Tennis · resolved market
Australian Open Women's: Linda Noskova vs Taylah Preston
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcb8d6b2ba454e92fa9f1510146a4dc9c8e3ef7b689cb06b0a8fff6f75ed97743
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noskovaof Noskova, Preston
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,891
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,235
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,891 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Preston | 1c | 4,691$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.72 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Preston | 7c | 569.19$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Preston | 17c | 533$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.48 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Preston | 15c | 530.78$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.51 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Preston | 12c | 464.92$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.09 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Preston | 24c | 450.91$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.97 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Preston | 7c | 317.16$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.67 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0395…c9edbacked Preston | 17c | 300$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 24 | 33.3%8 W · 16 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Preston | 19c | 263.16$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa982…e2fcbacked Preston | 19c | 263$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.97 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 25cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Preston | 18c | 222.22$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Preston | 12c | 189.79$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -16.1wins | -0.15per pick | 37cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa4ba…c5d8backed Preston | 17c | 176$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 602 | 40.5%244 W · 358 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Preston | 7c | 175$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.83 | 93 | 4.3%4 W · 89 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf575…e0ebbacked Preston | 17c | 147.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.71 | 204 | 31.9%65 W · 139 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc400…7c6bbacked Preston | 17c | 147.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Noskova | 69c | 130$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.73 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Preston | 23c | 127$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 95 | 41.1%39 W · 56 L | -7.1wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -36%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Preston | 28c | 90$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.6 | 190 | 23.2%44 W · 146 L | -10.8wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Preston | 15c | 77.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.55 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf12b…b5d2backed Preston | 17c | 66.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.39 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Preston | 18c | 56$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Noskova | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.