MLB · resolved market
White Sox vs. Guardians
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2efa38daa0aeed38f3936e27410568320d9afbee19936ac17e691cf74c467255
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Guardiansof White Sox, Guardians
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $91,928
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,736
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,928 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox | 39c | 20,232$7,936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,936.26 | 1,530 | 50.5%772 W · 758 L | +20.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians | 59c | 20,000$11,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,200 | 269 | 49.4%133 W · 136 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed White Sox | 41c | 18,447$7,563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,563.27 | 604 | 51%308 W · 296 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians | 60c | 9,495$5,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,797.89 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians | 63c | 6,480$4,069 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,410.44 | 2,274 | 43.2%983 W · 1,291 L | +43.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox | 39c | 4,034$1,573 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,573.14 | 342 | 45%154 W · 188 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3890…39e3backed White Sox | 40c | 3,768$1,507 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,507.03 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eb8…74b8backed Guardians | 60c | 3,508$2,105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.2 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Guardians | 59c | 3,428$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.66 | 731 | 49.4%361 W · 370 L | +23.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed Guardians | 60c | 2,623$1,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,037.56 | 784 | 45.3%355 W · 429 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox | 40c | 2,571$1,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,028.47 | 2,470 | 52.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L | +17.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1e0…8913backed Guardians | 60c | 2,442$1,465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.67 | 77 | 58.4%45 W · 32 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox | 41c | 2,433$997 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.49 | 1,328 | 51.4%682 W · 646 L | +25.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox | 41c | 2,284$932 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$932.16 | 631 | 52.6%332 W · 299 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians | 60c | 2,200$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$881 | 301 | 51.5%155 W · 146 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed White Sox | 37c | 1,704$637 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$636.75 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x016e…c700backed Guardians | 59c | 1,317$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$539.95 | 241 | 54.4%131 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox | 41c | 1,052$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.86 | 1,132 | 48.9%553 W · 579 L | -16.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bbc…f458backed Guardians | 63c | 1,026$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$379.62 | 207 | 47.8%99 W · 108 L | -11.6wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 832 | 48%399 W · 433 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox | 35c | 945.18$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.99 | 549 | 41%225 W · 324 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd727…eccebacked White Sox | 40c | 900$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 3,291 | 46.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L | +20.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55d8…b384backed Guardians | 59c | 677.97$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.97 | 577 | 44.7%258 W · 319 L | -6.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians | 61c | 655$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255.45 | 1,293 | 46.6%603 W · 690 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ad…9d38backed Guardians | 60c | 633$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253.2 | 170 | 45.3%77 W · 93 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians | 73c | 565.42$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.97 | 764 | 56%428 W · 336 L | +32.0wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x460a…d738backed White Sox | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 563 | 51%287 W · 276 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba56…b1e3backed White Sox | 42c | 416.67$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians | 59c | 400$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164 | 519 | 53.2%276 W · 243 L | -24.2wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox | 25c | 399.93$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.19 | 708 | 41.4%293 W · 415 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e88…cdfcbacked Guardians | 61c | 372.5$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Guardians | 59c | 369.77$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.61 | 277 | 51.3%142 W · 135 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1037…413fbacked Guardians | 64c | 356.05$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128.18 | 140 | 55.7%78 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3389…62d9backed Guardians | 63c | 294.75$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.06 | 85 | 62.4%53 W · 32 L | +6.3wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked White Sox | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 217 | 48.4%105 W · 112 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…7becbacked Guardians | 56c | 250$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.15 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4472…a648backed Guardians | 61c | 247.7$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.7 | 999 | 51%509 W · 490 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b28…66f0backed Guardians | 61c | 245.9$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.9 | 104 | 51%53 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x328e…dc42backed Guardians | 62c | 243.56$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.62 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x248c…d914backed White Sox | 40c | 204$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.6 | 242 | 53.7%130 W · 112 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6891…949fbacked Guardians | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3713…14e8backed Guardians | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc805…e5dbbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcff…0e58backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7623…565dbacked Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 46.2%24 W · 28 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee0f…f1dcbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef60…c2a7backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac3…fd57backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473f…7be5backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ed2…1bfabacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -6.4wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -23%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0819…daa2backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bbe…798bbacked Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -6.1wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4767…3838backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6679…ceb7backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -5.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb35d…27b8backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a04…dbe9backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…489fbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -4.2wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c0…10b0backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.3wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -19%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5274…4ce8backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 55.8%29 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02cc…dc16backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde56…935dbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61a…d19cbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…8fdebacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b46…f029backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb6f…4119backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff1b…feaebacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c39…854bbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa7…eda6backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a0…4623backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dd1…91ddbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75bc…b2c0backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d68…6d8abacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 52%26 W · 24 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa57b…da2ebacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa54e…f109backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24cb…4cedbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaecb…15b4backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 50 | 58%29 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…d3ecbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfffb…e4d0backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe156…646cbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x686f…1c9abacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 55.6%30 W · 24 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x282d…8af7backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8574…df83backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed34…278ebacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -3.7wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc72…0188backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2574…9e78backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fec…a7b4backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3e…07ebbacked Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 44.2%23 W · 29 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc711…092ebacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc246…5addbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 45.3%24 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x79fb…6458backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.4wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3eb0…9c5cbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -4.3wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1243…18cfbacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 53.7%29 W · 25 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0957…502ebacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdcd…8364backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41dd…05fabacked White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4463…7565backed White Sox | 40c | 200$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ade…3223backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 49.1%27 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3070…218cbacked Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x247e…3a07backed Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5b…02fabacked Guardians | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- White Sox vs. Guardiansthis page
- Spread: Guardians (-1.5)White Sox won
- White Sox vs. Guardians: O/U 8.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.