Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x77ffe2de29223bfa2a636234b1b60eaf369358838a86317f5cc373d886b817af
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $8,552
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 35 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 43c | 2,700$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.62 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x908a…ad16backed No | 28c | 992$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$714.27 | 853 | 40.1%342 W · 511 L | -12.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 67c | 751.86$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.54 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 28c | 611.41$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.21 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 68c | 607$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.24 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked No | 69c | 497.37$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.28 | 293 | 57.3%168 W · 125 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa7b7…0adbbacked Yes | 33c | 448.72$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.08 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 14c | 302$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.22 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e6…71e4backed Yes | 33c | 240$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.2 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23fe…9788backed Yes | 43c | 200.53$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.84 | 192 | 41.7%80 W · 112 L | -12.2wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf6…8e9abacked No | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 39 | 25.6%10 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Yes | 32c | 176.02$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.18 | 490 | 46.9%230 W · 260 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 65c | 169.49$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.19 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf10f…004dbacked No | 76c | 132.43$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.78 | 41 | 70.7%29 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 63cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb3…f37fbacked No | 67c | 103$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 70 | 57.1%40 W · 30 L | +2.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…2abfbacked Yes | 31c | 101.2$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.37 | 294 | 25.9%76 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125e…992cbacked No | 69c | 101.2$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.37 | 15 | 93.3%14 W · 1 L | +4.1wins | +0.27per pick | 66cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 55 | 20%11 W · 44 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3459…808abacked Yes | 57c | 100$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57 | 59 | 20.3%12 W · 47 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked No | 20c | 97.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.62 | 65 | 29.2%19 W · 46 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f6…5ac8backed No | 27c | 92.59$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.59 | 90 | 33.3%30 W · 60 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a2c…38ccbacked No | 67c | 86$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x082b…5e67backed No | 74c | 84.64$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 70cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed No | 29c | 63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 171 | 41.5%71 W · 100 L | -9.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9acf…bd74backed No | 67c | 59$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.47 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Yes | 33c | 52$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.16 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3a…9993backed No | 68c | 51.19$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.38 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +10.3wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x154b…4917backed Yes | 32c | 51.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.38 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe829…a4aabacked No | 67c | 37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.21 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed No | 71c | 35.42$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 64 | 65.6%42 W · 22 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1db3…ada1backed No | 63c | 25$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.31 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x378c…4f9bbacked No | 68c | 19.12$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.12 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6014…5a58backed No | 67c | 19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.27 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 65cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa554…e53dbacked No | 67c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Telstar 1963 win on 2025-12-06?this page
- Will Heracles Almelo vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Heracles Almelo win on 2025-12-06?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.