South American Leagues · resolved market
Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcc6a03f72638f4c1b57e03716c54c6a4542efae9d2db1c74f807bed4364136aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $46,051
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,148
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $46,051 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed Yes | 42c | 15,837$6,652 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,651.56 | 313 | 49.8%156 W · 157 L | +13.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 59c | 5,310$3,158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,152.6 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 2,059$1,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$737.25 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 59c | 1,675$986 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.39 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9020…2cfcbacked Yes | 36c | 1,386$495 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$495 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23d…82c8backed Yes | 41c | 1,354$557 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.62 | 300 | 48%144 W · 156 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdecf…caf2backed Yes | 40c | 868.63$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$351 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | -5.4wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -41.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 58c | 669.9$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.66 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 42c | 594$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.48 | 128 | 28.1%36 W · 92 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 38c | 516.05$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196 | 123 | 31.7%39 W · 84 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 38c | 500.48$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.74 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceb7…391ebacked Yes | 60c | 500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +7.7wins | +0.12per pick | 60cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Yes | 23c | 480.56$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.73 | 95 | 22.1%21 W · 74 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked Yes | 63c | 434.94$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.51 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed Yes | 73c | 419.99$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.59 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +8.7wins | +0.14per pick | 55cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed No | 50c | 356$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Yes | 50c | 356$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178 | 230 | 57.4%132 W · 98 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5048…4b29backed Yes | 21c | 340.48$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc18f…bb01backed Yes | 47c | 308.31$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.06 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7d1e…6b94backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed Yes | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 124 | 43.5%54 W · 70 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed No | 47c | 299.1$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.16 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.4wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3326…2d1ebacked Yes | 56c | 250$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 45 | 31.1%14 W · 31 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 21c | 238.1$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 769 | 51.5%396 W · 373 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9c…2a84backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +47%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed No | 27c | 221.22$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161.49 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a9b…7303backed No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 40c | 214.68$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.82 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a6…de14backed Yes | 50c | 202$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 53c | 200$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…80f9backed Yes | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 11cpaid | +289.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x101e…eaf4backed Yes | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 69c | 173.98$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 38c | 150$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 34 | 38.2%13 W · 21 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a3e…ef94backed No | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x764f…846ebacked Yes | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 19c | 96.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.35 | 67 | 31.3%21 W · 46 L | -4.9wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x928d…52a7backed Yes | 34c | 73.53$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x48dd…271dbacked Yes | 46c | 60.48$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb456…1774backed Yes | 53c | 60$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.8 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 59.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe361…bf48backed Yes | 43c | 58.14$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 84 | 33.3%28 W · 56 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…2c2cbacked Yes | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6c…2854backed Yes | 36c | 44.58$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 45c | 42.18$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.95 | 308 | 41.2%127 W · 181 L | +9.5wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 138 | 39.9%55 W · 83 L | +7.3wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d8…2374backed Yes | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7202…e9b1backed Yes | 41c | 36.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4915…60f2backed Yes | 46c | 32.61$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcd35…ecebbacked Yes | 36c | 30.56$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 46c | 30.13$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.2 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed No | 62c | 27.81$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 270 | 50.7%137 W · 133 L | -11.7wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Yes | 43c | 27.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 251 | 47.8%120 W · 131 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed No | 54c | 22$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.12 | 187 | 42.2%79 W · 108 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed No | 72c | 18.1$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +4.5wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AA Argentinos Juniors win on 2026-01-29?this page
- Will AA Estudiantes vs. AA Argentinos Juniors end in a draw?Yes won
- Will AA Estudiantes win on 2026-01-29?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.