CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x696a6d672e3f20b932bd69967808d0845f6524f5eb896089656fec47e6100443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Nemesisof Team Nemesis, FORZE Reload
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,694
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,546
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,694 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked FORZE Reload | 28c | 2,066$586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$585.76 | 3,257 | 50.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L | +98.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Team Nemesis | 56c | 1,472$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.07 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed FORZE Reload | 50c | 591.92$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.96 | 244 | 57%139 W · 105 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Team Nemesis | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 176 | 48.3%85 W · 91 L | +6.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc03…86f2backed FORZE Reload | 13c | 192$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.96 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873d…97b5backed FORZE Reload | 13c | 184.62$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 66 | 21.2%14 W · 52 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -40.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked FORZE Reload | 7c | 179$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x762d…45a6backed FORZE Reload | 26c | 150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 127 | 52%66 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd9…2a08backed FORZE Reload | 20c | 110$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 215 | 28.8%62 W · 153 L | -10.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed FORZE Reload | 13c | 106$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.78 | 623 | 50.9%317 W · 306 L | +18.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…a742backed Team Nemesis | 75c | 100$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 169 | 50.9%86 W · 83 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3d4…6297backed FORZE Reload | 21c | 72.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 202 | 43.6%88 W · 114 L | -8.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x96f8…2560backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 72.48$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 23 | 78.3%18 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 71cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7dfd…8476backed FORZE Reload | 49c | 61.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.45 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -4.6wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -61.4%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1dbf…6631backed Team Nemesis | 80c | 53.22$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.78 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6312…f94ebacked Team Nemesis | 52c | 47.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -4.8wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffa…f2cfbacked FORZE Reload | 27c | 43.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.51 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -4.5wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #13 Group StageTeam Nemesis won
- Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs FORZE Reload - Map 2 WinnerTeam Nemesis won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- Map Handicap: FORZE.R (-1.5) vs Team Nemesis (+1.5)Team Nemesis won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.