Premier League · resolved market
Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-27?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd56cfc5903265518077b6acb045fbfdf266b04cd30d157d6e01efeeb2e78c2a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $252,058
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $251,437
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $252,058 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x19d8…1691backed Yes | 0c | 50,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1875…eb5ebacked Yes | 6c | 21,811$1,221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,221.04 | 54 | 29.6%16 W · 38 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1fa…53a6backed Yes | 0c | 20,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x073b…de2dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,000$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Yes | 3c | 13,027$409 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.82 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2de…63dbbacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e8a…1a93backed Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8181…d58abacked Yes | 0c | 13,000$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc10…2673backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddaf…fd07backed Yes | 0c | 11,000$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75ca…647cbacked Yes | 0c | 10,600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Yes | 5c | 10,003$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.12 | 680 | 26.3%179 W · 501 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa9…243fbacked Yes | 5c | 6,282$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297.28 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x573d…3507backed Yes | 4c | 2,748$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc665…7782backed Yes | 5c | 2,669$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.35 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…b656backed Yes | 5c | 2,500$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Yes | 6c | 2,137$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.29 | 414 | 37.9%157 W · 257 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 3c | 1,535$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.92 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06ec…a3b9backed Yes | 5c | 1,152$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -39.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c2a…b433backed Yes | 5c | 1,050$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x246e…ebf2backed Yes | 5c | 1,040$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e04…a9b3backed Yes | 5c | 735.22$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.81 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x080a…8b56backed Yes | 5c | 537$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5f…3050backed Yes | 5c | 520.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 4c | 499.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 4c | 483$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17a…1db3backed Yes | 5c | 442.63$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.59 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x964b…167abacked Yes | 5c | 416.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 34cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5272…f0afbacked Yes | 5c | 413.26$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8864…cd68backed Yes | 5c | 400$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-27?this page
- Will Arsenal vs. Ipswich end in a draw?No won
- Will Arsenal win on 2024-12-27?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.