NBA · resolved market
Bucks vs. Rockets
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8d49cd5057f636ee132f63a1cab1554fcced0e2491383485be08d4db75fc71a7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rocketsof Bucks, Rockets
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $677,267
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $697,854
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $677,267 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 669 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5314…910cbacked Rockets | 54c | 27,696$15,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,606.73 | 339 | 31.9%108 W · 231 L | -28.5wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Bucks | 52c | 25,167$13,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,046.39 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…c29dbacked Rockets | 57c | 22,449$12,887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,562.2 | 135 | 60.7%82 W · 53 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…6300backed Rockets | 59c | 22,060$12,972 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,087.56 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -3.8wins | -0.11per pick | 63cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed Rockets | 57c | 19,782$11,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,479.29 | 251 | 38.6%97 W · 154 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…3e11backed Rockets | 53c | 16,365$8,609 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,756.22 | 220 | 49.1%108 W · 112 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x40e3…0787backed Bucks | 44c | 14,602$6,457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,457.07 | 345 | 32.8%113 W · 232 L | -16.9wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e82…752cbacked Bucks | 44c | 12,527$5,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,451.66 | 1,204 | 55.3%666 W · 538 L | +52.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Bucks | 42c | 11,834$4,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,970.44 | 762 | 49.5%377 W · 385 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58a3…279fbacked Rockets | 66c | 11,491$7,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,951.54 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +7.2wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Bucks | 43c | 9,638$4,138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,137.64 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda6b…20bebacked Bucks | 43c | 9,214$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 83 | 43.4%36 W · 47 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Rockets | 55c | 9,158$5,066 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,092.54 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Rockets | 53c | 7,384$3,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,502.26 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Bucks | 46c | 6,978$3,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,209.92 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1484…cafebacked Bucks | 34c | 6,748$2,301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,301.36 | 297 | 38.7%115 W · 182 L | -10.6wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7103…b192backed Rockets | 59c | 6,054$3,568 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,485.96 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3045…8f78backed Bucks | 42c | 6,032$2,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,547.45 | 436 | 53.2%232 W · 204 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d34…b76fbacked Rockets | 59c | 5,999$3,540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,459.79 | 78 | 60.3%47 W · 31 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa84b…5055backed Rockets | 80c | 5,746$4,597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,149.75 | 63 | 61.9%39 W · 24 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 72cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdc4…6651backed Bucks | 38c | 5,239$2,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,001.08 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 51cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Bucks | 29c | 5,164$1,476 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,476.32 | 1,316 | 50.5%664 W · 652 L | +42.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41b7…f6babacked Bucks | 40c | 5,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.95 | 801 | 46.4%372 W · 429 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd44c…ab91backed Bucks | 44c | 4,326$1,885 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,884.62 | 283 | 47.7%135 W · 148 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Rockets | 61c | 4,000$2,459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.97 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Bucks | 39c | 3,922$1,535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,534.52 | 5,844 | 46.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Bucks | 39c | 3,902$1,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,520.09 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Rockets | 59c | 3,369$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,369.9 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Rockets | 60c | 3,333$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,333.33 | 661 | 53.3%352 W · 309 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Rockets | 62c | 3,100$1,922 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,178 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Bucks | 38c | 3,000$1,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,140 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3603…ac36backed Bucks | 41c | 2,895$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 113 | 55.8%63 W · 50 L | +10.2wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2fe6…ab9dbacked Rockets | 48c | 2,797$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.41 | 498 | 49.4%246 W · 252 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0445…e4dfbacked Rockets | 58c | 2,744$1,592 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.68 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bd…dce0backed Rockets | 58c | 2,720$1,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,133.82 | 777 | 45%350 W · 427 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x830d…3f0ebacked Bucks | 39c | 2,705$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 165 | 32.1%53 W · 112 L | -2.7wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Bucks | 40c | 2,445$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.99 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf240…03c2backed Bucks | 42c | 2,386$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 119 | 39.5%47 W · 72 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Bucks | 41c | 2,366$970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$970.06 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Rockets | 60c | 2,177$1,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$874.31 | 730 | 51.8%378 W · 352 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Bucks | 41c | 2,000$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$820 | 168 | 44%74 W · 94 L | -11.8wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x574e…3ef1backed Rockets | 55c | 2,000$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 304 | 43.1%131 W · 173 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x821a…4920backed Bucks | 41c | 1,797$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$736.86 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +124.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…f328backed Bucks | 54c | 1,713$925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$925.19 | 381 | 43%164 W · 217 L | +13.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Rockets | 59c | 1,700$1,006 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$694 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb06…630ebacked Bucks | 41c | 1,631$664 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$664 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.33per pick | 51cpaid | +65.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0dda…4cf6backed Rockets | 66c | 1,613$1,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$554.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Rockets | 47c | 1,578$736 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$842.32 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Rockets | 58c | 1,544$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$644.44 | 1,028 | 48.5%499 W · 529 L | +27.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Bucks | 37c | 1,500$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$552.97 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3315…937dbacked Rockets | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +3.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…a0c0backed Rockets | 60c | 1,500$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3d…f7afbacked Bucks | 40c | 1,500$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$599.99 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Rockets | 61c | 1,500$910 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.98 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6c…eb33backed Bucks | 37c | 1,496$548 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$547.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…6462backed Bucks | 37c | 1,359$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Bucks | 35c | 1,218$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.14 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Rockets | 53c | 1,112$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.74 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e7…12febacked Bucks | 42c | 1,110$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$466.2 | 95 | 63.2%60 W · 35 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d7…25e9backed Rockets | 55c | 1,101$602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$498.63 | 709 | 51.3%364 W · 345 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x854f…00a7backed Rockets | 63c | 1,100$692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408 | 472 | 29.4%139 W · 333 L | -33.1wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Bucks | 34c | 1,006$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$341.98 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Rockets | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc42e…edbdbacked Rockets | 60c | 999.98$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$399.99 | 350 | 46%161 W · 189 L | +14.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62a8…97d0backed Rockets | 59c | 972.35$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$398.66 | 248 | 55.6%138 W · 110 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…64eebacked Rockets | 52c | 970$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$465.6 | 193 | 50.3%97 W · 96 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Bucks | 32c | 937.81$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 208 | 51.4%107 W · 101 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8097…8a5fbacked Bucks | 38c | 932.96$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.93 | 275 | 46.9%129 W · 146 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Bucks | 42c | 900$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381 | 1,053 | 53.5%563 W · 490 L | -15.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…8d76backed Rockets | 60c | 877.16$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.16 | 179 | 43.6%78 W · 101 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x39dc…8d05backed Bucks | 42c | 833.33$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +9.4wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Rockets | 59c | 830.16$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.46 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe83f…138ebacked Bucks | 56c | 788.85$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$444.89 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 61cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5c…be69backed Bucks | 40c | 782.6$313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.04 | 279 | 39.8%111 W · 168 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeecd…4fefbacked Bucks | 43c | 745.4$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.52 | 362 | 47.2%171 W · 191 L | +12.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4dfb…dffabacked Bucks | 43c | 726.47$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312.38 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 17cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df8…b67ebacked Rockets | 60c | 724.93$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.93 | 201 | 53.7%108 W · 93 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Bucks | 23c | 710$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.1 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Bucks | 40c | 704.55$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.82 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3bdc…3a4ebacked Bucks | 41c | 700$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287 | 199 | 43.7%87 W · 112 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Bucks | 40c | 699.99$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.5 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a93…583fbacked Rockets | 57c | 675.23$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb79…c2c6backed Rockets | 57c | 662.54$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.89 | 337 | 52.5%177 W · 160 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ba6…1fc8backed Bucks | 42c | 604.64$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5679…d458backed Rockets | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 156 | 46.2%72 W · 84 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…488ebacked Rockets | 59c | 600$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249 | 723 | 41.2%298 W · 425 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68d9…f87fbacked Bucks | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4407…8f2bbacked Bucks | 42c | 566.67$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$238 | 53 | 47.2%25 W · 28 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff5…6063backed Bucks | 27c | 557.57$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -68.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Rockets | 69c | 549.44$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.44 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd3…7214backed Rockets | 58c | 527.71$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.42 | 186 | 32.8%61 W · 125 L | -12.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad7c…43a5backed Bucks | 38c | 523$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.74 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +5.6wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d6…9487backed Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x73f7…cc19backed Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.1wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ee…c58fbacked Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5810…fa44backed Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xde8c…af97backed Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -34%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf42f…420fbacked Bucks | 42c | 500$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…29e0backed Rockets | 58c | 500$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44c…57dfbacked Bucks | 41c | 500$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.