CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stage
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0200b39bd0dbf6e80dae21b6b977bde43b342d0bc5f344c688fc27645308de24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,252
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,000
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,252 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbec7…5977backed FORZE Reload | 44c | 18,007$7,834 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,833.58 | 576 | 47.6%274 W · 302 L | -25.7wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 15,134$8,578 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,556.37 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f8…d904backed FORZE Reload | 0c | 10,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed FORZE Reload | 0c | 3,728$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.69 | 1,500 | 9.9%148 W · 1,352 L | -15.8wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8df0…96a6backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 557.56$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.49 | 92 | 64.1%59 W · 33 L | +10.0wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 500$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f4f…46c2backed Team Nemesis | 63c | 430$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 398 | 51.3%204 W · 194 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed FORZE Reload | 43c | 400$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 347.03$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149 | 162 | 35.8%58 W · 104 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc954…642fbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 312.2$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.49 | 265 | 53.2%141 W · 124 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Team Nemesis | 80c | 281$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.2 | 25 | 68%17 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 71cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed Team Nemesis | 72c | 235.24$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.81 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9f6…f506backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 200$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked FORZE Reload | 42c | 200$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 91 | 37.4%34 W · 57 L | -8.2wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9592…a85bbacked Team Nemesis | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 362 | 45.3%164 W · 198 L | +12.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed Team Nemesis | 62c | 193.75$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.9 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed FORZE Reload | 29c | 191.63$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xccf5…42f2backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 186.26$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.25 | 412 | 60.9%251 W · 161 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b6…c7dbbacked Team Nemesis | 59c | 171.43$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.77 | 362 | 53.3%193 W · 169 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8104…3128backed Team Nemesis | 59c | 160.41$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.78 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafd4…4432backed FORZE Reload | 46c | 155.52$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.28 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed FORZE Reload | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 38.3%44 W · 71 L | -15.6wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xac0c…739cbacked FORZE Reload | 37c | 152.69$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.79 | 660 | 34.1%225 W · 435 L | -21.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team Nemesis | 55c | 150$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.5 | 1,146 | 43.5%499 W · 647 L | -17.5wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Team Nemesis | 54c | 121.32$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.81 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Team Nemesis | 77c | 118.89$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.66 | 698 | 63%440 W · 258 L | +65.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd0c4…b7a9backed FORZE Reload | 25c | 112.82$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.82 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e21…4dccbacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 108.34$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.58 | 64 | 59.4%38 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc598…b4acbacked Team Nemesis | 55c | 100.32$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fe…54f8backed FORZE Reload | 14c | 100$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 78 | 43.6%34 W · 44 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5206…0f4cbacked FORZE Reload | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 265 | 35.5%94 W · 171 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0969…b289backed FORZE Reload | 45c | 76.63$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.4 | 192 | 47.9%92 W · 100 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fab…708bbacked FORZE Reload | 43c | 70.3$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 386 | 36%139 W · 247 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6771…2f7bbacked Team Nemesis | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 60$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 250 | 45.2%113 W · 137 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba4c…d823backed Team Nemesis | 76c | 51.2$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.29 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8881backed Team Nemesis | 56c | 50.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.11 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4238…3734backed FORZE Reload | 42c | 47.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 134 | 45.5%61 W · 73 L | +10.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed Team Nemesis | 65c | 47.16$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.39 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked FORZE Reload | 31c | 45$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -39%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked FORZE Reload | 43c | 37$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.91 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2294…4cd3backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 30.54$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.13 | 164 | 50.6%83 W · 81 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x640f…4cc0backed Team Nemesis | 57c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 65c | 29.61$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Team Nemesis | 60c | 28.48$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.39 | 293 | 50.2%147 W · 146 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…a503backed Team Nemesis | 54c | 18.52$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.52 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -63%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2313…ca4abacked Team Nemesis | 78c | 14.1$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.1 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group Stagethis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.