NBA · resolved market
Wizards vs. Clippers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x612f955ce47bf6260eff9adfe158a77c5c9c70ee87713323aa703091ba673a84
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Clippersof Wizards, Clippers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $190,453
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $212,870
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $190,453 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Wizards | 0c | 19,555$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.11 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Wizards | 11c | 14,500$1,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,594.98 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Wizards | 3c | 10,000$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc542…231bbacked Wizards | 1c | 8,653$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.31 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -52%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cc0…f722backed Wizards | 10c | 7,822$782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$782.24 | 126 | 63.5%80 W · 46 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards | 10c | 5,631$581 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$580.69 | 964 | 47.8%461 W · 503 L | +35.5wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Wizards | 0c | 5,500$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Wizards | 9c | 5,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Wizards | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 335 | 0%0 W · 335 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Wizards | 12c | 4,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7f79…1db4backed Wizards | 1c | 2,763$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 168 | 38.7%65 W · 103 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Wizards | 12c | 2,602$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$322.18 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Wizards | 0c | 2,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Wizards | 0c | 2,222$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.86 | 3,995 | 48.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L | +101.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb8a…f0ddbacked Wizards | 11c | 2,168$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.13 | 59 | 16.9%10 W · 49 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7524…2149backed Wizards | 3c | 2,000$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 29 | 20.7%6 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 20cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Wizards | 5c | 1,900$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0b67…584fbacked Wizards | 1c | 1,800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 35 | 14.3%5 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -52%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Wizards | 2c | 1,762$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.4 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4103…9b9ebacked Wizards | 1c | 1,741$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.29 | 417 | 42%175 W · 242 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19b8…9c8ebacked Wizards | 1c | 1,264$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 380 | 27.1%103 W · 277 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Wizards | 1c | 1,200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5632…748dbacked Wizards | 2c | 1,083$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 56 | 28.6%16 W · 40 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…2758backed Wizards | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcbed…aa02backed Wizards | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 227 | 21.6%49 W · 178 L | -8.9wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Wizards | 11c | 1,000$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Wizards | 12c | 999.93$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.99 | 6,213 | 50.6%3,142 W · 3,071 L | +53.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc7…3a04backed Wizards | 11c | 999.91$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.99 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Wizards | 1c | 931.9$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Wizards | 13c | 769.23$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Wizards | 11c | 724.95$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.74 | 366 | 43.2%158 W · 208 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…60ebbacked Wizards | 12c | 708.35$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82ba…c4f9backed Wizards | 12c | 683.34$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ec7…8a15backed Wizards | 12c | 648.34$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed Wizards | 10c | 607.99$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 304 | 40.5%123 W · 181 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards | 12c | 600$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 291 | 48.8%142 W · 149 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Wizards | 12c | 558.19$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.42 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +52.3wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Wizards | 12c | 534.85$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 357 | 34.5%123 W · 234 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee06…f8b1backed Wizards | 12c | 497.71$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards | 11c | 495.01$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.43 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68ce…d06dbacked Wizards | 12c | 416.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Wizards | 14c | 399.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Wizards | 12c | 383.01$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.71 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73f0…3d28backed Wizards | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 364 | 34.9%127 W · 237 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Wizards | 12c | 300$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee3…45c2backed Wizards | 12c | 291$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 31 | 48.4%15 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59c6…b2a4backed Wizards | 12c | 275$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…1d6bbacked Wizards | 10c | 273.99$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.25 | 502 | 45.8%230 W · 272 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Wizards | 12c | 250$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.25 | 169 | 28.4%48 W · 121 L | +8.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…0a0abacked Wizards | 11c | 246.85$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.15 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82a0…14b3backed Wizards | 7c | 244.32$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 164 | 44.5%73 W · 91 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2366…1078backed Wizards | 13c | 233.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 563 | 52%293 W · 270 L | +22.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x143d…21d7backed Wizards | 12c | 229.99$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdf9b…fe0fbacked Wizards | 13c | 200$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 136 | 11.8%16 W · 120 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 9cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4469…cefebacked Wizards | 11c | 200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e7…85a1backed Wizards | 12c | 194$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 195 | 56.9%111 W · 84 L | +20.0wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8b68…795bbacked Wizards | 11c | 182.3$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.05 | 111 | 30.6%34 W · 77 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 24cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5b…d894backed Wizards | 12c | 180$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4f…042bbacked Wizards | 12c | 164.2$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.7 | 40 | 42.5%17 W · 23 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf22a…1697backed Wizards | 11c | 150$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.02 | 228 | 46.1%105 W · 123 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc7b…447dbacked Wizards | 11c | 136.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb65…3412backed Wizards | 11c | 109.11$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Wizards | 12c | 100.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb984…2a41backed Wizards | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 105 | 25.7%27 W · 78 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | +40%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Wizards | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37cd…9547backed Wizards | 13c | 100$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a9…dd6abacked Wizards | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 39 | 33.3%13 W · 26 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8ca…96cbbacked Wizards | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab3c…5093backed Wizards | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 155 | 38.1%59 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…b9acbacked Wizards | 13c | 94$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 269 | 33.5%90 W · 179 L | -12.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.