TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Wimbledon, Qualification ATP: Yi Zhou vs Billy Harris

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Billy Harrisof Yi Zhou, Billy Harris
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$84,306
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$88,978

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,306 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 135 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93aa…4ab1backed Billy Harris69c7,164$4,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,209.68771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick65cpaid+9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2dba…1d6cbacked Yi Zhou57c3,500$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.997061.4%43 W · 27 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick63cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed Yi Zhou29c2,980$873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$872.973,72642.4%1,580 W · 2,146 L-48.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Billy Harris72c2,255$1,616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$638.569,03836.1%3,266 W · 5,772 L-196.3wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-27%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x42c9…9623backed Billy Harris43c1,996$859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,137.094,76049.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L+176.3wins+0.04per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5a99…d29fbacked Yi Zhou42c1,923$804 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80431242.3%132 W · 180 L-8.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf12f…b30fbacked Yi Zhou32c1,862$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60072040.8%294 W · 426 L+2.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe98c…8792backed Billy Harris48c1,720$832 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$887.9331540.6%128 W · 187 L-12.5wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Billy Harris62c1,554$958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$596.3111,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yi Zhou32c1,545$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.183,31948.4%1,605 W · 1,714 L-52.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd4c…b237backed Billy Harris69c1,540$1,062 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.381656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+12.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd034…eecebacked Yi Zhou33c1,500$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.622,73534%931 W · 1,804 L-13.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-2.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Billy Harris68c1,463$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$463.4594968.1%646 W · 303 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0ee5…e798backed Yi Zhou19c1,221$232 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23231936.4%116 W · 203 L+15.6wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+12.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Yi Zhou24c1,000$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$242.399,37444.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L-244.9wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6485…a265backed Yi Zhou41c947.99$392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$391.892,32652.1%1,213 W · 1,113 L+85.3wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc3df…9945backed Billy Harris54c926.11$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$426.1126847.8%128 W · 140 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8ce7…3150backed Yi Zhou33c910$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30039149.1%192 W · 199 L+14.0wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+9.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x21b7…c861backed Yi Zhou30c895.14$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$268.5431736.9%117 W · 200 L+10.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Billy Harris70c875.72$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$261.268,70242.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L-165.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-21.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xefd1…c520backed Billy Harris70c857.14$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$257.1430948.9%151 W · 158 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x23d6…18a2backed Yi Zhou13c723.08$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$943748.6%18 W · 19 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick43cpaid+12.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x64f4…b38ebacked Yi Zhou42c711.58$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30028032.5%91 W · 189 L-10.1wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-22.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x38f1…9ff1backed Yi Zhou45c666$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.738550.4%194 W · 191 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6318…46b1backed Yi Zhou33c660.01$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$219.995,32528.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L-21.8wins0.00per pick29cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Billy Harris56c626.54$352 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.354,34152.3%2,271 W · 2,070 L+63.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Billy Harris70c609.77$429 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$180.394,60267.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L+309.9wins+0.07per pick61cpaid+5.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x2ad5…62ffbacked Yi Zhou28c600$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.911,22823.1%284 W · 944 L-164.0wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-47%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x98db…dd17backed Yi Zhou36c539.33$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.665,42256.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L+231.5wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9d5a…d0f0backed Billy Harris74c513.51$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.5146855.1%258 W · 210 L+19.0wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ec2…bd08backed Yi Zhou31c507.55$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.341,37138.3%525 W · 846 L+8.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x365f…706abacked Yi Zhou23c500.68$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.711,82446.5%849 W · 975 L+20.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdc0…e6a6backed Billy Harris51c500$255 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2451723.5%4 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick37cpaid-51.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3e93…eb10backed Yi Zhou60c499.82$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004971.4%35 W · 14 L+3.4wins+0.07per pick65cpaid+23.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde9f…d43cbacked Yi Zhou44c487.49$213 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.116,65250.7%3,373 W · 3,279 L+263.6wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-4.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked Billy Harris68c441.18$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.1828747.7%137 W · 150 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-0.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Yi Zhou31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1242,27542.7%972 W · 1,303 L+33.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+6.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7bf9…be26backed Yi Zhou54c399.17$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215.5543062.3%268 W · 162 L-0.7wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x411e…72f0backed Billy Harris67c391.12$262 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.0715762.4%98 W · 59 L-8.1wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb7ab…16d0backed Yi Zhou52c389.41$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203.9449251.6%254 W · 238 L-1.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x87e6…9c8abacked Yi Zhou31c358.06$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1119348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa052…ee29backed Yi Zhou56c357.14$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006762.7%42 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60ec…f7b0backed Yi Zhou12c328$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.412,06148.6%1,002 W · 1,059 L+35.6wins+0.02per pick47cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a80…d472backed Yi Zhou33c303.03$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,19852.4%628 W · 570 L+28.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Billy Harris67c298.51$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.519055.6%50 W · 40 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x505f…645ebacked Billy Harris43c294.22$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.071,63252.7%860 W · 772 L+13.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xeea3…a6a2backed Billy Harris64c269.32$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.673,15557.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L+176.3wins+0.06per pick52cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1226…f998backed Yi Zhou63c261.49$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16529940.1%120 W · 179 L-15.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Billy Harris67c261$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.137,75347.8%3,703 W · 4,050 L+39.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9694…b7adbacked Yi Zhou31c258.06$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$802,05859.5%1,225 W · 833 L-1.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9888…e6febacked Billy Harris47c252.66$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.992,44745.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L-12.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f1d…2fb6backed Yi Zhou31c240$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.41,58042.3%668 W · 912 L+18.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7edb…7993backed Billy Harris62c235.86$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.781,45950.1%731 W · 728 L+0.4wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed Yi Zhou32c232.07$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.261,88235.5%669 W · 1,213 L+26.8wins+0.01per pick34cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xccf6…b29fbacked Billy Harris43c230.23$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.239448.9%46 W · 48 L-6.4wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-10.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Billy Harris68c201.07$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.536,57446.2%3,037 W · 3,537 L-45.5wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-12.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Yi Zhou24c200$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$484,76547%2,238 W · 2,527 L-82.2wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb3cf…2147backed Yi Zhou55c200$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1092360.9%14 W · 9 L+4.1wins+0.18per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe611…2970backed Yi Zhou53c188.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020055%110 W · 90 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Yi Zhou29c188.29$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.453,71145.3%1,680 W · 2,031 L-6.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-11.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd056…f1bebacked Billy Harris68c176.47$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.4765250.3%328 W · 324 L+11.7wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d9a…05e6backed Billy Harris61c175.41$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.012,09944.5%935 W · 1,164 L-51.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1ba2…d212backed Billy Harris53c174.65$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.861,96043.8%858 W · 1,102 L-20.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0b3…145dbacked Billy Harris67c172.49$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.4992953.5%497 W · 432 L-4.2wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x500e…6118backed Billy Harris58c172.41$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.4124065%156 W · 84 L+11.0wins+0.05per pick60cpaid+7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb42…6e09backed Yi Zhou52c169.23$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8813948.2%67 W · 72 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x222b…1a8dbacked Billy Harris67c151.56$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.1599244.7%443 W · 549 L-29.0wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-25.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yi Zhou30c148.71$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.612,52138.4%969 W · 1,552 L+93.0wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+13.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8649…ba57backed Billy Harris47c147.38$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.3879646%366 W · 430 L+1.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8492…f17cbacked Billy Harris68c147.06$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.0663252.8%334 W · 298 L-9.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f6a…9888backed Yi Zhou57c146$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$83.221,22255%672 W · 550 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91d5…8a03backed Billy Harris70c142.86$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.865345.3%24 W · 29 L-6.5wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-20.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x831f…cc50backed Yi Zhou51c141.33$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.0821841.3%90 W · 128 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+10.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x77f7…9385backed Yi Zhou54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$755853.4%31 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdec4…046fbacked Billy Harris41c138.71$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.7117829.2%52 W · 126 L+0.7wins0.00per pick29cpaid-21%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe60a…a806backed Yi Zhou62c137$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.9411336.3%41 W · 72 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c26…d474backed Billy Harris37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.1488935.2%313 W · 576 L+1.6wins0.00per pick35cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xccd8…f4debacked Yi Zhou31c127.55$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.541,47535.2%519 W · 956 L-14.1wins-0.01per pick36cpaid-4.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef3…df7fbacked Yi Zhou16c125$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010816.7%18 W · 90 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-42.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0ade…ed94backed Yi Zhou31c125$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.751,45854%787 W · 671 L-33.0wins-0.02per pick56cpaid+64.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Billy Harris61c118.31$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.631,48747.5%706 W · 781 L-19.1wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-21%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ea6…428abacked Billy Harris52c113.46$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.4629048.3%140 W · 150 L+5.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6f06…abe1backed Billy Harris45c111.11$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.1113330.1%40 W · 93 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3af5…caebbacked Billy Harris69c108.03$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.739961.6%61 W · 38 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick65cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x180c…cd04backed Billy Harris50c102$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5111550.4%58 W · 57 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Billy Harris67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331,54249.2%759 W · 783 L+16.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a92…6b00backed Billy Harris60c99.87$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.8548851.6%252 W · 236 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42d6…01ccbacked Billy Harris51c98.82$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.821,07762.8%676 W · 401 L-27.9wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-4.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2326…b627backed Yi Zhou64c94.45$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.451,28965.2%841 W · 448 L+11.0wins+0.01per pick64cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54d1…13f4backed Billy Harris58c93.5$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.2773748%354 W · 383 L-1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Yi Zhou31c90$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.983747.6%398 W · 439 L-2.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x999a…9a25backed Billy Harris63c88.74$56 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.6160452.5%317 W · 287 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Billy Harris50c87.26$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.362,06535.2%727 W · 1,338 L-52.7wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-19.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yi Zhou13c86.73$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.188,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Yi Zhou31c85$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.353,90150.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L-13.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x97f6…66e2backed Billy Harris53c83$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.96532.3%21 W · 44 L-6.7wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-35.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5430…fbbbbacked Yi Zhou33c80.18$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.4615451.9%80 W · 74 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2ad…a700backed Yi Zhou53c79.19$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.9711955.5%66 W · 53 L+2.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+14.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Billy Harris70c78.13$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.675,49848.5%2,667 W · 2,831 L+10.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid-9.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bff…c8a8backed Yi Zhou64c78.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501050%5 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.