Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f3f29a9de8b868eea2dc259aaa39cb84032f5031b5d5076629dd294937288c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Eternal Fireof Team Vitality, Eternal Fire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,786
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,786 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Team Vitality | 48c | 7,064$3,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,361.49 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.2wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked Eternal Fire | 53c | 5,880$3,117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,763.76 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked Team Vitality | 47c | 3,000$1,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,409.99 | 158 | 50%79 W · 79 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Eternal Fire | 52c | 2,613$1,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,254.32 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +10.3wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd07…8d16backed Team Vitality | 24c | 1,602$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.78 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -4.6wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 1,300$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$623.99 | 333 | 48.3%161 W · 172 L | +13.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 1,199$623 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$575.7 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6d…942cbacked Team Vitality | 48c | 660.04$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.22 | 87 | 46%40 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Eternal Fire | 51c | 484.94$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.61 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9959…c137backed Team Vitality | 49c | 435.78$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.26 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 45cpaid | +49%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd83…7d7cbacked Eternal Fire | 55c | 389.2$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.14 | 108 | 63%68 W · 40 L | +15.4wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +35.8%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 370.25$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8100…2493backed Eternal Fire | 53c | 364.81$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Team Vitality | 44c | 361.39$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.4 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Team Vitality | 46c | 293.89$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.71 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -7.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0698…b91dbacked Team Vitality | 48c | 282.49$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.63 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Eternal Fire | 80c | 247$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.4 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x312c…2729backed Team Vitality | 48c | 203.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3f5…c3fdbacked Eternal Fire | 54c | 181.41$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +86.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9734…bfd8backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 172.56$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.22 | 192 | 57.8%111 W · 81 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d46…7f85backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 142.82$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 30 | 73.3%22 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Team Vitality | 47c | 137.88$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.61 | 199 | 45.2%90 W · 109 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa32b…2522backed Eternal Fire | 56c | 122.33$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 65 | 52.3%34 W · 31 L | -3.6wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7d84…a7bdbacked Eternal Fire | 80c | 83.12$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaadb…85f9backed Team Vitality | 45c | 75.21$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.85 | 428 | 40%171 W · 257 L | -22.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Team Vitality | 43c | 74.83$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb234…1c20backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 65.63$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…d080backed Team Vitality | 47c | 62.41$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.14 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.4wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1a3…0c69backed Eternal Fire | 74c | 61.19$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Team Vitality | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…b068backed Team Vitality | 48c | 60.55$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.06 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Eternal Fire | 57c | 59.82$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ee…0267backed Team Vitality | 48c | 46.62$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.38 | 106 | 55.7%59 W · 47 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4b…8a81backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 43.48$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 621 | 56.4%350 W · 271 L | +13.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Eternal Fire | 54c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.4 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa8…6e47backed Eternal Fire | 80c | 38.29$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Eternal Fire | 52c | 34.06$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.28 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86e6…e722backed Team Vitality | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3d48…f5a2backed Team Vitality | 49c | 29.68$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.54 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe245…3bc8backed Team Vitality | 50c | 29.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.55 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa46b…c7c1backed Eternal Fire | 55c | 28.07$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -3.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xca7c…e994backed Team Vitality | 45c | 26.6$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 634 | 47.9%304 W · 330 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4442…238cbacked Team Vitality | 50c | 24.55$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.18 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Eternal Fire (+1.5)this page
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality (BO3) - VCT EMEA Group OmegaEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 1 WinnerEternal Fire won
- Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team Vitality - Map 2 WinnerEternal Fire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.