MLB · resolved market
Dodgers vs. Orioles
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1be0b385d8ed7398f68d32cc2ed34aad5bfd66de0d36c47f0b8e74936b922c3c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Dodgersof Dodgers, Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $175,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $186,523
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $175,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 411 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa983…46a3backed Dodgers | 66c | 16,487$10,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,536.98 | 113 | 45.1%51 W · 62 L | -16.4wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed Orioles | 41c | 16,094$6,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,598.55 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Orioles | 29c | 15,310$4,445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,444.92 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Orioles | 0c | 15,222$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d0f…4faabacked Dodgers | 59c | 10,000$5,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,100 | 302 | 55.6%168 W · 134 L | +14.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf29b…dd4cbacked Orioles | 40c | 7,355$2,942 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,942 | 380 | 43.4%165 W · 215 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked Orioles | 17c | 5,224$901 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$901.35 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Orioles | 29c | 4,804$1,411 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,411.14 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Dodgers | 59c | 4,402$2,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,804.96 | 282 | 58.5%165 W · 117 L | +11.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Orioles | 7c | 4,204$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.29 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Orioles | 42c | 3,843$1,614 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,614.06 | 380 | 47.6%181 W · 199 L | -8.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9d…02c7backed Dodgers | 58c | 3,308$1,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,389.36 | 359 | 52.4%188 W · 171 L | -5.4wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Dodgers | 59c | 2,924$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.9 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1642…5988backed Dodgers | 60c | 2,200$1,320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 692 | 49%339 W · 353 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Orioles | 14c | 1,870$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.4 | 961 | 33.9%326 W · 635 L | -38.9wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Orioles | 41c | 1,561$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640.01 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d4…a077backed Orioles | 40c | 1,322$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$528.8 | 508 | 43.3%220 W · 288 L | +21.8wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x377c…91aebacked Orioles | 15c | 1,300$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +13.5wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Orioles | 40c | 1,200$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478.04 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Orioles | 8c | 1,104$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea1…56f2backed Orioles | 40c | 1,067$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.8 | 124 | 36.3%45 W · 79 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Orioles | 41c | 975$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.75 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7430…3af2backed Dodgers | 59c | 960$566 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$393.6 | 207 | 48.8%101 W · 106 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Orioles | 42c | 959.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 652 | 48.3%315 W · 337 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c85…77c6backed Dodgers | 60c | 850$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 927 | 54.9%509 W · 418 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Orioles | 39c | 823.6$319 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.02 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Dodgers | 59c | 765.27$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.76 | 687 | 69.6%478 W · 209 L | +60.4wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd28e…aae3backed Orioles | 40c | 730$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292 | 444 | 43%191 W · 253 L | +21.1wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Orioles | 10c | 660$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1,097 | 50.1%550 W · 547 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked Dodgers | 60c | 646$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.4 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Dodgers | 60c | 602.48$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.99 | 308 | 42.9%132 W · 176 L | -10.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…289abacked Orioles | 41c | 537$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.17 | 179 | 46.4%83 W · 96 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d64…01fabacked Orioles | 38c | 532.42$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.32 | 513 | 47%241 W · 272 L | +32.0wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed Orioles | 38c | 524.99$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.1 | 1,435 | 50%717 W · 718 L | +25.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Dodgers | 60c | 505$303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 378 | 57.4%217 W · 161 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…048ebacked Dodgers | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf235…366dbacked Orioles | 41c | 474.12$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.39 | 1,078 | 46.3%499 W · 579 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Orioles | 40c | 450.01$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 1,360 | 44.3%602 W · 758 L | +45.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked Orioles | 16c | 432.84$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.27 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Orioles | 9c | 422.29$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x351b…4d06backed Dodgers | 60c | 375$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 129 | 39.5%51 W · 78 L | -6.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce6d…28b5backed Dodgers | 59c | 300$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123 | 1,483 | 50.2%745 W · 738 L | +5.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2816…c811backed Orioles | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 41.2%14 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…3885backed Orioles | 39c | 245$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.55 | 52 | 38.5%20 W · 32 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Orioles | 41c | 243.9$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 260 | 55%143 W · 117 L | +21.2wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefa9…7a30backed Orioles | 41c | 243$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.63 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -7.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Orioles | 41c | 234.15$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeac3…730ebacked Dodgers | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5f…84bfbacked Dodgers | 60c | 219.2$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.68 | 1,051 | 50.4%530 W · 521 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Orioles | 21c | 201.37$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.04 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20e5…d3bcbacked Orioles | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -4.7wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf267…0a4cbacked Orioles | 38c | 200$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76 | 130 | 52.3%68 W · 62 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7fd0…7efcbacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x245f…b6d7backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7e40…4efabacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea3…e142backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8381…ebcfbacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ed…78e3backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac5…3536backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 60%30 W · 20 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44d3…6f65backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e2…5daebacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d07…3068backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f8f…963ebacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 58 | 39.7%23 W · 35 L | -4.8wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x093b…e84cbacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cca…6c96backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ed1…d738backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61a6…835abacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee96…55e1backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8981…f8bdbacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf15e…23e4backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 56 | 46.4%26 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c32…7ff0backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc815…d9d0backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58c7…c60fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7164…f463backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa308…46aebacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbc26…1430backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 58.2%32 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd947…5b89backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3161…661fbacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 54.5%30 W · 25 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb571…fdfabacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -4.0wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb6…7beabacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe736…6b50backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a49…e04bbacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x403f…2206backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfd1…1809backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +6.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa4be…50adbacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 59 | 55.9%33 W · 26 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e10…5a63backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ea7…5866backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8825…d29ebacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb0…c4ddbacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a1b…ae68backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf149…b05ebacked Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1a…feabbacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41e5…8801backed Orioles | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd7bc…1d5ebacked Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e2d…b430backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc561…efc9backed Dodgers | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.