World Politics · resolved market
Han Duck-soo presidential unity ticket with PPP?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce66106309c37c6399f644bfb32d746e6a04e9a461161af6babd78f45c58ee2c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $88,998
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $73,815
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $88,998 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 0c | 8,000$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 69 | 30.4%21 W · 48 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0dfa…c0e3backed Yes | 0c | 6,517$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.55 | 412 | 1%4 W · 408 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +171.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99a1…b0c3backed Yes | 1c | 5,350$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.51 | 513 | 2.9%15 W · 498 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7c8…a348backed Yes | 19c | 5,286$1,015 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,015.08 | 44 | 34.1%15 W · 29 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc613…662bbacked Yes | 1c | 4,617$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.55 | 452 | 1.1%5 W · 447 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 0cpaid | +156.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac63…7afcbacked Yes | 4c | 4,215$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Yes | 1c | 3,000$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 54 | 14.8%8 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5676…b103backed Yes | 14c | 2,654$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.36 | 205 | 38%78 W · 127 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 1c | 2,229$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.46 | 688 | 3.6%25 W · 663 L | -9.5wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9aeb…2f31backed No | 6c | 1,751$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,646.34 | 67 | 26.9%18 W · 49 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 1c | 1,659$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.92 | 293 | 9.2%27 W · 266 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab55…df2abacked Yes | 2c | 1,574$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.18 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6cbb…89abbacked Yes | 11c | 1,345$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.39 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -2.7wins | -0.08per pick | 26cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa066…bfd4backed Yes | 1c | 1,250$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 23 | 13%3 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 2c | 1,200$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.66 | 1,431 | 10.1%145 W · 1,286 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed Yes | 2c | 1,103$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.37 | 576 | 36.3%209 W · 367 L | -27.2wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9edb…9f05backed No | 55c | 732.97$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$330.68 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 16c | 652.55$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.1 | 314 | 43.9%138 W · 176 L | -12.8wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a1a…83eabacked Yes | 19c | 579.99$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.9 | 60 | 21.7%13 W · 47 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x508e…5c09backed No | 10c | 567.45$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$511.6 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 6cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77c4…3e4ebacked No | 8c | 553.42$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$510.72 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +3.2wins | +0.21per pick | 12cpaid | +312.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5e65…7bc1backed Yes | 41c | 520.85$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.3 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa58d…b9b8backed Yes | 13c | 440$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.43 | 457 | 23.2%106 W · 351 L | -15.8wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -35%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 51c | 424.85$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.53 | 1,318 | 43.9%579 W · 739 L | -26.8wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6828…1056backed No | 21c | 424.68$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.5 | 247 | 36.8%91 W · 156 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d1…4525backed No | 5c | 340$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.84 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed No | 13c | 326.02$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.43 | 476 | 6.5%31 W · 445 L | -8.9wins | -0.02per pick | 8cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90e0…c12dbacked No | 28c | 211.03$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.52 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 39c | 165.2$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.98 | 884 | 48.5%429 W · 455 L | -2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x241f…ef50backed Yes | 13c | 157.85$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +3.7wins | +0.09per pick | 19cpaid | +189.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x39d0…4fe8backed No | 17c | 149.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.76 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc8d…5232backed No | 14c | 141.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.1 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84dd…8701backed Yes | 70c | 116.45$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.82 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda0b…f4f6backed Yes | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.09per pick | 35cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.7 | 131 | 18.3%24 W · 107 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…74f1backed Yes | 16c | 82$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 39 | 35.9%14 W · 25 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 30cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40a3…6ed8backed No | 25c | 80.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xeb99…8c33backed No | 25c | 79.73$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.47 | 96 | 59.4%57 W · 39 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1446…939abacked Yes | 64c | 63$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 37c | 42.78$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.79 | 172 | 27.9%48 W · 124 L | -5.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ed…47d8backed Yes | 67c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.1 | 135 | 25.2%34 W · 101 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +38.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3af3…75ebbacked Yes | 67c | 22.77$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 31 | 22.6%7 W · 24 L | -4.0wins | -0.13per pick | 36cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x87cd…6f2abacked No | 75c | 21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 88 | 61.4%54 W · 34 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d93…8cbebacked Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 169 | 40.2%68 W · 101 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.