Tennis · resolved market
Set 1 Winner: Lys vs Navarro
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5dfff5912b606d5159bb9be942601b635a31a1740066eaed610f70d7f85e2169
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Navarroof Lys, Navarro
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,136
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,705
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,136 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Navarro | 64c | 454.5$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.62 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9888…e6febacked Lys | 36c | 252.5$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.9 | 2,447 | 45.9%1,123 W · 1,324 L | -12.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2be…af12backed Lys | 36c | 194$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.84 | 2,032 | 46.9%952 W · 1,080 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa052…ee29backed Navarro | 12c | 165.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.62 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +6.2wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Navarro | 52c | 159.62$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.62 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8492…f17cbacked Navarro | 61c | 157.89$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.58 | 632 | 52.8%334 W · 298 L | -9.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Lys | 39c | 157.89$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.58 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2735…42ebbacked Navarro | 60c | 145.83$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 85 | 49.4%42 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Lys | 48c | 136.11$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.11 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf1…8c29backed Lys | 22c | 95.5$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.91 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cce…4b52backed Navarro | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 165 | 88.5%146 W · 19 L | +37.7wins | +0.23per pick | 66cpaid | +33%equal weight | 72+0.20 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Lys | 39c | 81.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Navarro | 41c | 80$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.2 | 83 | 41%34 W · 49 L | +5.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Navarro | 67c | 69.73$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.16 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x167a…d542backed Lys | 59c | 69$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.71 | 1,837 | 59.2%1,088 W · 749 L | +8.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82b0…7c38backed Lys | 39c | 63.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.92 | 359 | 55.7%200 W · 159 L | +20.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Lys | 67c | 51.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.64 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c97…5c66backed Lys | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 483 | 55.1%266 W · 217 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb1c…2679backed Lys | 38c | 50.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.19 | 173 | 41%71 W · 102 L | -17.4wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x93dc…3728backed Navarro | 61c | 24.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.67 | 425 | 45.6%194 W · 231 L | -11.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Navarro | 61c | 18.71$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.3 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Set 1 Winner: Lys vs Navarrothis page
- Bad Homburg Open: Eva Lys vs Emma NavarroEmma Navarro won
- Set 2 Winner: Lys vs NavarroNavarro won
- Set Handicap: Navarro (-1.5) vs Lys (+1.5)Navarro won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.