Champions League · resolved market
Will Manchester City beat Sporting CP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb03cc9cb139e4adcf57a0ec29d17034939f3a3fab5ab513ee94804e1384283c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Champions Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $103,555
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $135,131
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $103,555 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 137 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Champions League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Champions League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9eb2…c8bfbacked No | 56c | 33,233$18,673 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,559.72 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6761…a94fbacked Yes | 44c | 15,437$6,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,792.23 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…c83fbacked Yes | 53c | 4,996$2,628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,628 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.20per pick | 39cpaid | -56%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0b6a…4873backed Yes | 53c | 2,584$1,369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,369 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +39.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 49c | 2,511$1,233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,277.41 | 170 | 53.5%91 W · 79 L | +7.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5231…1f75backed Yes | 48c | 2,084$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000.32 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd244…f24cbacked Yes | 48c | 2,083$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | -2.9wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4aef…9337backed Yes | 49c | 2,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 247 | 42.5%105 W · 142 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…b3b7backed Yes | 26c | 1,419$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375.98 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x389d…1032backed Yes | 52c | 1,200$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$624 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 68cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Yes | 36c | 1,136$404 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.17 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78f5…8e23backed Yes | 48c | 1,040$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x451b…57d8backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c57…9c22backed Yes | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f7…039abacked Yes | 46c | 1,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…4583backed No | 53c | 999.98$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$469.99 | 31 | 74.2%23 W · 8 L | +4.7wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +28.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…124bbacked No | 51c | 999.95$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 47c | 831.67$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.38 | 43 | 51.2%22 W · 21 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed No | 50c | 545.59$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.11 | 226 | 47.3%107 W · 119 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb998…4bc0backed Yes | 49c | 541.99$266 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$266.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 51c | 532.87$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.45 | 242 | 52.5%127 W · 115 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07dd…ed9dbacked Yes | 48c | 491.67$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236 | 109 | 31.2%34 W · 75 L | -9.7wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8a51…f6d4backed No | 55c | 444.29$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.93 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ad…72d7backed Yes | 48c | 430$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.1 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…4b9cbacked Yes | 31c | 400$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed No | 47c | 350$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.5 | 87 | 48.3%42 W · 45 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9f…905bbacked Yes | 53c | 350$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185.5 | 98 | 40.8%40 W · 58 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x63d5…cc5ebacked Yes | 59c | 349.98$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.03 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x501c…080bbacked Yes | 48c | 332.54$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.62 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71cd…912dbacked Yes | 40c | 325.54$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.21 | 132 | 32.6%43 W · 89 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +172.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x606f…b3b5backed Yes | 42c | 315.05$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.39 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 57cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7569…79ebbacked Yes | 54c | 313$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe483…b5a0backed Yes | 66c | 303.94$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x859b…f48bbacked Yes | 46c | 284.78$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca95…fc40backed No | 49c | 274.08$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.78 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb492…b7edbacked Yes | 49c | 255.1$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99c2…ef35backed No | 34c | 243.94$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +6.5wins | +0.09per pick | 52cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xecb9…1a6fbacked Yes | 50c | 227$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 49cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 51c | 217.37$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 107 | 43%46 W · 61 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f7f…d808backed Yes | 48c | 213.96$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2742…d04bbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a09…bed5backed Yes | 55c | 203.24$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…4a50backed Yes | 46c | 202.09$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459d…6c7bbacked Yes | 49c | 201.55$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea0b…1f5bbacked Yes | 50c | 200.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.4 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe121…1d13backed Yes | 48c | 200$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x663a…75babacked Yes | 48c | 184.46$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.54 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde76…29aebacked Yes | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -2.3wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed No | 44c | 168.55$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.21 | 93 | 50.5%47 W · 46 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c01…e84ebacked No | 55c | 163.56$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x578a…ef44backed Yes | 49c | 150$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Yes | 46c | 149.72$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.87 | 65 | 46.2%30 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51b1…bce2backed Yes | 50c | 148.7$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.9 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | -10.3wins | -0.19per pick | 37cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x8815…e147backed Yes | 55c | 148.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.7 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…025fbacked Yes | 52c | 143.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc3…17b6backed Yes | 48c | 136.42$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c5c…2d34backed Yes | 52c | 130.77$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9a…f397backed Yes | 48c | 130$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | +70.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f5…07f1backed Yes | 77c | 129.87$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.21per pick | 61cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d63…aa21backed Yes | 25c | 117.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc74…9905backed Yes | 51c | 113.43$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf08c…23cebacked Yes | 54c | 106.26$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.66 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ea…cbc5backed Yes | 49c | 105.55$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.72 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1604…21b6backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8dfe…bb00backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d4c…f7debacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 46 | 37%17 W · 29 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab87…badabacked Yes | 51c | 102.43$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…a171backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c81…1a5cbacked Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +211.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…31a4backed Yes | 48c | 101.92$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.92 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43cb…4bccbacked Yes | 48c | 100$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 106 | 31.1%33 W · 73 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4057…03b6backed Yes | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8140…b92fbacked Yes | 52c | 93.46$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.6 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e40…e7f1backed Yes | 54c | 92.59$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.4wins | -0.39per pick | 56cpaid | -71.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x91ea…b635backed Yes | 48c | 92.08$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e21…4d75backed Yes | 50c | 78.44$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e62…71f4backed Yes | 51c | 78.43$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 55cpaid | -28%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418f…df7cbacked Yes | 48c | 78.23$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a0…2c98backed Yes | 47c | 77.28$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a4…7fe3backed Yes | 74c | 74.03$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.78 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Yes | 49c | 71.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -4.3wins | -0.15per pick | 46cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1266…cd8cbacked No | 45c | 66.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.26 | 97 | 52.6%51 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…3e65backed Yes | 48c | 65.02$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Yes | 52c | 63.46$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d44…bcc1backed Yes | 47c | 62.65$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.5 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2223…468dbacked Yes | 49c | 60.59$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4630…a058backed No | 50c | 60$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.2wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe95b…9d2fbacked No | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb783…c20cbacked Yes | 48c | 56.46$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.1 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 49c | 56.31$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.42 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -35.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x58d7…17e1backed Yes | 48c | 56.29$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x249d…f0b9backed Yes | 48c | 56.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb63…09e1backed Yes | 49c | 55.8$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 54c | 55.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 92 | 52.2%48 W · 44 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe07a…ec52backed Yes | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9795…434ebacked Yes | 47c | 53.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1909…b44dbacked No | 53c | 52.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…f7b2backed Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +115.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 48c | 52$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 135 | 34.8%47 W · 88 L | -10.9wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4835…8f59backed Yes | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Champions League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Manchester City beat Sporting CP?this page
- Will Sporting CP beat Manchester City?Yes won
- Will the match between Sporting CP and Manchester City end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.