Tennis · resolved market
Will Tallon Griekspoor win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3cd21166781ed59edaeb3c480a9ebcebec3b0d7d756a3e7fd0e009944cf101c5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,765
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,216
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,765 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa486…25d4backed Yes | 62c | 909.23$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$348.55 | 62 | 59.7%37 W · 25 L | +12.2wins | +0.20per pick | 40cpaid | +399.3%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x700f…62d8backed Yes | 63c | 801.25$507 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.34 | 383 | 48%184 W · 199 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Yes | 60c | 704.03$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$281.61 | 223 | 44.8%100 W · 123 L | -13.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Yes | 62c | 322.58$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.58 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9d1…2b9ebacked Yes | 65c | 154.8$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 164 | 45.7%75 W · 89 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 32c | 140$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf9d…a540backed No | 34c | 123$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.26 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes | 69c | 101$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.56 | 1,852 | 44.5%825 W · 1,027 L | -20.3wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed No | 22c | 79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c17…de2bbacked Yes | 65c | 78.08$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.27 | 79 | 57%45 W · 34 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8af…4900backed Yes | 62c | 75$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 173 | 49.1%85 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…7c9fbacked No | 34c | 63.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.62 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf520…0637backed No | 30c | 45.65$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 280 | 43.2%121 W · 159 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8c…757abacked No | 45c | 39.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed No | 35c | 29$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…099abacked Yes | 65c | 23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.05 | 127 | 37%47 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Tallon Griekspoor win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?this page
- Will Ben Shelton win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?No won
- Will Casper Ruud win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?No won
- Will Corentin Moutet win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?No won
- Will Felix Auger-Aliassime win the 2025 Mallorca Championships?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.