TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

White Sox vs. Guardians

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Guardiansof White Sox, Guardians
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$91,928
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$92,736

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $91,928 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 302 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdf2e…ddecbacked White Sox39c20,232$7,936 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,936.261,53050.5%772 W · 758 L+20.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf5f2…0234backed Guardians59c20,000$11,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,20026949.4%133 W · 136 L+1.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1117…3532backed White Sox41c18,447$7,563 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,563.2760451%308 W · 296 L-2.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Guardians60c9,495$5,697 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,797.891,59150.3%801 W · 790 L+68.9wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa6a8…5009backed Guardians63c6,480$4,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,410.442,27443.2%983 W · 1,291 L+43.8wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc5b…5b15backed White Sox39c4,034$1,573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,573.1434245%154 W · 188 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3890…39e3backed White Sox40c3,768$1,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,507.032642.3%11 W · 15 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x6eb8…74b8backed Guardians60c3,508$2,105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,403.23452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid0%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5137…1556backed Guardians59c3,428$2,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.6673149.4%361 W · 370 L+23.5wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2129…4222backed Guardians60c2,623$1,585 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,037.5678445.3%355 W · 429 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked White Sox40c2,571$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.472,47052.5%1,296 W · 1,174 L+17.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1e0…8913backed Guardians60c2,442$1,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$976.677758.4%45 W · 32 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7fb7…e33dbacked White Sox41c2,433$997 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$997.491,32851.4%682 W · 646 L+25.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5139…a8dbbacked White Sox41c2,284$932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$932.1663152.6%332 W · 299 L-0.3wins0.00per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5bc4…f44fbacked Guardians60c2,200$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88130151.5%155 W · 146 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed White Sox37c1,704$637 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.759,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x016e…c700backed Guardians59c1,317$777 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$539.9524154.4%131 W · 110 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cbe…12bcbacked White Sox41c1,052$434 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.861,13248.9%553 W · 579 L-16.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1bbc…f458backed Guardians63c1,026$646 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$379.6220747.8%99 W · 108 L-11.6wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked White Sox40c1,000$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40083248%399 W · 433 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6f4…0566backed White Sox35c945.18$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.9954941%225 W · 324 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-22.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked White Sox40c900$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3603,29146.2%1,521 W · 1,770 L+20.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x55d8…b384backed Guardians59c677.97$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.9757744.7%258 W · 319 L-6.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd523…0aa4backed Guardians61c655$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$255.451,29346.6%603 W · 690 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ad…9d38backed Guardians60c633$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.217045.3%77 W · 93 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Guardians73c565.42$410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.9776456%428 W · 336 L+32.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x460a…d738backed White Sox40c500$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20056351%287 W · 276 L+15.6wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xba56…b1e3backed White Sox42c416.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1755742.1%24 W · 33 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Guardians59c400$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16451953.2%276 W · 243 L-24.2wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x77c5…9a0ebacked White Sox25c399.93$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.1970841.4%293 W · 415 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e88…cdfcbacked Guardians61c372.5$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$145.281100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb5e7…3c1abacked Guardians59c369.77$218 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.6127751.3%142 W · 135 L-5.7wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1037…413fbacked Guardians64c356.05$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.1814055.7%78 W · 62 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3389…62d9backed Guardians63c294.75$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.068562.4%53 W · 32 L+6.3wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8ee5…ca6bbacked White Sox37c270.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10021748.4%105 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…7becbacked Guardians56c250$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.156949.3%34 W · 35 L+5.6wins+0.08per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4472…a648backed Guardians61c247.7$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.799951%509 W · 490 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b28…66f0backed Guardians61c245.9$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.910451%53 W · 51 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x328e…dc42backed Guardians62c243.56$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.6221847.7%104 W · 114 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-14%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x248c…d914backed White Sox40c204$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.624253.7%130 W · 112 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6891…949fbacked Guardians58c200$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$842347.8%11 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.09per pick57cpaid-29.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3713…14e8backed Guardians61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$782951.7%15 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xc805…e5dbbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805343.4%23 W · 30 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcff…0e58backed Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805048%24 W · 26 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7623…565dbacked Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805246.2%24 W · 28 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-7.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xee0f…f1dcbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805543.6%24 W · 31 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef60…c2a7backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805350.9%27 W · 26 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac3…fd57backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805149%25 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x473f…7be5backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ed2…1bfabacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805339.6%21 W · 32 L-6.4wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-23%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x0819…daa2backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805253.8%28 W · 24 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bbe…798bbacked Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805038%19 W · 31 L-6.1wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-20.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4767…3838backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6679…ceb7backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805141.2%21 W · 30 L-5.8wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-21.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0xb35d…27b8backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+4.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a04…dbe9backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805354.7%29 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+12.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6ceb…489fbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805044%22 W · 28 L-4.2wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb2c0…10b0backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805040%20 W · 30 L-5.3wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-19%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x5274…4ce8backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805255.8%29 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x02cc…dc16backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805152.9%27 W · 24 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xde56…935dbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805347.2%25 W · 28 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-6.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb61a…d19cbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805343.4%23 W · 30 L-3.0wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0609…8fdebacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b46…f029backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805451.9%28 W · 26 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb6f…4119backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805149%25 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff1b…feaebacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4c39…854bbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805149%25 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9aa7…eda6backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805151%26 W · 25 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54a0…4623backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805248.1%25 W · 27 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dd1…91ddbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805250%26 W · 26 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x75bc…b2c0backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805448.1%26 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d68…6d8abacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805052%26 W · 24 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa57b…da2ebacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805345.3%24 W · 29 L-2.4wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa54e…f109backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805349.1%26 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x24cb…4cedbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaecb…15b4backed Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805058%29 W · 21 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c93…d3ecbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfffb…e4d0backed Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805149%25 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe156…646cbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805141.2%21 W · 30 L-4.7wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-15.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x686f…1c9abacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805455.6%30 W · 24 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+9.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x282d…8af7backed Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805248.1%25 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8574…df83backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805240.4%21 W · 31 L-5.2wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xed34…278ebacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805044%22 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc72…0188backed Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2574…9e78backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805251.9%27 W · 25 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1fec…a7b4backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805145.1%23 W · 28 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c3e…07ebbacked Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805244.2%23 W · 29 L-4.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc711…092ebacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805350.9%27 W · 26 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc246…5addbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805345.3%24 W · 29 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x79fb…6458backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805437%20 W · 34 L-7.4wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-25.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x3eb0…9c5cbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805343.4%23 W · 30 L-4.3wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1243…18cfbacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805453.7%29 W · 25 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0957…502ebacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdcd…8364backed Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805248.1%25 W · 27 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41dd…05fabacked White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.9wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+11.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4463…7565backed White Sox40c200$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805448.1%26 W · 28 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ade…3223backed Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805549.1%27 W · 28 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3070…218cbacked Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805444.4%24 W · 30 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x247e…3a07backed Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805147.1%24 W · 27 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a5b…02fabacked Guardians60c200$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$805644.6%25 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.