Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 140.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x946e937dd543d522f26675de159a81b671baf2673494cfe892d72f59b6a48d65
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,177
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $58,900
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,177 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 49c | 9,382$4,625 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,625.45 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13ff…16a3backed Over | 51c | 9,169$4,687 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,481.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf35…b5eabacked Over | 54c | 6,767$3,645 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,121.83 | 121 | 47.9%58 W · 63 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…f627backed Over | 52c | 6,700$3,484 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,216 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 46c | 2,368$1,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,089.28 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Under | 48c | 1,893$909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$909.29 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaca2…b9a1backed Under | 52c | 1,083$563 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562.56 | 417 | 52.5%219 W · 198 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 46c | 1,050$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$483 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Over | 77c | 917$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.5 | 241 | 21.2%51 W · 190 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +299%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 46c | 652.17$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 46c | 630.43$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Over | 31c | 624.45$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.87 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 52c | 600$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 46c | 542.84$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.71 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Under | 52c | 481.49$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.8 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Over | 48c | 411.3$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.94 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Under | 47c | 387.67$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.87 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 49c | 382.12$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.88 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Over | 38c | 296$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.52 | 343 | 43.4%149 W · 194 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 51c | 248$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.85 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 27c | 205.68$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.51 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Under | 49c | 204.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3fbc…9cf6backed Under | 46c | 191.29$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 505 | 46.9%237 W · 268 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 42c | 168.63$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.72 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed Over | 50c | 142.99$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.61 | 350 | 50.3%176 W · 174 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe88b…fa5abacked Under | 50c | 130$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 346 | 49.1%170 W · 176 L | +9.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed9…3cdebacked Under | 49c | 122.45$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 65 | 56.9%37 W · 28 L | +5.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Over | 52c | 114.28$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.85 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b23…cad2backed Under | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fb8…85b9backed Under | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Under | 56c | 92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.17 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 46c | 79.97$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Under | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 46c | 54.35$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa26…564fbacked Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 212 | 52.4%111 W · 101 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7669…f58cbacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 153 | 56.2%86 W · 67 L | +14.9wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 780 | 52.2%407 W · 373 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked Under | 29c | 37.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa924…b1b9backed Over | 37c | 33$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.87 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 28cpaid | +60%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad9d…9b95backed Under | 47c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.1 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +6.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0919…fcbcbacked Over | 79c | 16$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.41 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 140.5this page
- Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson KnightsLe Moyne Dolphins won
- Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 141.5Over won
- Le Moyne Dolphins vs. Fairleigh Dickinson Knights: O/U 142.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.