Tennis · resolved market
ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Katie Boulter
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc63d3ae0a6992f75568bcc52d1ec9c44c4ec2dba8ed0c250c52c90c65d3f6fe3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Svitolinaof Svitolina, Boulter
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $134,952
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $168,220
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $134,952 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5f78…bfcabacked Boulter | 0c | 9,820$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.24 | 87 | 13.8%12 W · 75 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -59.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Boulter | 7c | 6,927$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$494.14 | 2,068 | 34.9%721 W · 1,347 L | -44.2wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4a4…3117backed Boulter | 9c | 6,408$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.19 | 123 | 13.8%17 W · 106 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boulter | 9c | 5,582$477 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$476.7 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boulter | 11c | 3,368$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.72 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dea…3792backed Svitolina | 79c | 3,114$2,468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.39 | 369 | 68%251 W · 118 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 68cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f1a…cee8backed Boulter | 9c | 2,430$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -58.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Boulter | 9c | 2,236$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.82 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Boulter | 11c | 2,010$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked Boulter | 1c | 1,699$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.61 | 1,410 | 38.4%542 W · 868 L | -13.4wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -25%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Boulter | 3c | 1,622$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.47 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…70dfbacked Boulter | 21c | 1,400$294 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.04 | 441 | 25.4%112 W · 329 L | -11.3wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Boulter | 6c | 1,135$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.82 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7e5…fe31backed Boulter | 2c | 1,100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Boulter | 7c | 999.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Boulter | 21c | 997.32$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.19 | 551 | 43.4%239 W · 312 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Boulter | 12c | 777$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.24 | 269 | 21.2%57 W · 212 L | -10.2wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Boulter | 5c | 739.43$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.66 | 156 | 5.8%9 W · 147 L | -32.4wins | -0.21per pick | 27cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 30-0.18 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Boulter | 33c | 593.79$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.92 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Boulter | 27c | 579.65$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.89 | 1,655 | 50.1%829 W · 826 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Boulter | 11c | 488.65$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.75 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Boulter | 7c | 449.99$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 459 | 9.6%44 W · 415 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…5878backed Boulter | 22c | 394.76$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.85 | 277 | 33.6%93 W · 184 L | +9.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…387cbacked Boulter | 6c | 327.08$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.73 | 222 | 36.9%82 W · 140 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Boulter | 6c | 320.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 281 | 39.1%110 W · 171 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Boulter | 18c | 288.55$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea31…f286backed Boulter | 22c | 250.23$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9de5…e8f5backed Svitolina | 80c | 250$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 96 | 69.8%67 W · 29 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3d…f572backed Boulter | 19c | 250$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +156.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7daf…0ec8backed Svitolina | 68c | 220.58$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.59 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeed0…dd5ebacked Boulter | 33c | 205.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.91 | 109 | 43.1%47 W · 62 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Boulter | 6c | 200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 108 | 9.3%10 W · 98 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc88d…1da9backed Svitolina | 60c | 200$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 79 | 34.2%27 W · 52 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ae…82bdbacked Boulter | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 220 | 21.8%48 W · 172 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Boulter | 20c | 164$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.8 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33f1…f95fbacked Svitolina | 75c | 154.83$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.76 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.21per pick | 65cpaid | +34.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Boulter | 20c | 127.1$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.42 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Svitolina | 71c | 112.96$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.47 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e4…d1f7backed Boulter | 10c | 104.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 102 | 32.4%33 W · 69 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f42…2260backed Svitolina | 79c | 101.27$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.27 | 161 | 58.4%94 W · 67 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Boulter | 13c | 99.22$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.75 | 1,258 | 50%629 W · 629 L | -4.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Boulter | 20c | 95.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 730 | 48.8%356 W · 374 L | -18.5wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8566…3750backed Boulter | 22c | 89.65$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.18per pick | 36cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef35…c333backed Svitolina | 79c | 86.77$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.22 | 74 | 66.2%49 W · 25 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18ed…04cbbacked Svitolina | 69c | 80$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 43 | 58.1%25 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Svitolina | 79c | 72.41$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.21 | 341 | 59.5%203 W · 138 L | -8.2wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Boulter | 21c | 65.31$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.72 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x555c…dc37backed Svitolina | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 106 | 54.7%58 W · 48 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ee…6899backed Boulter | 27c | 58.5$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b7…8b0cbacked Boulter | 22c | 53.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.05 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -59.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4a0c…3843backed Svitolina | 79c | 50.63$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 75cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…0a16backed Svitolina | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 270 | 58.1%157 W · 113 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb2…34c7backed Svitolina | 79c | 48.1$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 70cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe759…3648backed Svitolina | 74c | 32.51$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.51 | 155 | 51.6%80 W · 75 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x650b…683fbacked Svitolina | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Svitolina | 79c | 29.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 465 | 56.1%261 W · 204 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Svitolina | 68c | 29.41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.41 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Svitolina | 78c | 29.09$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.4 | 107 | 55.1%59 W · 48 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefb4…9653backed Svitolina | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 61 | 73.8%45 W · 16 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408c…e57ebacked Svitolina | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2bf…ceeabacked Svitolina | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.39 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Svitolina | 68c | 22$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 319 | 48.9%156 W · 163 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf395…ac0abacked Svitolina | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8665…6facbacked Svitolina | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- ASB Classic: Elina Svitolina vs Katie Boulterthis page
- Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs BoulterSvitolina won
- Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Boulter (+1.5)Svitolina won
- Svitolina vs. Boulter: Match O/U 21.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Boulter: Set 1 Games O/U 10.5Over won
- Svitolina vs. Boulter: Set 1 Games O/U 8.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.