World Politics · resolved market
Will Unidad por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x28c3bf084881ba58821b480dfe647b9756fd3508d495e2467375f8b3118ce046
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,404
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $66,394
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,404 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc8d…e174backed No | 26c | 17,697$4,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,601.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…5148backed Yes | 74c | 6,112$4,523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,589.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ec…a029backed Yes | 74c | 6,090$4,507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,583.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe687…01ffbacked Yes | 74c | 5,495$4,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,428.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefd8…c525backed Yes | 77c | 4,013$3,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe9…8308backed No | 24c | 2,000$478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$478 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 76c | 1,671$1,271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.34 | 88 | 21.6%19 W · 69 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa364…792ebacked Yes | 79c | 1,108$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -18%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed No | 21c | 719.69$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.35 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa65c…32fbbacked Yes | 79c | 510$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.1 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 18c | 496.43$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.36 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5567…aeedbacked No | 23c | 473.99$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.98 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 17c | 462.92$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.53 | 1,022 | 28%286 W · 736 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aba…c083backed No | 18c | 457.78$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.48 | 80 | 36.3%29 W · 51 L | +5.8wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x38e5…95e7backed No | 15c | 429$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.35 | 150 | 26%39 W · 111 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 80c | 400$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 549 | 34.6%190 W · 359 L | -37.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4959…a6f5backed No | 21c | 364.45$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.47 | 322 | 55%177 W · 145 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x28ca…5d19backed Yes | 76c | 350$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 76 | 31.6%24 W · 52 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -27%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 79c | 317.31$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.98 | 482 | 24.7%119 W · 363 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057d…4d1fbacked No | 26c | 240.92$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.84 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 75c | 237$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.03 | 192 | 37.5%72 W · 120 L | -6.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 20c | 228$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.91 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4333…1f57backed No | 21c | 180$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 58 | 43.1%25 W · 33 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…e93fbacked Yes | 80c | 133.7$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.33 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 76cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked Yes | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 134 | 46.3%62 W · 72 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeba9…59e6backed Yes | 76c | 133.24$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ac7…d6bcbacked Yes | 76c | 131.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 19c | 120$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xe347…b438backed No | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 92 | 54.3%50 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x442a…7c94backed Yes | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | +6.1wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | +93.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b4…2a97backed No | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +48.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c9…8d23backed Yes | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6a8…f4d2backed Yes | 80c | 94.73$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ab9…fd27backed Yes | 79c | 91.03$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.98 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 73cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9099…8491backed No | 26c | 77.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.79 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 22c | 76.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc994…833dbacked Yes | 78c | 64.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.06 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 69cpaid | +15%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x560f…6351backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe90e…7e26backed Yes | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed No | 19c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 91 | 52.7%48 W · 43 L | -6.8wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x96df…1f97backed Yes | 73c | 56.43$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.24 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -43.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d27…ced0backed No | 24c | 50$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87b1…2997backed Yes | 76c | 50$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 40c | 44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x30c0…cda7backed No | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 77c | 34$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.82 | 76 | 46.1%35 W · 41 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4f5…d03bbacked Yes | 78c | 32.35$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…a8e2backed Yes | 78c | 32.06$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e89…a2bdbacked Yes | 78c | 30.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.71 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898a…16a0backed Yes | 80c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.1 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x35e1…f41dbacked Yes | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80df…3407backed Yes | 54c | 25.93$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.93 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +55.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe424…0d1abacked Yes | 78c | 25.14$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.53 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.05per pick | 66cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f6b…e0c0backed Yes | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe502…a279backed Yes | 78c | 22.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 75c | 20.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.02 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…116fbacked Yes | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe9fe…f3bcbacked Yes | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…e011backed Yes | 72c | 18$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7916…b069backed Yes | 80c | 17.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Unidad por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?this page
- Will Cambio por Chile hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?No won
- Will Chile Grande y Unido hold the most seats in the Chamber of Deputies?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.