TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Champions League · resolved market

Will Manchester City beat Sporting CP?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$103,555
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$135,131

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,555 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Champions League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No56c33,233$18,673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14,559.721741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6761…a94fbacked Yes44c15,437$6,792 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,792.239038.9%35 W · 55 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-22.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…c83fbacked Yes53c4,996$2,628 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,6281618.8%3 W · 13 L-3.3wins-0.20per pick39cpaid-56%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0b6a…4873backed Yes53c2,584$1,369 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3691764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.9wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+39.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked No49c2,511$1,233 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,277.4117053.5%91 W · 79 L+7.7wins+0.05per pick49cpaid-0.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5231…1f75backed Yes48c2,084$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.321154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd244…f24cbacked Yes48c2,083$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0003339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-22.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4aef…9337backed Yes49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98024742.5%105 W · 142 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes26c1,419$376 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$375.987041.4%29 W · 41 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-10.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x389d…1032backed Yes52c1,200$624 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6241060%6 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick68cpaid-16.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x306b…3ec5backed Yes36c1,136$404 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404.173138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.4wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x78f5…8e23backed Yes48c1,040$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x451b…57d8backed Yes49c1,020$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c57…9c22backed Yes49c1,000$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8f7…039abacked Yes46c1,000$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4604436.4%16 W · 28 L-3.8wins-0.09per pick45cpaid-14.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9c0…4583backed No53c999.98$530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$469.993174.2%23 W · 8 L+4.7wins+0.15per pick59cpaid+28.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x80d5…124bbacked No51c999.95$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$489.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+27%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x02cb…ae38backed Yes47c831.67$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.384351.2%22 W · 21 L-2.4wins-0.06per pick57cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed No50c545.59$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$271.1122647.3%107 W · 119 L+12.7wins+0.06per pick42cpaid-3.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb998…4bc0backed Yes49c541.99$266 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes51c532.87$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.4524252.5%127 W · 115 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes48c491.67$236 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23610931.2%34 W · 75 L-9.7wins-0.09per pick40cpaid-31.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8a51…f6d4backed No55c444.29$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$199.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05ad…72d7backed Yes48c430$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.12948.3%14 W · 15 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes31c400$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12420%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb79…c2c6backed No47c350$165 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$185.58748.3%42 W · 45 L-4.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-13.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes53c350$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$185.59840.8%40 W · 58 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes59c349.98$207 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207.03742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x501c…080bbacked Yes48c332.54$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.62425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-56.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x71cd…912dbacked Yes40c325.54$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$130.2113232.6%43 W · 89 L+12.1wins+0.09per pick23cpaid+172.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x606f…b3b5backed Yes42c315.05$133 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$133.39683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.26per pick57cpaid+39.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7569…79ebbacked Yes54c313$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.0250%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick33cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe483…b5a0backed Yes66c303.94$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2005149%25 W · 26 L+3.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+13.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x859b…f48bbacked Yes46c284.78$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-54.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca95…fc40backed No49c274.08$134 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$139.782646.2%12 W · 14 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick40cpaid+22.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb492…b7edbacked Yes49c255.1$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12520%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x99c2…ef35backed No34c243.94$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1617460.8%45 W · 29 L+6.5wins+0.09per pick52cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xecb9…1a6fbacked Yes50c227$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.5966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.17per pick49cpaid+35.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes51c217.37$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11010743%46 W · 61 L+5.2wins+0.05per pick38cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f7f…d808backed Yes48c213.96$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102.710%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2742…d04bbacked Yes48c208.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10020%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a09…bed5backed Yes55c203.24$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11130%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf15e…4a50backed Yes46c202.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.9410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x459d…6c7bbacked Yes49c201.55$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.76250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick64cpaid-37.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes50c200.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.41844.4%8 W · 10 L-1.8wins-0.10per pick55cpaid-25.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe121…1d13backed Yes48c200$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96825%2 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-47.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x663a…75babacked Yes48c184.46$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.54540%2 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-32.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde76…29aebacked Yes49c181.63$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891225%3 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-38%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa9d7…25e9backed No44c168.55$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.219350.5%47 W · 46 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4c01…e84ebacked No55c163.56$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.61100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+81.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x578a…ef44backed Yes49c150$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.51442.9%6 W · 8 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xad9d…9b95backed Yes46c149.72$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.876546.2%30 W · 35 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Yes50c148.7$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.95518.2%10 W · 45 L-10.3wins-0.19per pick37cpaid-46.3%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x8815…e147backed Yes55c148.55$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6451…025fbacked Yes52c143.36$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752227.3%6 W · 16 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick30cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fc3…17b6backed Yes48c136.42$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.4810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes52c130.77$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+39.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c9a…f397backed Yes48c130$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.4742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick33cpaid+70.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes77c129.87$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100540%2 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.21per pick61cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d63…aa21backed Yes25c117.74$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301827.8%5 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-23%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfc74…9905backed Yes51c113.43$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.8510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf08c…23cebacked Yes54c106.26$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.6620%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x89ea…cbc5backed Yes49c105.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.7210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1604…21b6backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030%0 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8dfe…bb00backed Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040%0 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes48c104.17$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504637%17 W · 29 L-0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab87…badabacked Yes51c102.43$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.2410%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xddc3…a171backed Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.07per pick38cpaid-21.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes49c102.04$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50650%3 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.20per pick30cpaid+211.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8c16…31a4backed Yes48c101.92$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.9210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4810631.1%33 W · 73 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick30cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4057…03b6backed Yes51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins0.00per pick60cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8140…b92fbacked Yes52c93.46$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick61cpaid+6.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes54c92.59$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.39per pick56cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x91ea…b635backed Yes48c92.08$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e21…4d75backed Yes50c78.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.613250%16 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e62…71f4backed Yes51c78.43$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x418f…df7cbacked Yes48c78.23$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x70a0…2c98backed Yes47c77.28$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick61cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes74c74.03$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.783158.1%18 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc390…715cbacked Yes49c71.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352931%9 W · 20 L-4.3wins-0.15per pick46cpaid-24.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1266…cd8cbacked No45c66.08$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.269752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x94c0…3e65backed Yes48c65.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Yes52c63.46$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$336747.8%32 W · 35 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d44…bcc1backed Yes47c62.65$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.540%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x2223…468dbacked Yes49c60.59$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.6910%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4630…a058backed No50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.2wins+0.20per pick53cpaid+40.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe95b…9d2fbacked No53c56.6$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.6450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb783…c20cbacked Yes48c56.46$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes49c56.31$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.421540%6 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.16per pick56cpaid-35.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x58d7…17e1backed Yes48c56.29$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.48per pick48cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x249d…f0b9backed Yes48c56.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb63…09e1backed Yes49c55.8$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.34250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-20.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309252.2%48 W · 44 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe07a…ec52backed Yes56c53.57$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.29per pick49cpaid-37.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9795…434ebacked Yes47c53.47$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.1310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1909…b44dbacked No53c52.91$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.871100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.47per pick53cpaid+88.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes48c52.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25966.7%6 W · 3 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+115.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x3c87…70d5backed Yes48c52$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.9613534.8%47 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.08per pick43cpaid-16.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4835…8f59backed Yes48c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245347.2%25 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.