 L | +156.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…0ec1backed No | 71c | 210$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.9 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…7d4fbacked Yes | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 485 | 23.7%115 W · 370 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4435…786fbacked No | 77c | 195.8$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.58 | 971 | 52.2%507 W · 464 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb04…48cfbacked Yes | 28c | 180.14$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 100 | 23%23 W · 77 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f3…9f82backed Yes | 35c | 171.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.74 | 1,455 | 24.7%359 W · 1,096 L | -33.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d3f…fde2backed No | 71c | 168.17$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.17 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 75c | 166.8$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x655c…1a00backed No | 74c | 162$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.12 | 361 | 50.4%182 W · 179 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa93…0bc7backed Yes | 21c | 153.04$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.08 | 3,859 | 23.4%903 W · 2,956 L | +128.4wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +10%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Yes | 23c | 138.51$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.86 | 2,262 | 39.6%895 W · 1,367 L | -56.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x567f…94b9backed Yes | 16c | 131.97$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.37 | 489 | 19.2%94 W · 395 L | -38.7wins | -0.08per pick | 27cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 74c | 129.99$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 4,142 | 54.1%2,241 W · 1,901 L | -16.6wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7956…eba5backed Yes | 21c | 118.01$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.99 | 1,048 | 38.1%399 W · 649 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8971…809dbacked Yes | 17c | 117.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.94 | 1,959 | 46%901 W · 1,058 L | -51.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bb0…c328backed No | 67c | 116.65$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x331d…8846backed Yes | 24c | 102.71$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 282 | 44%124 W · 158 L | +38.6wins | +0.14per pick | 30cpaid | +29.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xfe6e…2313backed No | 68c | 100$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 262 | 56.5%148 W · 114 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 23c | 100$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa754…ec4bbacked Yes | 22c | 99.98$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f9e…c96bbacked Yes | 26c | 93.87$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5219…7f31backed Yes | 28c | 91.48$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.16 | 353 | 44.5%157 W · 196 L | -18.2wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa760…2c51backed No | 77c | 90.32$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.19 | 212 | 64.6%137 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed No | 67c | 87.7$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.94 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 23c | 80.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.64 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0a8e…05a4backed Yes | 29c | 78.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.89 | 430 | 50.2%216 W · 214 L | +21.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x397c…ca1bbacked Yes | 34c | 75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.5 | 1,285 | 32.8%422 W · 863 L | +24.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca9c…e62bbacked Yes | 17c | 75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 71 | 32.4%23 W · 48 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…5289backed Yes | 20c | 74.47$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 3,048 | 40.5%1,234 W · 1,814 L | -121.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbe…e435backed Yes | 34c | 72.97$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 244 | 51.2%125 W · 119 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd91…32b8backed No | 72c | 69$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 1,428 | 52.1%744 W · 684 L | -21.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb31b…b140backed No | 66c | 68.28$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.89 | 559 | 54.7%306 W · 253 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24e8…4546backed No | 63c | 66.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 3,065 | 53.7%1,647 W · 1,418 L | -97.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 74c | 66.87$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 9,490 | 45.9%4,360 W · 5,130 L | -278.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x017c…f8efbacked Yes | 22c | 64$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x652d…46b3backed Yes | 22c | 63.82$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.81 | 618 | 20.7%128 W · 490 L | +36.9wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x28bf…4a4ebacked No | 68c | 60$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 5,389 | 56%3,017 W · 2,372 L | -120.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…959bbacked Yes | 29c | 58.56$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1,018 | 25.5%260 W · 758 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…925abacked Yes | 33c | 57.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.08 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d69…7a63backed No | 75c | 56.54$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.37 | 1,075 | 54.8%589 W · 486 L | -17.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7275…0225backed Yes | 19c | 55.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed No | 72c | 54.42$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.27 | 6,592 | 53.1%3,503 W · 3,089 L | +400.2wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8e…aa69backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 308 | 49%151 W · 157 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1a29…3cc9backed No | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 701 | 48.4%339 W · 362 L | -5.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c48…1c17backed No | 78c | 50$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11 | 165 | 52.7%87 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb1a…1e6dbacked Yes | 22c | 48$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.32 | 1,359 | 30.2%411 W · 948 L | -92.9wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…4830backed No | 71c | 45.13$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 5,186 | 47.2%2,447 W · 2,739 L | +66.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617a…8c79backed No | 79c | 44.55$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.36 | 43 | 60.5%26 W · 17 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cc…6b15backed Yes | 33c | 44.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 1,181 | 49.4%583 W · 598 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f66…4c8dbacked Yes | 30c | 43.05$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.92 | 2,267 | 18%407 W · 1,860 L | -9.5wins | 0.00per pick | 18cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5597…0c9fbacked Yes | 28c | 42.52$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 42cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 79c | 40.23$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3f…5d84backed No | 75c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 802 | 75.7%607 W · 195 L | +6.4wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…9e61backed No | 74c | 39.4$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.43 | 2,870 | 64.8%1,860 W · 1,010 L | -32.8wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x463a…af96backed Yes | 32c | 39.06$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 120 | 52.5%63 W · 57 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38c7…1c86backed Yes | 31c | 38.73$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 118 | 44.1%52 W · 66 L | +5.4wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9d6…eb5cbacked Yes | 31c | 38.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | +6.7wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae5f…bc30backed Yes | 32c | 37.59$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.03 | 93 | 39.8%37 W · 56 L | +4.4wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a25…ba81backed No | 64c | 35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 617 | 60.1%371 W · 246 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadd7…8622backed No | 69c | 34.87$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 177 | 66.7%118 W · 59 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4374…3d05backed No | 65c | 30.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.92 | 341 | 51.3%175 W · 166 L | -26.9wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa259…6597backed No | 65c | 29$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 995 | 71.1%707 W · 288 L | +22.0wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1dc…4f72backed No | 70c | 28.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 241 | 64.7%156 W · 85 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30fe…74bcbacked No | 68c | 28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.1 | 186 | 71%132 W · 54 L | +19.2wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbe…b95ebacked No | 71c | 27.25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 419 | 66.6%279 W · 140 L | +36.9wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd2cd…8d96backed No | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +27%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb86b…aabfbacked No | 78c | 23.19$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 158 | 68.4%108 W · 50 L | +12.7wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcfff…673dbacked No | 80c | 22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 3,057 | 61.6%1,883 W · 1,174 L | -35.2wins | -0.01per pick | 63cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4226…18fcbacked No | 78c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.72 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb07…5b0fbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 120 | 60%72 W · 48 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2349…1646backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 482 | 61.8%298 W · 184 L | +43.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1632…ad5abacked No | 78c | 19.31$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.31 | 502 | 61%306 W · 196 L | -17.9wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf1…7cb7backed No | 79c | 18.61$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.91 | 91 | 69.2%63 W · 28 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…4027backed No | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 5,631 | 59.9%3,374 W · 2,257 L | -111.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaff5…14babacked No | 76c | 15.79$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.79 | 153 | 75.2%115 W · 38 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 74cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f4a…f61bbacked No | 77c | 15.39$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.54 | 545 | 47.7%260 W · 285 L | -18.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764b…6badbacked No | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 3,755 | 61.1%2,293 W · 1,462 L | -36.5wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e6…66b7backed No | 79c | 14.28$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3 | 468 | 57.3%268 W · 200 L | -22.3wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7df0…0dfebacked No | 75c | 13.64$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 3,642 | 65.9%2,400 W · 1,242 L | +33.6wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 10?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 26°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 10?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 29°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 30°C on July 10?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 31°C or higher on July 10?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.