Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will AZ win on 2025-11-02?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8db6829cb47c9367ce062a8366a14f73f1e5dd00dc11696e022b33cac7bb5fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $84,516
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $90,055
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $84,516 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed No | 31c | 60,000$18,526 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18,525.51 | 362 | 43.1%156 W · 206 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Yes | 75c | 30,914$23,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,844.23 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 67c | 17,111$11,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,570.98 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 56c | 11,035$6,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.72 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 23c | 9,090$2,068 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,067.6 | 464 | 54.3%252 W · 212 L | +6.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 39c | 3,775$1,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,455.97 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3859…3070backed Yes | 58c | 1,500$870 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$630 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 59c | 1,331$789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.93 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…686cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,045$606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.88 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6036…d2ccbacked Yes | 56c | 1,035$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.37 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x694e…8d20backed Yes | 62c | 643.9$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.96 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed No | 12c | 567.92$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.41 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3623…b50dbacked Yes | 56c | 531.81$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231.81 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad28…770cbacked Yes | 57c | 403$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.03 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6884…6ccfbacked Yes | 57c | 400.16$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.16 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +74%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 58c | 346.56$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.56 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefe7…0cdfbacked Yes | 60c | 270.94$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.3 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 43c | 237.96$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 70 | 55.7%39 W · 31 L | +2.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +16%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc41b…4fdfbacked Yes | 63c | 223.39$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.39 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6896…3682backed Yes | 54c | 206.06$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 38cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…32a0backed Yes | 56c | 200$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x956c…13bebacked Yes | 57c | 190.8$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.81 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +139%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39c0…681cbacked Yes | 58c | 189.77$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.23 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -3.1wins | -0.28per pick | 46cpaid | -65.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1a51…4cc0backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc759…b0d2backed Yes | 58c | 187.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.7 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe8…0fedbacked No | 41c | 183.42$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.74 | 166 | 47.6%79 W · 87 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 56c | 179.63$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.31per pick | 54cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xa533…acacbacked Yes | 58c | 173.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.83 | 44 | 65.9%29 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde37…b9bfbacked Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +93.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d7…3a06backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 53c | 165.66$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.86 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd31c…dac9backed Yes | 44c | 149.84$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.91 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74b4…b283backed Yes | 60c | 110.33$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.33 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 40c | 103.45$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.45 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 82 | 41.5%34 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf70…7d5fbacked Yes | 56c | 89.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -25%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Yes | 56c | 87.43$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.47 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x113f…95a6backed Yes | 53c | 75.47$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…9ab4backed Yes | 61c | 67.21$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.21 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x871a…fa9fbacked Yes | 61c | 54$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…3f03backed Yes | 58c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5422…6c3fbacked No | 42c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccdb…a111backed Yes | 56c | 48.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced0…c680backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe852…3fe6backed Yes | 57c | 42.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.28 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1a…7c47backed Yes | 55c | 36.36$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.36 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.22per pick | 62cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26ae…97b8backed No | 42c | 35.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.12 | 151 | 62.3%94 W · 57 L | +7.9wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e1a…15e0backed Yes | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec4…fad7backed Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd3…4394backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 44c | 29.75$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3830…73b7backed Yes | 58c | 27.59$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.59 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c35…c311backed Yes | 56c | 26.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.79 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…01a4backed Yes | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1157…7361backed Yes | 56c | 20.02$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AZ win on 2025-11-02?this page
- Will Sparta Rotterdam vs. AZ end in a draw?No won
- Will Sparta Rotterdam win on 2025-11-02?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.