NBA · resolved market
Spurs vs. Timberwolves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x183f32a2aa7ce5d22911d915e46c3121837b9443f382e04cb10275c1dadfa351
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Timberwolvesof Spurs, Timberwolves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $150,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $147,666
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $150,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd3b1…6f55backed Spurs | 19c | 17,616$3,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,304.08 | 202 | 38.6%78 W · 124 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Spurs | 19c | 11,768$2,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,229.25 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Spurs | 2c | 7,841$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.43 | 878 | 3%26 W · 852 L | -22.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -62%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44f7…266fbacked Spurs | 0c | 7,500$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 457 | 3.5%16 W · 441 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x674d…def3backed Spurs | 18c | 5,360$951 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$951.23 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cf5…6440backed Spurs | 19c | 5,200$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.99 | 469 | 28.4%133 W · 336 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24b9…bcb1backed Spurs | 1c | 5,013$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.25 | 370 | 11.4%42 W · 328 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Spurs | 1c | 3,400$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 1,277 | 2.3%29 W · 1,248 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -84%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ecd…a578backed Spurs | 20c | 3,162$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$632.32 | 231 | 35.1%81 W · 150 L | -11.1wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4a7…b33abacked Spurs | 10c | 3,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x649c…6e4fbacked Spurs | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -66.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Timberwolves | 79c | 2,184$1,734 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450 | 613 | 45.5%279 W · 334 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ef2…d0dabacked Spurs | 11c | 2,047$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.13 | 110 | 19.1%21 W · 89 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed Spurs | 15c | 2,000$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.02 | 311 | 25.1%78 W · 233 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2137…0677backed Spurs | 18c | 2,000$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 82 | 19.5%16 W · 66 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Timberwolves | 80c | 2,000$1,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400 | 1,164 | 49.6%577 W · 587 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…4f20backed Spurs | 21c | 2,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 406 | 27.8%113 W · 293 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x02c2…5170backed Spurs | 14c | 1,811$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7f65…d7aebacked Spurs | 11c | 1,763$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.54 | 255 | 36.9%94 W · 161 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f66…8938backed Spurs | 8c | 1,558$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124 | 264 | 31.8%84 W · 180 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc254…b899backed Spurs | 21c | 1,527$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 61 | 21.3%13 W · 48 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x817b…3c25backed Spurs | 6c | 1,511$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 1,048 | 41.1%431 W · 617 L | +23.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x873c…ac48backed Spurs | 20c | 1,500$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 258 | 33.7%87 W · 171 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88db…3843backed Timberwolves | 80c | 1,500$1,200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 175 | 46.3%81 W · 94 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30d5…f0c8backed Spurs | 19c | 1,453$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb652…2db4backed Spurs | 1c | 1,200$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 376 | 27.9%105 W · 271 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb215…b819backed Spurs | 19c | 1,066$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb433…3ad5backed Spurs | 19c | 1,047$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.46 | 44 | 31.8%14 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec5c…ce46backed Spurs | 20c | 999.05$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 451 | 35%158 W · 293 L | -6.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ff…805cbacked Spurs | 21c | 961.64$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 428 | 27.3%117 W · 311 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d01…27cbbacked Spurs | 19c | 905.26$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Spurs | 2c | 903.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 750 | 2%15 W · 735 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -63.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Spurs | 18c | 847.7$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.37 | 736 | 47.3%348 W · 388 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x520a…ab8abacked Spurs | 18c | 800$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 510 | 37.5%191 W · 319 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c56…5a66backed Spurs | 19c | 789.47$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 110 | 40.9%45 W · 65 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Spurs | 1c | 709.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10ae…cb95backed Spurs | 18c | 700$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 260 | 49.2%128 W · 132 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bea…5d50backed Spurs | 12c | 666$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.92 | 500 | 47.2%236 W · 264 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…317bbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 655$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.05 | 183 | 54.1%99 W · 84 L | +5.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Spurs | 12c | 500$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9353…cdbebacked Spurs | 20c | 500$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 686 | 42.1%289 W · 397 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7804…7025backed Spurs | 19c | 487.4$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.98 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbe…d6d5backed Spurs | 18c | 472.22$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -70.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x725f…06c2backed Spurs | 22c | 461.95$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1,888 | 37.3%704 W · 1,184 L | +9.9wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 461$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.2 | 706 | 40.8%288 W · 418 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb26…94ddbacked Spurs | 6c | 400$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 100 | 18%18 W · 82 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd88…1ca6backed Spurs | 18c | 379.95$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.39 | 194 | 51.5%100 W · 94 L | -17.8wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbe59…a131backed Timberwolves | 79c | 377$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.17 | 153 | 65.4%100 W · 53 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb091…2017backed Spurs | 12c | 364.08$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.69 | 117 | 55.6%65 W · 52 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7662…356bbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 349.99$279 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.16 | 457 | 43.3%198 W · 259 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf04f…a8c4backed Spurs | 19c | 309.56$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 227 | 33%75 W · 152 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0ec…6064backed Spurs | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 139 | 29.5%41 W · 98 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe27b…858fbacked Spurs | 21c | 300$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 855 | 42%359 W · 496 L | +10.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb5…87ecbacked Spurs | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Spurs | 18c | 203.61$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.11 | 930 | 36.5%339 W · 591 L | -20.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd685…8be9backed Timberwolves | 80c | 200$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.08per pick | 72cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3989…27b1backed Spurs | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 306 | 41.8%128 W · 178 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Spurs | 18c | 199.62$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.93 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e90…4c0bbacked Spurs | 18c | 173.72$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96ed…4133backed Spurs | 19c | 171.79$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.19per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e7…c2b5backed Spurs | 19c | 168.83$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.31 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -4.2wins | -0.46per pick | 57cpaid | -85.9%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd8…858ebacked Spurs | 16c | 149.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.5 | 365 | 14.2%52 W · 313 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe727…a39cbacked Spurs | 9c | 132.5$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 657 | 26%171 W · 486 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…e7ccbacked Spurs | 18c | 124.28$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a3…8cfebacked Spurs | 18c | 122.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x224b…d105backed Timberwolves | 80c | 122$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.4 | 71 | 69%49 W · 22 L | +4.3wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ab…48cbbacked Spurs | 20c | 115.65$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.3wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Spurs | 10c | 112.45$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.24 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x719b…c995backed Spurs | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 36.7%29 W · 50 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1de5…fe7bbacked Spurs | 18c | 111.11$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.17per pick | 27cpaid | -86.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91cf…5e23backed Spurs | 19c | 105.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Spurs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1,269 | 44.5%565 W · 704 L | +32.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c0c…9d02backed Spurs | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 261 | 24.1%63 W · 198 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c02…b4d4backed Spurs | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 336 | 39%131 W · 205 L | -16.5wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -13%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x86c2…3efebacked Spurs | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Spurs | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x368c…b415backed Spurs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb701…7cf6backed Spurs | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 303 | 31.4%95 W · 208 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5036…416bbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 100$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 388 | 45.9%178 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4093…a5dbbacked Spurs | 19c | 100$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb43c…d43bbacked Spurs | 11c | 99.99$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 130 | 43.1%56 W · 74 L | +5.3wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2b0…69e9backed Spurs | 16c | 91.67$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 248 | 46.4%115 W · 133 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…1730backed Spurs | 18c | 83.33$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 35.1%20 W · 37 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x54b5…4b31backed Spurs | 17c | 79.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.6 | 569 | 45.3%258 W · 311 L | -8.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b6…2b6bbacked Spurs | 18c | 78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.11per pick | 56cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbb…eac9backed Spurs | 18c | 66.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.01 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…b038backed Spurs | 20c | 65$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Timberwolves | 80c | 62.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.74 | 333 | 48.9%163 W · 170 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaec4…9facbacked Spurs | 18c | 58$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5949…6d11backed Spurs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 103 | 43.7%45 W · 58 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x19af…4d7ebacked Spurs | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 72 | 47.2%34 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb474…a4bcbacked Timberwolves | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.3 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb02…a41cbacked Timberwolves | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 29 | 65.5%19 W · 10 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 72cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dda…a70abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -3.0wins | -0.11per pick | 69cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9135…7142backed Timberwolves | 70c | 17.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.14 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dc2…cce7backed Timberwolves | 80c | 16.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.34 | 27 | 77.8%21 W · 6 L | +3.1wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed Timberwolves | 78c | 15$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.3 | 645 | 17.1%110 W · 535 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5bf8…56a9backed Timberwolves | 80c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.8 | 41 | 82.9%34 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.08per pick | 75cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x744e…ebe7backed Timberwolves | 80c | 13$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.6 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 77cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0609…da97backed Timberwolves | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 76cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.