Tennis · resolved market
Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x292ceb8ff7ca5a05e1b59785f7c3aedca6523afe8e3f185913ffe04968a64060
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,055
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,110
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,055 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed No | 67c | 226.96$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.66 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +13.2wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x80b1…f64abacked Yes | 34c | 179.54$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd46c…f641backed No | 79c | 139$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.77 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 53cpaid | +35.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…89b5backed Yes | 22c | 101$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 30 | 16.7%5 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 29cpaid | -54.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1cfc…2111backed No | 77c | 100$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7abe…b47ebacked No | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -27%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf9…b4cabacked Yes | 20c | 81$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.2 | 288 | 28.5%82 W · 206 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked No | 80c | 80$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +147.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a52…05b4backed Yes | 33c | 63.21$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.86 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -4.9wins | -0.23per pick | 56cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Yes | 31c | 62.15$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad0c…d90abacked No | 79c | 55.75$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.69 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x312d…6814backed No | 78c | 41.03$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.03 | 68 | 63.2%43 W · 25 L | +8.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…4c5abacked Yes | 66c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 80c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked No | 80c | 19.48$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.99 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8803…8ddfbacked No | 66c | 16.67$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.67 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?this page
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?No won
- Will Corentin Moutet win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?No won
- Will Tallon Griekspoor win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.