Middle East · resolved market
Israel strikes Yemen by Friday?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54df940788d482cd21110d180affd7f48c89e6797b12f64a157353274ede77c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Middle Eastevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $125,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $123,872
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 197 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Middle East is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Middle East | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xddc0…3a00backed No | 53c | 11,879$6,261 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,617.86 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc943…c591backed Yes | 3c | 8,014$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…f294backed Yes | 32c | 7,042$2,270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,269.88 | 42 | 16.7%7 W · 35 L | -4.0wins | -0.10per pick | 26cpaid | -64.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 17c | 5,562$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.84 | 65 | 49.2%32 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x037e…0c63backed Yes | 30c | 4,616$1,371 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,371.24 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76b0…338abacked Yes | 41c | 4,323$1,772 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,771.86 | 56 | 42.9%24 W · 32 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 22c | 4,052$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.42 | 64 | 9.4%6 W · 58 L | -4.1wins | -0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -68.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…2c73backed Yes | 46c | 4,042$1,870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,870.49 | 377 | 40.1%151 W · 226 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Yes | 33c | 3,000$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$987.8 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebda…75a9backed Yes | 33c | 2,761$923 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.25 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa510…1f80backed Yes | 9c | 2,734$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.13 | 74 | 13.5%10 W · 64 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 11cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4bac…ba73backed Yes | 70c | 2,561$1,798 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,798.15 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 47cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcda1…d9adbacked No | 74c | 2,420$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$631.16 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -5.4wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0a26…1851backed Yes | 59c | 2,000$1,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,180 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.99 | 272 | 33.8%92 W · 180 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x110a…38a8backed Yes | 4c | 1,722$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.44 | 187 | 9.1%17 W · 170 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f42…b88fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,721$691 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690.67 | 367 | 50.4%185 W · 182 L | +39.6wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf1b5…4025backed No | 57c | 1,400$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$602 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4d1d…5aa0backed Yes | 11c | 1,371$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.3 | 219 | 26.5%58 W · 161 L | +12.7wins | +0.06per pick | 21cpaid | +76.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa98b…850cbacked No | 79c | 1,321$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.75 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c3…5d8ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,032$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.66 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -53.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 40c | 1,015$406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$406.1 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x490e…9d7cbacked Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 71c | 999.99$705 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.59 | 643 | 39.3%253 W · 390 L | -59.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82dc…aa35backed Yes | 25c | 999.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6a…f9d0backed Yes | 29c | 972.85$283 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.63 | 126 | 34.9%44 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17e5…3d19backed Yes | 12c | 952.53$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.35 | 136 | 29.4%40 W · 96 L | -10.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -48.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 9c | 889.12$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.51 | 1,558 | 7.2%112 W · 1,446 L | -35.1wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c3…5152backed Yes | 34c | 887.77$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44c7…32cbbacked No | 63c | 885.67$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.92 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -32%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 21c | 874.18$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.92 | 865 | 42.3%366 W · 499 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2cde…5b98backed No | 3c | 856.81$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$831.11 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +7.6wins | +0.15per pick | 13cpaid | +151%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7214…433bbacked No | 72c | 837.38$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.38 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x912a…0f92backed Yes | 14c | 799.82$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.17 | 123 | 5.7%7 W · 116 L | -10.1wins | -0.08per pick | 14cpaid | -83.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2f…578fbacked No | 52c | 727.73$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +12%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e85…8414backed Yes | 54c | 642.81$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8b…1ea1backed No | 66c | 633.52$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.82 | 45 | 53.3%24 W · 21 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x498c…0650backed Yes | 33c | 607.53$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 39cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf210…e8bdbacked No | 59c | 604$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.64 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -53.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0d…2a33backed Yes | 21c | 601.74$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d51…f56cbacked Yes | 28c | 600$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84fd…2f81backed No | 46c | 599.99$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.5 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d6d…f2b4backed No | 75c | 580$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.8 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9178…a2b2backed Yes | 30c | 578$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.68 | 208 | 23.1%48 W · 160 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed Yes | 39c | 552.03$214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.52 | 316 | 49.7%157 W · 159 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba2d…8646backed Yes | 8c | 546.17$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a6d…3c85backed No | 47c | 529.21$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.21 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7f1…73cdbacked Yes | 27c | 500$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 563 | 36.6%206 W · 357 L | +44.4wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…aa40backed No | 74c | 500$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.7 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f0…e173backed Yes | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7458…fecfbacked No | 56c | 499.99$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a78…30b6backed No | 69c | 475$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 53cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38d0…ea89backed Yes | 26c | 467.57$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.57 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.1wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf815…4f3ebacked Yes | 59c | 422.71$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.47 | 27 | 37%10 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1232…6984backed Yes | 24c | 421.29$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 19cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…d3c7backed Yes | 24c | 417$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50a4…bdf5backed Yes | 51c | 412.88$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 34 | 29.4%10 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04bf…7cafbacked No | 56c | 399.06$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.59 | 48 | 62.5%30 W · 18 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfea6…a363backed Yes | 5c | 393.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab70…1b52backed No | 62c | 374.36$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.71 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked No | 67c | 374.24$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.24 | 74 | 45.9%34 W · 40 L | +5.2wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa0af…e499backed No | 77c | 359.02$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.14 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +48.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd72…4a1ebacked Yes | 10c | 328.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.84 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 28c | 322.53$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.53 | 896 | 17.1%153 W · 743 L | -57.2wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -35%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9238…ac3ebacked No | 74c | 313.51$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -55%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b3e…0b91backed Yes | 13c | 311.11$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 23cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1bae…d6f1backed Yes | 17c | 310.73$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.71 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00a…c77cbacked Yes | 39c | 310.29$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.43 | 47 | 53.2%25 W · 22 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x73f9…9dbebacked Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…65fdbacked Yes | 49c | 300$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146 | 61 | 36.1%22 W · 39 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde70…81fdbacked No | 57c | 270$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1cc…71f4backed No | 77c | 260.33$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.33 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.8wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8c…a6dcbacked No | 64c | 259.87$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.55 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf37b…da7abacked Yes | 39c | 259.62$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa116…6f3bbacked Yes | 40c | 250.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 26cpaid | -81.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe371…d32ebacked Yes | 40c | 250$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 16.2%6 W · 31 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 31cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x47ff…2209backed No | 44c | 238.52$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0db…6693backed Yes | 24c | 231.96$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.67 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52a8…9bafbacked Yes | 45c | 220.02$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3e…eddbbacked Yes | 33c | 215.29$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8c…890fbacked Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.7 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ed0…92debacked No | 73c | 209.48$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.88 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.13per pick | 51cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa03…c6c4backed No | 77c | 206.24$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 67cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89ae…4b0abacked Yes | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -4.1wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -94.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2d4e…edb0backed Yes | 30c | 199.99$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 87 | 25.3%22 W · 65 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 19cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa51b…26b1backed No | 64c | 199.37$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 71 | 47.9%34 W · 37 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb32…db85backed Yes | 10c | 197.39$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 344 | 40.4%139 W · 205 L | -4.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed Yes | 48c | 186.03$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6286…f59cbacked Yes | 17c | 170$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.59 | 255 | 18%46 W · 209 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x388e…2078backed No | 57c | 170$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.1 | 91 | 53.8%49 W · 42 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed Yes | 22c | 165.09$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.9 | 266 | 16.5%44 W · 222 L | -24.7wins | -0.09per pick | 26cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4655…4825backed No | 61c | 165.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.01 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…1e34backed No | 61c | 163.92$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.92 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7122…4e23backed Yes | 62c | 161.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -49.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcec6…0b1abacked No | 56c | 159.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 34 | 14.7%5 W · 29 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…f511backed No | 50c | 159.99$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 55 | 32.7%18 W · 37 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9d…478abacked Yes | 14c | 159.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.6 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -7.3wins | -0.13per pick | 29cpaid | -73.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4c7d…52bebacked No | 63c | 157.74$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.74 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a8…5c27backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.10per pick | 28cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Middle East and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.