NHL · resolved market
Sabres vs. Senators
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9f1b4596375ee55547b8de78a0922bd56c8b3322a87f0a52867d9432627e06c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Sabresof Sabres, Senators
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $53,001
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $56,976
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $53,001 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Sabres | 37c | 6,871$2,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,308.86 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70f8…d0d5backed Senators | 65c | 3,350$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,183.95 | 279 | 58.8%164 W · 115 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d7…1935backed Senators | 66c | 3,015$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 64 | 50%32 W · 32 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x221f…6be8backed Senators | 64c | 3,000$1,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,919.96 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa315…cabbbacked Sabres | 36c | 2,716$978 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,738.44 | 322 | 51.9%167 W · 155 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Sabres | 35c | 2,248$792 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,456.08 | 377 | 38.7%146 W · 231 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Sabres | 36c | 2,080$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,331.63 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Sabres | 34c | 1,935$661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,274.08 | 493 | 51.3%253 W · 240 L | +8.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Senators | 63c | 1,810$1,148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,148.18 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d2a…ca37backed Senators | 64c | 1,563$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 152 | 61.8%94 W · 58 L | +4.4wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x532f…83ccbacked Sabres | 37c | 1,500$555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$945 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2745…17b3backed Senators | 63c | 1,498$944 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.95 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6571…9827backed Senators | 63c | 1,400$886 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$886 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2237…97b0backed Sabres | 37c | 1,200$444 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$756 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…9c38backed Sabres | 34c | 1,000$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$660 | 669 | 51%341 W · 328 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffc…1f45backed Senators | 62c | 1,000$620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$620 | 217 | 50.2%109 W · 108 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Senators | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 851 | 48.5%413 W · 438 L | -48.2wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…e61bbacked Sabres | 35c | 782.67$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.09 | 166 | 45.8%76 W · 90 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf00f…711abacked Senators | 62c | 679$421 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420.98 | 137 | 56.2%77 W · 60 L | +5.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Sabres | 49c | 665.84$326 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.25 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fef…9a20backed Senators | 64c | 643.75$412 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$412 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -3.7wins | -0.53per pick | 53cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x039c…ba80backed Sabres | 37c | 643.57$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405.45 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e87…8befbacked Senators | 64c | 625$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…a821backed Senators | 65c | 600$390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390 | 119 | 51.3%61 W · 58 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Senators | 47c | 593.34$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275.97 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fc1…ec92backed Sabres | 36c | 483.25$174 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.28 | 543 | 49.5%269 W · 274 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8ee5…ca6bbacked Senators | 37c | 361.73$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.28 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Senators | 63c | 349.54$220 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.21 | 1,636 | 50.4%825 W · 811 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x931f…d15dbacked Senators | 64c | 312.5$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 59.4%76 W · 52 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Senators | 62c | 312.45$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.22 | 508 | 57.7%293 W · 215 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ea5…2af9backed Senators | 64c | 311.22$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 154 | 56.5%87 W · 67 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1734…ddd4backed Senators | 64c | 311$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.04 | 90 | 64.4%58 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd7…cd86backed Sabres | 34c | 309.96$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.47 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…10d6backed Senators | 43c | 300$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Sabres | 54c | 291.83$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.32 | 584 | 67.5%394 W · 190 L | +93.1wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +32.9%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xca34…8cb1backed Sabres | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee03…3eeabacked Sabres | 63c | 260.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.28 | 174 | 48.9%85 W · 89 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc458…b0e9backed Sabres | 36c | 250$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae5…8eb3backed Senators | 18c | 229.98$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.49 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -72.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Senators | 59c | 223.11$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132.51 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Sabres | 53c | 213.64$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.7 | 913 | 34.1%311 W · 602 L | -27.1wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed0…b1b8backed Sabres | 35c | 200$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 52cpaid | +116.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5902…59fabacked Senators | 22c | 199.97$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.99 | 80 | 52.5%42 W · 38 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b89…329ebacked Senators | 66c | 196.97$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…22f6backed Sabres | 35c | 180$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117 | 305 | 49.2%150 W · 155 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd121…54c7backed Senators | 45c | 178.81$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 173 | 63%109 W · 64 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Senators | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,039 | 55.2%574 W · 465 L | -5.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8896…7d78backed Senators | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 71.4%50 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x235c…8c1abacked Senators | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Senators | 66c | 153.03$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -3.3wins | -0.37per pick | 59cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x93f7…e9c4backed Senators | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +68.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03a7…2710backed Senators | 65c | 150$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf00e…884cbacked Sabres | 35c | 150$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.5 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…4a09backed Sabres | 37c | 136.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1e3…b95ebacked Sabres | 37c | 135.14$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.14 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +55%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Senators | 20c | 127.9$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.1 | 1,025 | 40.8%418 W · 607 L | +15.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdefd…6c3abacked Senators | 64c | 127.33$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.49 | 23 | 52.2%12 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1507…b280backed Sabres | 37c | 124.86$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.66 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6a…8b6dbacked Senators | 64c | 120.72$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.26 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b6a…ea96backed Senators | 65c | 120$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…5b2bbacked Sabres | 35c | 120$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Sabres | 36c | 118.41$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.78 | 81 | 45.7%37 W · 44 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe31a…adffbacked Senators | 65c | 115.38$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d2b…1beabacked Sabres | 37c | 114.15$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.38 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +4.3wins | +0.25per pick | 57cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc643…d7f3backed Sabres | 36c | 111.11$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.11 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f30…75bdbacked Sabres | 37c | 107.62$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.8 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab1…0f05backed Senators | 65c | 104$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d3d…c574backed Sabres | 35c | 104$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f0b…eb6dbacked Senators | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 101 | 27.7%28 W · 73 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Senators | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 351 | 54.1%190 W · 161 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7080…644bbacked Senators | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a3…5532backed Senators | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x680e…32c8backed Senators | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa181…6eb9backed Senators | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9fcc…034bbacked Sabres | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.1wins | +0.16per pick | 45cpaid | +51.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d94…ebe7backed Sabres | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…3781backed Sabres | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c18…08f8backed Senators | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd834…92d1backed Sabres | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4848…c4c4backed Senators | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904b…429cbacked Senators | 64c | 100$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 500 | 49.4%247 W · 253 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cc…dea5backed Senators | 66c | 100$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.66per pick | 66cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Sabres | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 724 | 44.6%323 W · 401 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c46…be29backed Sabres | 72c | 99.99$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 212 | 55.7%118 W · 94 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Sabres | 35c | 99.98$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 276 | 43.5%120 W · 156 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe225…0644backed Sabres | 37c | 98.81$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.25 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8294…d7dfbacked Senators | 66c | 98.48$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x792b…0775backed Senators | 65c | 98$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.7 | 208 | 61.5%128 W · 80 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb13d…2e90backed Senators | 63c | 96.86$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.99 | 840 | 51.4%432 W · 408 L | +19.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4132…a5a5backed Senators | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 110 | 51.8%57 W · 53 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -11%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbce3…9d1dbacked Sabres | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.5 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x566c…a639backed Senators | 65c | 90$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd907…efa8backed Senators | 65c | 88$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8f…e8c8backed Sabres | 35c | 88$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0070…4553backed Sabres | 36c | 86.11$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.11 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9aad…2cbbbacked Senators | 64c | 83.25$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea1…6d96backed Sabres | 37c | 81.73$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.49 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16b3…137fbacked Senators | 65c | 80$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8985…9580backed Sabres | 35c | 80$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Senators | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,037 | 55%570 W · 467 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.