Premier League · resolved market
Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x69fba444b24e6987a4447bad066314ea69521a4692c5e02685e009c379f514b3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $67,880
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $89,457
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $67,880 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 194 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 33c | 9,168$3,014 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,013.68 | 796 | 39.6%315 W · 481 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Yes | 58c | 7,369$4,280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,088.93 | 292 | 38.4%112 W · 180 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed No | 42c | 6,000$2,520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,519.99 | 406 | 40.9%166 W · 240 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 33c | 5,310$1,729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,728.76 | 296 | 43.6%129 W · 167 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38f1…9ff1backed No | 43c | 3,000$1,290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,289.99 | 321 | 58.9%189 W · 132 L | +13.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1638…339bbacked No | 41c | 2,253$924 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$923.87 | 62 | 53.2%33 W · 29 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe256…12f8backed Yes | 58c | 1,709$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.15 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x16cb…2704backed No | 42c | 1,635$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.66 | 907 | 51.3%465 W · 442 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed No | 42c | 1,508$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.95 | 166 | 60.8%101 W · 65 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc3…fce2backed Yes | 79c | 1,500$1,185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +8.1wins | +0.14per pick | 39cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa1…637bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,404$828 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$576.17 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | +3.0wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bce…558cbacked Yes | 78c | 1,289$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.65 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 79c | 1,230$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.83 | 697 | 72.6%506 W · 191 L | +83.8wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7432…794bbacked Yes | 59c | 1,191$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.69 | 119 | 37%44 W · 75 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked No | 42c | 1,007$423 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.75 | 402 | 54.7%220 W · 182 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca8…1a39backed Yes | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf5f…2184backed No | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a67…dc7cbacked Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91f7…0108backed Yes | 59c | 1,000$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 66cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Yes | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 346 | 43.9%152 W · 194 L | -14.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1c1d…c4c8backed No | 23c | 988.19$227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.28 | 51 | 31.4%16 W · 35 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc133…bdf0backed Yes | 58c | 863.05$501 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.48 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -2.6wins | -0.26per pick | 66cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8769…48ecbacked Yes | 58c | 862.52$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.26 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bb…9702backed Yes | 58c | 862.36$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.36 | 68 | 38.2%26 W · 42 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Yes | 58c | 862.07$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$362.07 | 133 | 36.1%48 W · 85 L | -12.7wins | -0.10per pick | 46cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f5b…4cc1backed Yes | 59c | 657.07$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.07 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +44.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Yes | 59c | 600$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$246 | 449 | 39.6%178 W · 271 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea79…a9ccbacked Yes | 77c | 520$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 59c | 431.2$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.79 | 290 | 44.8%130 W · 160 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fa…3b11backed Yes | 58c | 429.19$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 60cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x61e1…adf1backed Yes | 58c | 369.6$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Yes | 59c | 336.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb2c7…1b5bbacked No | 43c | 329.06$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.49 | 179 | 45.8%82 W · 97 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…477abacked Yes | 57c | 279.62$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.24 | 253 | 39.1%99 W · 154 L | -7.3wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbac1…ce0ebacked Yes | 57c | 263.16$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.16 | 113 | 42.5%48 W · 65 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Yes | 59c | 256.06$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.06 | 153 | 47.7%73 W · 80 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed No | 42c | 250.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.56 | 466 | 60.5%282 W · 184 L | +30.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 8c | 250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 660 | 31.2%206 W · 454 L | -13.0wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a0e…4dc6backed No | 44c | 235.51$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 61 | 67.2%41 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf534…b055backed No | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d85…483cbacked Yes | 58c | 208.16$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.43 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeeb9…1b90backed No | 42c | 202.38$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Yes | 57c | 200$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86 | 296 | 53%157 W · 139 L | -23.0wins | -0.08per pick | 61cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Yes | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb90e…5794backed Yes | 58c | 200$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…74a7backed Yes | 56c | 199.99$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfe8…fcabbacked Yes | 77c | 190.22$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.75 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe763…3d69backed Yes | 57c | 175.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.44 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -4.3wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0424…3093backed Yes | 58c | 173.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc745…9499backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.41 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x330b…69f1backed Yes | 58c | 172$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.24 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc54a…4b6fbacked Yes | 59c | 170.65$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.65 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -5.6wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x86fe…025cbacked Yes | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd692…8b9abacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2088…9c55backed Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.13per pick | 70cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2a06…d20ebacked Yes | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | -9.4wins | -0.17per pick | 59cpaid | -31%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x7a02…dba3backed Yes | 60c | 120.83$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.86 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 427 | 55%235 W · 192 L | -23.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4934…720abacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +32.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x267d…81e0backed Yes | 78c | 100$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…5176backed No | 39c | 99.99$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -3.8wins | -0.14per pick | 40cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 395 | 61.3%242 W · 153 L | -21.3wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ff…1eb6backed Yes | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -3.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc92c…b909backed Yes | 59c | 84.73$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc9e…d9f9backed No | 42c | 83$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.86 | 79 | 67.1%53 W · 26 L | +7.6wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8515…8490backed Yes | 58c | 80$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.6 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Yes | 58c | 77.15$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.15 | 229 | 32.3%74 W · 155 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f17…6b99backed No | 44c | 77.1$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaeef…0e93backed No | 44c | 73.01$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3bb…ad38backed Yes | 58c | 69.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | -4.6wins | -0.09per pick | 58cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xac62…023bbacked Yes | 59c | 67.8$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…72b6backed No | 41c | 63.76$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2db8…e042backed Yes | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.10per pick | 62cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ed0…050dbacked Yes | 57c | 63.26$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa90d…cfc4backed Yes | 57c | 62.32$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…ac6ebacked Yes | 58c | 60.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.62 | 93 | 48.4%45 W · 48 L | -6.2wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x02cb…ae38backed Yes | 58c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.2 | 155 | 54.8%85 W · 70 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…88acbacked Yes | 59c | 56.71$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.25 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4202…9611backed Yes | 72c | 55.41$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.41 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -12%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…81e6backed Yes | 58c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.1 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x900b…d5c7backed Yes | 58c | 54.17$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.75 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.23per pick | 67cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed4…692ebacked Yes | 56c | 53.52$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0da5…5adfbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 291 | 46%134 W · 157 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c05…fc5ebacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -4.5wins | -0.13per pick | 59cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x95c8…9143backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce86…f868backed Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 93 | 34.4%32 W · 61 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb30a…644ebacked Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf847…aa05backed Yes | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 63cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5218…4b51backed Yes | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca0a…b6c2backed Yes | 80c | 47.51$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe520…9e21backed No | 43c | 46.72$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3b7…520dbacked Yes | 57c | 44.74$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.24 | 156 | 36.5%57 W · 99 L | -11.7wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…598cbacked No | 43c | 44.48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa66e…3430backed Yes | 57c | 44.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.05 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.1wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2b67…c09ebacked Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c0…3a39backed Yes | 57c | 43.86$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.86 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -5.3wins | -0.19per pick | 48cpaid | -45%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb189…35ebbacked Yes | 58c | 43.1$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.1 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1453…eac7backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -5.5wins | -0.22per pick | 54cpaid | -45.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x80ba…a1f9backed Yes | 59c | 42.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x134f…22ecbacked Yes | 56c | 42.26$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Newcastle win on 2024-12-21?this page
- Will Ipswich vs. Newcastle end in a draw?No won
- Will Ipswich win on 2024-12-21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.