Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc9d99e6c8f275dc394e129d1c4596acf2b00395c1c5904f3a0c46faaa30eea8c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Florida State Seminolesof Florida State Seminoles, Miami Hurricanes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,433
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,687
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,433 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Miami Hurricanes | 45c | 5,598$2,497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,496.76 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Florida State Seminoles | 48c | 4,886$2,324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,562.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd19b…a105backed Miami Hurricanes | 74c | 4,091$3,031 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,030.6 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Florida State Seminoles | 51c | 2,132$1,080 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,051.53 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6f4…0566backed Florida State Seminoles | 29c | 2,081$595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,485.32 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 13c | 1,453$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,263.98 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 75c | 1,379$1,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,032.82 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13fa…3facbacked Florida State Seminoles | 13c | 1,173$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.51 | 200 | 26%52 W · 148 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Miami Hurricanes | 41c | 808.32$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.07 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…a26fbacked Miami Hurricanes | 35c | 800$281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.2 | 55 | 45.5%25 W · 30 L | +3.4wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82c0…013bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 73c | 719.3$528 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$190.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Florida State Seminoles | 12c | 570$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$501.6 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Florida State Seminoles | 76c | 495.69$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.4 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Florida State Seminoles | 56c | 478.01$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.32 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Florida State Seminoles | 53c | 441.71$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.32 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Florida State Seminoles | 46c | 437.79$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Florida State Seminoles | 18c | 376.63$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.71 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed Miami Hurricanes | 57c | 326.62$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.74 | 1,493 | 48.7%727 W · 766 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Miami Hurricanes | 53c | 321.15$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.7 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Miami Hurricanes | 42c | 300$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.37 | 192 | 38.5%74 W · 118 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Florida State Seminoles | 47c | 291.19$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.42 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Florida State Seminoles | 63c | 270.27$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.6 | 456 | 44.5%203 W · 253 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Florida State Seminoles | 16c | 246.52$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.23 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51ad…5e56backed Florida State Seminoles | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 101 | 26.7%27 W · 74 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Miami Hurricanes | 44c | 193$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.77 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Miami Hurricanes | 76c | 175.76$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.78 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Florida State Seminoles | 59c | 142.45$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.26 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe99…506bbacked Florida State Seminoles | 12c | 125$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -4.4wins | -0.18per pick | 47cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Miami Hurricanes | 68c | 103.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.96 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…1a20backed Florida State Seminoles | 62c | 100$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12fe…38cfbacked Florida State Seminoles | 14c | 100$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 1,260 | 43.3%545 W · 715 L | +34.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Florida State Seminoles | 12c | 93.56$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.33 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed Miami Hurricanes | 59c | 80$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.8 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked Miami Hurricanes | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.3 | 459 | 53.8%247 W · 212 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Miami Hurricanes | 35c | 65.76$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.18 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd08…84b0backed Florida State Seminoles | 36c | 55.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.11 | 299 | 54.2%162 W · 137 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x284e…ddb2backed Miami Hurricanes | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.75 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -3.4wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x17bf…5a53backed Florida State Seminoles | 57c | 49.02$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.05 | 78 | 12.8%10 W · 68 L | -17.2wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Miami Hurricanes | 32c | 47.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.07 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb434…2b36backed Florida State Seminoles | 68c | 43.86$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.86 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc688…5987backed Florida State Seminoles | 49c | 41$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21 | 294 | 42.9%126 W · 168 L | -11.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf71a…fa40backed Miami Hurricanes | 43c | 38.31$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x693c…a375backed Florida State Seminoles | 54c | 37.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5449…5659backed Florida State Seminoles | 78c | 27.05$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.84 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 63cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Miami Hurricanes | 47c | 25.95$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x727d…1589backed Miami Hurricanes | 51c | 25.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.82 | 81 | 40.7%33 W · 48 L | -5.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x58b2…9035backed Florida State Seminoles | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d5…b033backed Florida State Seminoles | 68c | 17.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…58fcbacked Florida State Seminoles | 70c | 14.96$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.49 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanesthis page
- Florida State Seminoles vs. Miami Hurricanes: O/U 165.5Under won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-11.5)Florida State Seminoles won
- Spread: Miami Hurricanes (-12.5)Florida State Seminoles won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.