Serie A · resolved market
Will Como vs. Juventus end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54cbb2a50bf27d68dbdd65eb5530f5bd9dd8caf6c285246bb3f65e12e632f661
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,601
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,868
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,601 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4bb2…a656backed Yes | 30c | 1,665$499 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.5 | 34 | 23.5%8 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.08per pick | 32cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 69c | 1,634$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$509.44 | 246 | 57.3%141 W · 105 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa874…c46abacked Yes | 31c | 1,535$476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…7127backed No | 70c | 1,535$1,074 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2245…0534backed Yes | 31c | 1,519$475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$475.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b61…35abbacked No | 70c | 1,518$1,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.53 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4231…f63ebacked No | 69c | 1,328$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.97 | 161 | 54%87 W · 74 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade8…b0bdbacked No | 71c | 1,223$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.25 | 48 | 41.7%20 W · 28 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f32…0af7backed Yes | 30c | 1,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9aa…11f7backed No | 70c | 1,000$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x056a…611fbacked Yes | 31c | 648.39$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fe…ad85backed Yes | 31c | 629.03$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe993…f57dbacked Yes | 30c | 600$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7540…46dbbacked No | 70c | 600$420 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cc5…ee5abacked Yes | 28c | 358.54$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.39 | 71 | 38%27 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x68fe…8792backed Yes | 29c | 344.83$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 68c | 305$207 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.6 | 225 | 51.6%116 W · 109 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 75c | 279.72$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.1 | 1,981 | 39.8%788 W · 1,193 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -23.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 68c | 162.36$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.96 | 201 | 43.8%88 W · 113 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46f5…30bcbacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4f6…dc27backed Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 53 | 43.4%23 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf763…414fbacked Yes | 31c | 156.67$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 15 | 13.3%2 W · 13 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 35cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 71c | 156.21$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.3 | 153 | 57.5%88 W · 65 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x495f…06b0backed Yes | 30c | 133.33$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x221c…43d7backed Yes | 31c | 130.11$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xedb1…3fddbacked Yes | 18c | 113.33$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 37 | 27%10 W · 27 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a8…81f5backed Yes | 31c | 109.68$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…abd4backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 70c | 88.92$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaf38…a59bbacked No | 69c | 74.19$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd62b…86d0backed No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe233…14a3backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f91…9388backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -40.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…5d1bbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a7b…fdd1backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 48 | 60.4%29 W · 19 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x44d6…aafdbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9418…4f2abacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 16%4 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x988b…9369backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8594…9803backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47b0…0237backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3058…5412backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 84 | 56%47 W · 37 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…15f8backed No | 70c | 55$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc71f…bd62backed No | 69c | 52.99$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 96 | 43.8%42 W · 54 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 38 | 55.3%21 W · 17 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d22…3aabbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Yes | 39c | 36$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 147 | 40.8%60 W · 87 L | -14.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed No | 71c | 35.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b06…b091backed No | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…a5fcbacked No | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked No | 69c | 18.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 285 | 56.1%160 W · 125 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…4f35backed No | 71c | 17.06$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Como vs. Juventus end in a draw?this page
- Will Como win on 2025-10-19?Yes won
- Will Juventus win on 2025-10-19?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.