Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on February 20?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8004afe8ac317ad9be8986ec560c56863dd58fe1fcbf30a6be17f51db5549fe1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,287
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $25,080
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,287 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4e8…895bbacked Yes | 0c | 9,126$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b66…1b4ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,558$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.84 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde32…700cbacked Yes | 41c | 1,374$559 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$558.54 | 129 | 50.4%65 W · 64 L | +13.1wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7554…38e2backed Yes | 7c | 1,208$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99b4…aa0bbacked No | 64c | 600$384 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…f204backed Yes | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +17.9wins | +0.16per pick | 33cpaid | +104.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf4cf…1f03backed Yes | 30c | 333.34$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 43 | 34.9%15 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 29c | 321.6$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.56 | 259 | 47.5%123 W · 136 L | +8.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f9…4b22backed Yes | 36c | 310$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.6 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdfb8…a530backed Yes | 6c | 300$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 40cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7287…d1a3backed Yes | 36c | 290$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.4 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b34…7eb8backed Yes | 58c | 273.32$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.48 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | -6.8wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9241…f41cbacked No | 58c | 250.3$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.3 | 96 | 47.9%46 W · 50 L | -14.8wins | -0.15per pick | 63cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x8d61…3c32backed Yes | 52c | 239.69$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.55 | 132 | 24.2%32 W · 100 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5638…224dbacked No | 61c | 222.05$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.08 | 113 | 59.3%67 W · 46 L | +7.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 32c | 200$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8f8…0f11backed Yes | 39c | 200$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.8 | 966 | 20.7%200 W · 766 L | +59.8wins | +0.06per pick | 15cpaid | +96.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 40c | 144$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.2 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe92b…fa4dbacked Yes | 42c | 141.58$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 66 | 37.9%25 W · 41 L | -3.9wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xacc8…7d08backed No | 71c | 130$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.6 | 602 | 35.7%215 W · 387 L | +41.3wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +37.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed No | 64c | 106.08$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.56 | 9,885 | 45.9%4,540 W · 5,345 L | -302.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0054…7f85backed No | 69c | 104$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.43 | 51 | 62.7%32 W · 19 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x55b4…80eabacked No | 62c | 89.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.4 | 44 | 13.6%6 W · 38 L | -6.0wins | -0.14per pick | 27cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf596…026cbacked Yes | 36c | 70$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80ec…8fd5backed Yes | 41c | 61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa5…8d6dbacked No | 60c | 60$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x97df…3088backed Yes | 28c | 55.84$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.64 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6857…f883backed Yes | 41c | 53$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61ac…f57dbacked No | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 46 | 54.3%25 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde26…0972backed No | 63c | 45.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 39 | 71.8%28 W · 11 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b1…905fbacked Yes | 41c | 42$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc48…0a25backed Yes | 25c | 41.54$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75e7…9080backed Yes | 30c | 40.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 56 | 37.5%21 W · 35 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +16%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2741…0865backed No | 61c | 40$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa291…d88dbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 191 | 26.2%50 W · 141 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc33a…2179backed Yes | 30c | 39.13$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca67…f6e5backed No | 59c | 39$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6434…64f1backed Yes | 31c | 38.84$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.04 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8290…8b08backed No | 70c | 38$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.23 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee4f…6b49backed No | 75c | 35.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x459e…6494backed Yes | 36c | 34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4154…273abacked Yes | 37c | 34$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc71e…26c7backed Yes | 36c | 33$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa33…e699backed No | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b8c…eddbbacked Yes | 39c | 31$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…bad5backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ad…659ebacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a6d…6e73backed Yes | 38c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb02…deedbacked Yes | 39c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc1bd…e940backed Yes | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6af…c41dbacked No | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1d5…0735backed No | 59c | 29$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7528…624ebacked Yes | 38c | 29$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d07…2a43backed Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab9…64adbacked Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf682…78eebacked No | 59c | 27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7327…da58backed Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cd9…6375backed Yes | 39c | 27$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8103…f6fcbacked Yes | 40c | 25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb53…e5c4backed No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +48.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca71…1e8bbacked No | 63c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.37per pick | 63cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa846…cc8abacked No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x488c…0510backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe37e…a17dbacked No | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x237b…a9e5backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ae3…5c6abacked No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaba9…14f7backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc7f…9e07backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3311…0ce4backed No | 64c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3429…46f2backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3e…975fbacked No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc4d…6597backed No | 62c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8c…e257backed No | 61c | 19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.31per pick | 70cpaid | +46.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d9b…0cdebacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170b…18e1backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 68cpaid | +49.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…591fbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec9a…85efbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba9…3798backed No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa8…f2a6backed No | 64c | 18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75a9…d63bbacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb762…e58ebacked No | 62c | 18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc99f…1f78backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5982…bdf2backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc160…8a27backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdee6…8ac5backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 66cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fb6…d732backed No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28c0…54ddbacked No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc639…d84ebacked No | 61c | 17$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 53-54°F on February 20?this page
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 51-52°F on February 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 55-56°F on February 20?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 57-58°F on February 20?No won
- Will the highest temperature in London be between 59-60°F on February 20?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.