TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Arizona Diamondbacksof Los Angeles Dodgers, Arizona Diamondbacks
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$96,838
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$97,489

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $96,838 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 81 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x37c1…c53abacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c50,519$24,348 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,170.461,04150.1%522 W · 519 L+17.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c40,241$20,886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,885.8512247.5%58 W · 64 L-7.5wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5919…95acbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c36,210$18,803 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18,802.9511454.4%62 W · 52 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c14,902$7,153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,749.1646547.1%219 W · 246 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+6.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Arizona Diamondbacks48c4,400$2,112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,2887839.7%31 W · 47 L-6.0wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks49c4,000$1,960 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,04021748.4%105 W · 112 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c3,040$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,531.581,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c2,878$1,441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,436.8712,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c2,555$1,226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,328.5967250.1%337 W · 335 L+3.7wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x197a…d3d1backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c1,365$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$710540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick55cpaid-28.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Los Angeles Dodgers62c1,028$641 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$641.436,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5137…4648backed Los Angeles Dodgers33c999.14$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.313458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.7wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+26.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x31b0…8c4cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c762.49$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6211554.8%63 W · 52 L+8.4wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Arizona Diamondbacks46c747.55$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$401.3867849.3%334 W · 344 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9901…6adbbacked Los Angeles Dodgers43c701.38$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.4911844.1%52 W · 66 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Arizona Diamondbacks63c631.58$399 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23315550.3%78 W · 77 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers30c621.38$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.769,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa2fc…a7c1backed Arizona Diamondbacks61c578$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$227.76977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick57cpaid+45.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x246d…c74dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c576.92$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0273…1867backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c555.56$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30029344.7%131 W · 162 L+13.0wins+0.04per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xefa3…d08bbacked Arizona Diamondbacks74c516.47$382 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.282763%17 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x109e…0a59backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c488.55$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2302969%20 W · 9 L+5.8wins+0.20per pick49cpaid+79.1%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3dcf…4eb4backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c479.8$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.12630.8%8 W · 18 L-4.6wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-36.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5a61…5781backed Arizona Diamondbacks72c417.09$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$117.091861.1%11 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick54cpaid+13.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x16d8…ba9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c306.75$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.51666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.09per pick58cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab30…379fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304714.9%7 W · 40 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick12cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Arizona Diamondbacks48c300$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1566,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x85a7…d9f3backed Los Angeles Dodgers35c225.71$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$798847.7%42 W · 46 L-0.4wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Los Angeles Dodgers66c208.57$137 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.761,86552%970 W · 895 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x913b…0852backed Arizona Diamondbacks72c205.19$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.375354.7%29 W · 24 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10047849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c192.31$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x483a…4fd0backed Los Angeles Dodgers55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1008051.3%41 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5df5…c44cbacked Arizona Diamondbacks65c176.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.951,26947.4%602 W · 667 L-31.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c176.47$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9044348.5%215 W · 228 L-7.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe10b…f230backed Arizona Diamondbacks75c133.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.33850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc186…ad81backed Los Angeles Dodgers38c131.58$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+15.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c121.84$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.9247953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6b17…03b2backed Arizona Diamondbacks34c118.53$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.239535.8%34 W · 61 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-10.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf3c8…e340backed Los Angeles Dodgers26c112.09$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.16419.8%4 W · 37 L-10.5wins-0.26per pick35cpaid-62.6%equal weight32-0.16 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c105.77$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5512845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5460350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x90c5…534cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5134145.2%154 W · 187 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xbde7…cf8abacked Los Angeles Dodgers22c100$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2216019.4%31 W · 129 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick16cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8941…83d7backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c99$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.4915351.6%79 W · 74 L-0.7wins0.00per pick52cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Arizona Diamondbacks47c84.48$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.072,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c82.69$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$431163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+21%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9f34…94d0backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c76.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401376.9%10 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.18per pick59cpaid+35.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c75.36$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.1919356.5%109 W · 84 L+4.9wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdcad…df78backed Los Angeles Dodgers30c70$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2110930.3%33 W · 76 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb03d…5bdcbacked Arizona Diamondbacks50c60.41$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.41520%1 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.26per pick46cpaid-59.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3046659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c58.88$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.031,40248.8%684 W · 718 L-11.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c57.87$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.67425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-21.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c55.56$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3070455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x91e0…26a0backed Los Angeles Dodgers22c53$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.667630.3%23 W · 53 L-10.2wins-0.13per pick44cpaid-38.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x787a…9199backed Los Angeles Dodgers29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153036.7%11 W · 19 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-22.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4af4…f9e0backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c50$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-39.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacff…3872backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2518344.8%82 W · 101 L-7.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x79f1…178abacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$254047.5%19 W · 21 L-3.1wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-17.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0b95…07e5backed Los Angeles Dodgers65c44.44$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291947.4%9 W · 10 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-22.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf15f…a199backed Los Angeles Dodgers37c43.29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167957%45 W · 34 L+6.6wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+21.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c40$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.92,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbda3…ef65backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c39.97$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.7924152.7%127 W · 114 L-0.7wins0.00per pick53cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Los Angeles Dodgers28c38.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.6584122.7%191 W · 650 L-81.4wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-29.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xec56…dd09backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c37.86$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.317243.1%31 W · 41 L-5.5wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-12.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x9856…7014backed Los Angeles Dodgers54c37$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.982972.4%21 W · 8 L+5.1wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+34.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers66c35$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.031,63055.2%899 W · 731 L+2.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe363…c894backed Arizona Diamondbacks48c33.32$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.331963.2%12 W · 7 L+3.3wins+0.17per pick46cpaid+24.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0448…5a75backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c32.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.9130446.4%141 W · 163 L-25.6wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x861d…c6bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers56c31.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.710%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xced0…1f6ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks49c30.61$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.61933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-40.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Los Angeles Dodgers68c30.04$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.4316351.5%84 W · 79 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0338…4f11backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153438.2%13 W · 21 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Arizona Diamondbacks51c29.6$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.610747.7%51 W · 56 L-0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c4…df5fbacked Arizona Diamondbacks48c29.17$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.1739850.3%200 W · 198 L+0.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2502…87e5backed Arizona Diamondbacks53c28.79$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.522100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+84%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc01d…2e79backed Arizona Diamondbacks50c25$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.56248.4%30 W · 32 L-5.1wins-0.08per pick57cpaid-14.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x13e5…1ea5backed Los Angeles Dodgers70c23.46$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.47949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.8wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-8.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d27…676ebacked Arizona Diamondbacks56c20.94$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.241181.8%9 W · 2 L+2.1wins+0.19per pick63cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2b21…05ecbacked Los Angeles Dodgers54c19$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.261533.3%5 W · 10 L-2.6wins-0.17per pick51cpaid-28.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.