Fifa International · resolved market
Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-12?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xef706bba711fe8555051819fcfe5c921fc84b63ed23386b7d55772d08b4150cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,254
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,125
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,254 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2129…4222backed No | 41c | 6,303$2,587 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,586.52 | 246 | 47.6%117 W · 129 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1867…92cabacked Yes | 57c | 3,100$1,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333 | 83 | 59%49 W · 34 L | +10.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x66c5…85b2backed Yes | 56c | 2,500$1,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8b4…f05dbacked Yes | 57c | 1,573$895 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$678.05 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +4.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 55c | 912$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410.4 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabbd…f261backed Yes | 61c | 764.52$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.52 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 45c | 653.9$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$293.03 | 465 | 36.1%168 W · 297 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 43c | 649.6$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280.32 | 346 | 30.1%104 W · 242 L | -21.8wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ea8…1fbfbacked Yes | 77c | 283.25$217 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.9 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d2…2381backed Yes | 63c | 238.1$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.1 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x57f2…d036backed Yes | 75c | 225$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe83c…5e8fbacked No | 43c | 203$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.29 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…a60abacked Yes | 61c | 202.67$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 23c | 187.57$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.04 | 470 | 32.8%154 W · 316 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcde3…002dbacked Yes | 77c | 142.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.79 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 73cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 396 | 21%83 W · 313 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe11c…49efbacked Yes | 55c | 91.48$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.17 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | +41.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39b5…cf5fbacked Yes | 60c | 83.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +3.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ebb…061abacked Yes | 60c | 83.2$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.2 | 169 | 65.1%110 W · 59 L | +14.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x45d1…7017backed Yes | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | -3.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5c32…f103backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17ae…ccf1backed Yes | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | -3.5wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x04ff…ad88backed Yes | 56c | 44.64$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.12per pick | 63cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…3756backed No | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a81…e071backed Yes | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +47.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked Yes | 59c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.9 | 47 | 68.1%32 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 116 | 60.3%70 W · 46 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…bb05backed No | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.38 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 789 | 27.5%217 W · 572 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 27cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7e…425ebacked Yes | 61c | 24.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.59 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87b2…8870backed Yes | 57c | 19$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.25 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 63cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9da0…37d3backed Yes | 60c | 18.22$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2025-10-12?this page
- Will Malta vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina end in a draw?No won
- Will Malta win on 2025-10-12?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.