Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will Roma beat Dynamo Kyiv?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x78ca8093418e7359be469ed351795ff821e9d9c9caccfb94873a21c328827f64
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,241
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $75,077
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,241 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked No | 34c | 19,691$6,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,744.31 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Yes | 66c | 19,140$12,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,552.33 | 182 | 44%80 W · 102 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa710…4173backed No | 33c | 2,900$957 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$956.96 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -39%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x98f0…1af3backed Yes | 64c | 1,583$1,013 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.81 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x843e…e785backed No | 37c | 1,578$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$586 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc8…a613backed Yes | 67c | 1,475$988 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$487.2 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.14per pick | 57cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0aaa…77b7backed Yes | 62c | 1,391$862 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.57 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2f…746cbacked No | 38c | 1,176$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe7a…3ef4backed Yes | 64c | 1,175$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 36c | 1,163$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$415.94 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef3…3d1bbacked No | 34c | 1,161$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -2.3wins | -0.29per pick | 41cpaid | -79.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed Yes | 63c | 799.99$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$296 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ff…1a3abacked Yes | 63c | 600$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x62c1…9c35backed No | 36c | 599$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9326…d416backed No | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Yes | 66c | 299$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.66 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Yes | 68c | 290$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.8 | 66 | 47%31 W · 35 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbe9…f4e5backed Yes | 65c | 258.45$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.46 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 67c | 250$168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.5 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88f…987abacked No | 34c | 235.71$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.14 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd66…21bfbacked Yes | 64c | 218.52$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa691…8ea2backed Yes | 64c | 167.72$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1645…47a0backed Yes | 66c | 159.21$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.21 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3ef…2891backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…cdd5backed Yes | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.25 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab4f…806ebacked No | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e0…0b77backed No | 35c | 140$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 41cpaid | +55.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b55…02f8backed No | 27c | 124.97$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.74 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 67c | 122.1$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.29 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cde…9956backed No | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 66c | 99.99$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 206 | 55.3%114 W · 92 L | -7.1wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 33c | 99.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 82 | 45.1%37 W · 45 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8da9…7120backed Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08fd…5ca7backed Yes | 66c | 75.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6adf…f52bbacked Yes | 66c | 62.23$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +25.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc128…86dabacked Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 18c | 59.17$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 187 | 39%73 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80f0…59ffbacked Yes | 75c | 53.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2bff…15a7backed Yes | 64c | 49.59$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.85 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42ed…d13dbacked Yes | 64c | 46.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.88 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44ab…a5dabacked Yes | 75c | 45.65$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddab…bd3ebacked Yes | 64c | 40$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.24per pick | 43cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x45b9…8069backed Yes | 79c | 39.48$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.29 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac99…0b0fbacked Yes | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 64c | 38.44$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a98…5be6backed Yes | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e24…ec07backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f20…87c9backed Yes | 67c | 29.85$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.85 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +81.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x484c…017ebacked Yes | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +54.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.67 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…17dbbacked Yes | 66c | 23.15$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ee…6c29backed Yes | 66c | 22.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc499…a4eebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8292…10f5backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb2…1da5backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +71.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2139…8975backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0e…7386backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d3e…a906backed Yes | 66c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x735c…68c7backed Yes | 67c | 15.55$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.25per pick | 55cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Roma beat Dynamo Kyiv?this page
- Will Dynamo Kyiv beat Roma?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.