Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x98e4cee0511bc3d9916f8d9d39116296efdf57e258c6fbcc9cab3148a7c4a7c8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,018
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,018 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x827a…8a2bbacked Over | 49c | 2,848$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,408.13 | 135 | 43%58 W · 77 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95b8…47c9backed Over | 61c | 1,636$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 669 | 47.8%320 W · 349 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 42c | 1,601$668 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$933.72 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb077…8fe8backed Under | 50c | 1,600$800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$800 | 273 | 46.9%128 W · 145 L | -14.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Under | 41c | 1,295$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.41 | 84 | 38.1%32 W · 52 L | -4.1wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Over | 3c | 923.73$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.46 | 898 | 10.7%96 W · 802 L | +2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 50c | 600$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2de…6e5cbacked Under | 58c | 555.17$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.17 | 105 | 60%63 W · 42 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Under | 55c | 545.45$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.45 | 112 | 45.5%51 W · 61 L | -6.3wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Over | 37c | 463.01$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.56 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfacf…44adbacked Under | 59c | 299.99$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 75 | 44%33 W · 42 L | -5.5wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38dd…c20abacked Over | 9c | 200$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 194 | 51%99 W · 95 L | +10.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Over | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked Under | 52c | 99.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 1,609 | 48.4%779 W · 830 L | +24.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32 | 506 | 43.1%218 W · 288 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Under | 53c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.93 | 2,226 | 37.5%834 W · 1,392 L | -29.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 54c | 54.35$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 1,630 | 40.1%654 W · 976 L | +48.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 47c | 53.04$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 704 | 43.9%309 W · 395 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7175…08f1backed Under | 75c | 53.01$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.01 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.0wins | +0.29per pick | 42cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed Over | 45c | 50$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.25 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf802…d91dbacked Under | 57c | 50$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +5.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe71f…09f2backed Over | 41c | 44.12$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf93a…8a46backed Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb6b…604ebacked Over | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 641 | 46.5%298 W · 343 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f5…57e2backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 251 | 54.2%136 W · 115 L | -13.5wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed Under | 48c | 24.23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 541 | 29.9%162 W · 379 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe589…5d00backed Under | 63c | 22.19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.19 | 45 | 68.9%31 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b1c…2a3ebacked Under | 71c | 21.38$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 168 | 51.2%86 W · 82 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 (BO3)Cloud9 won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 - Game 1 WinnerCloud9 won
- LoL: DN Freecs vs Cloud9 - Game 2 WinnerCloud9 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.