Premier League · resolved market
Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-29?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9722b2c1a6438908e57daf9d3faaef565b5814ad87aa8fc8d4b49427d01272f9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,758
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,758 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 35c | 2,378$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,556.87 | 1,004 | 46.3%465 W · 539 L | +25.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 61c | 1,325$807 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$518.51 | 292 | 53.4%156 W · 136 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +30%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 58c | 1,047$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$605.2 | 2,661 | 45.5%1,210 W · 1,451 L | -11.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 54c | 817.13$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.38 | 6,117 | 45.8%2,803 W · 3,314 L | -28.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 26c | 411.46$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.81 | 2,212 | 49.3%1,091 W · 1,121 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd397…5052backed Yes | 74c | 405.41$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 86 | 62.8%54 W · 32 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed Yes | 43c | 338.71$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.65 | 1,224 | 40%490 W · 734 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84b2…f1dabacked Yes | 43c | 328.54$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 101 | 39.6%40 W · 61 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ed…617ebacked Yes | 31c | 322.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde17…68d2backed No | 71c | 318.35$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.58 | 79 | 63.3%50 W · 29 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 57c | 231.26$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.34 | 1,272 | 50.4%641 W · 631 L | -53.9wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 63c | 181.76$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.19 | 4,744 | 41.8%1,983 W · 2,761 L | +28.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Yes | 10c | 161$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.55 | 202 | 39.6%80 W · 122 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 76c | 141.56$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.91 | 1,163 | 57.4%667 W · 496 L | +40.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7705…a442backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 196 | 32.7%64 W · 132 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 69c | 100$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 413 | 44.8%185 W · 228 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Yes | 42c | 99$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.58 | 1,212 | 41.7%505 W · 707 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 47c | 88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.36 | 670 | 42.2%283 W · 387 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 53c | 88$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.36 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 58c | 75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 891 | 52.9%471 W · 420 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdebb…eedbbacked No | 65c | 67.2$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.52 | 171 | 53.8%92 W · 79 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…79c2backed Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c82…05cfbacked Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 154 | 52.6%81 W · 73 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b1e…e465backed No | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 29 | 75.9%22 W · 7 L | +7.7wins | +0.27per pick | 49cpaid | +97.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xac43…4925backed Yes | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 36.8%71 W · 122 L | -14.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 42c | 46$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.32 | 1,146 | 42.8%490 W · 656 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 41c | 39$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.93 | 1,204 | 50.7%610 W · 594 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf1d…1767backed Yes | 42c | 33.33$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 60c | 33.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 289 | 50.9%147 W · 142 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Yes | 65c | 18.05$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 132 | 49.2%65 W · 67 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Southampton FC win on 2025-11-29?this page
- Will Millwall FC vs. Southampton FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Millwall FC win on 2025-11-29?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.