CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: TNC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group C
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x96a3a8a1e51d225b79b54ae5c2a46673ef0c02b40074fd59491c44cc782f34ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Zero Tenacityof TNC, ex-Zero Tenacity
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,431
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,272
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,431 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xda1a…3407backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 65c | 5,110$3,346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,763.47 | 289 | 60.6%175 W · 114 L | +14.1wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked TNC | 41c | 2,593$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,061.62 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…029cbacked TNC | 10c | 2,476$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.45 | 924 | 56.8%525 W · 399 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51f7…ae1fbacked TNC | 32c | 1,922$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.96 | 84 | 36.9%31 W · 53 L | +4.8wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed TNC | 1c | 1,906$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7f…7603backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 921.78$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.17 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -4.4wins | -0.26per pick | 50cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed TNC | 49c | 825.81$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405.03 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc34b…9296backed TNC | 33c | 777.84$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.69 | 2,009 | 53.9%1,082 W · 927 L | +7.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked TNC | 17c | 676.43$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.35 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed TNC | 3c | 643.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.14 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed TNC | 46c | 500$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 287 | 38%109 W · 178 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 481.45$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.69 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd652…6354backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 75c | 381.3$286 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.05 | 137 | 57.7%79 W · 58 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b50…1db2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 338.3$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed TNC | 39c | 321.71$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.47 | 259 | 34%88 W · 171 L | -8.6wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x616f…e14cbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 316.84$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.64 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19b5…c0aebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 309.21$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.73 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed TNC | 49c | 250$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.25 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc99…e947backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 210$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.9 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecfa…3c6fbacked TNC | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 90 | 27.8%25 W · 65 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed TNC | 11c | 199.16$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 176$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.7 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed TNC | 35c | 170$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd761…56e3backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 53c | 160.04$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.34 | 247 | 46.2%114 W · 133 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d08…5d9fbacked TNC | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 202 | 48%97 W · 105 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed TNC | 47c | 116.3$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.71 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71cf…10fdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 51c | 111.59$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.68 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aae…0da3backed TNC | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 142 | 55.6%79 W · 63 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8359…5944backed TNC | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 697 | 32%223 W · 474 L | -46.0wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed TNC | 38c | 90.89$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.67 | 677 | 50.2%340 W · 337 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked TNC | 32c | 86$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.71 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…cd7ebacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 64c | 80$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 154 | 55.2%85 W · 69 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a03…0af5backed TNC | 34c | 59.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.4 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…cccbbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 57$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.35 | 78 | 47.4%37 W · 41 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 38cpaid | +43.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfd3e…5a7abacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 79c | 52.76$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 166 | 51.8%86 W · 80 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6a…9a1fbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 51.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.61 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.2wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.17 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 45c | 43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.65 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked TNC | 36c | 41.7$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 79c | 41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.61 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c27…21a9backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 231 | 58.4%135 W · 96 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcdd…0ecdbacked ex-Zero Tenacity | 60c | 33.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.25 | 329 | 56.8%187 W · 142 L | -13.3wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…3518backed TNC | 35c | 30.33$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed TNC | 49c | 27.19$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 500 | 56.6%283 W · 217 L | +17.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 52c | 20.65$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.99 | 1,848 | 47.6%879 W · 969 L | -55.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x94c0…a805backed ex-Zero Tenacity | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed TNC | 70c | 16.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 210 | 52.4%110 W · 100 L | -6.0wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: TNC vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - Thunderpick World Championship European Series #1 Group Cthis page
- Map Handicap: ex-Zero Tenacity (-1.5) vs TNC (+1.5)ex-Zero Tenacity won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.