World Politics · resolved market
Indian Election: Will BJP win a majority of seats?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7c3a0678edb1278cf44b8a4a5c1a4cb13ad66622ac2abebed51186654423c19c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,624
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,361
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,624 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb21c…6845backed No | 9c | 16,325$1,532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,793.28 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.33per pick | 7cpaid | +521.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a53…6cc0backed No | 4c | 9,612$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,256.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,602.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44c1…ebc1backed No | 68c | 9,588$6,488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,100.01 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47c1…825fbacked No | 8c | 9,348$765 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,582.51 | 51 | 13.7%7 W · 44 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 9cpaid | +106.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e1…a854backed No | 23c | 9,233$2,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,131.28 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +191.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08fe…b8b2backed No | 26c | 9,195$2,359 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,836.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 28cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7789…f823backed Yes | 67c | 7,837$5,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,277.98 | 53 | 17%9 W · 44 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9b94…5597backed No | 11c | 7,588$822 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,766.46 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.27per pick | 6cpaid | +207.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ab8…d256backed No | 14c | 6,971$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,021.04 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.1wins | +0.22per pick | 18cpaid | +167%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef61…c705backed No | 14c | 6,906$949 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,956.77 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | +106%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb268…46c7backed No | 13c | 5,932$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,141.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.29per pick | 21cpaid | +278.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd42f…047dbacked Yes | 28c | 4,725$1,310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,310.16 | 44 | 27.3%12 W · 32 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcc9…4534backed Yes | 55c | 2,650$1,448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,448.18 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 45cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaca0…b391backed No | 13c | 2,131$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,859.56 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 9cpaid | +293%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 15c | 2,074$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,755.54 | 367 | 42.5%156 W · 211 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f03…c49dbacked No | 11c | 1,839$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,628.78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 9cpaid | +309.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd24b…2374backed No | 15c | 1,696$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,443.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +298.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb1b5…c53dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,510$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$663.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0f…2a54backed Yes | 77c | 1,305$1,010 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,010 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 67cpaid | -64.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7c60…d2c3backed Yes | 12c | 1,131$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd492…f2f0backed Yes | 28c | 1,123$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa269…f102backed No | 19c | 1,064$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$861.77 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +162.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc411…caa7backed No | 9c | 1,029$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$935.17 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +265.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x298e…00f3backed No | 7c | 1,014$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$943.02 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.61per pick | 6cpaid | +852.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef19…6f96backed Yes | 59c | 840.42$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33b1…0a93backed Yes | 35c | 776.79$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -53.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd1…0c4fbacked Yes | 8c | 524.91$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.39 | 92 | 37%34 W · 58 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1da1…8757backed Yes | 42c | 497.95$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed No | 65c | 391.71$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.1 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa06f…c402backed Yes | 22c | 362.28$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.48 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e1…5aecbacked No | 3c | 337.7$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$326.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +1,454.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fc…8629backed No | 28c | 337$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 15cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e72…e7b0backed Yes | 7c | 270.27$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x044d…f2b6backed No | 9c | 243.33$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.44per pick | 6cpaid | +429.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…e414backed No | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5642…7e6fbacked Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x415c…3c94backed No | 16c | 200$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd889…4febbacked Yes | 12c | 117.56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6675…e8afbacked No | 19c | 113.84$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.21 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +165.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb62b…3104backed Yes | 48c | 106.03$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb653…bfbebacked No | 17c | 60.76$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.43 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.83per pick | 17cpaid | +488.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.