TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NBA · resolved market

Hornets vs. Wizards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Wizardsof Hornets, Wizards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$218,848
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$233,309

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $218,848 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 351 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa6a8…5009backed Hornets17c26,522$4,609 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,608.573,99548.9%1,952 W · 2,043 L+101.9wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x20cc…ebc0backed Wizards77c18,607$14,295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,312.3715056.7%85 W · 65 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid-9.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c55…a357backed Hornets60c10,027$6,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,016.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcaef…d9f3backed Wizards40c10,024$4,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,014.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8b58…4f05backed Hornets0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1484…cafebacked Wizards43c9,749$4,192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,557.0129738.7%115 W · 182 L-10.6wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x58b5…7340backed Hornets1c8,850$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.31348.2%11 W · 123 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-81.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee00…cea1backed Wizards16c8,112$1,281 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,831.0470147.8%335 W · 366 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick46cpaid-8.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb8c4…7385backed Wizards39c5,142$2,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,136.9947542.3%201 W · 274 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xed0e…b305backed Hornets47c4,260$2,002 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,002.221723.5%51 W · 166 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick19cpaid+75.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb786…b18dbacked Hornets54c4,046$2,176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,176.351,31650.5%664 W · 652 L+42.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb100…6461backed Hornets3c3,397$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.9523237.1%86 W · 146 L+4.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-24.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x90ba…63f3backed Wizards38c3,050$1,159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,8911,78228%499 W · 1,283 L+11.5wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Hornets58c3,035$1,763 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,763.171,75240.6%712 W · 1,040 L-3.3wins0.00per pick41cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c03…0cc1backed Hornets30c3,010$891 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$890.881,60211.8%189 W · 1,413 L-4.8wins0.00per pick12cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Hornets64c2,898$1,850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,85056348.5%273 W · 290 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a64…4430backed Wizards36c2,608$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,658.5461532.2%198 W · 417 L-21.1wins-0.03per pick36cpaid-32.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4673…d99bbacked Hornets61c2,200$1,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,341.9837954.1%205 W · 174 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick56cpaid0%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0269…cb2dbacked Hornets33c2,067$692 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$691.6965642.5%279 W · 377 L-2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x540c…a634backed Wizards39c2,051$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,251.289445.7%43 W · 51 L-5.5wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea79…a9ccbacked Wizards77c2,000$1,535 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4655552.7%29 W · 26 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1608…a990backed Wizards54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92025939%101 W · 158 L-6.8wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc86…73b8backed Wizards38c1,580$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$979.896533.8%22 W · 43 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-1.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x93ca…d65ebacked Wizards74c1,345$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$345.2625865.5%169 W · 89 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-1.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1d85…228ebacked Hornets63c1,271$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8007142.3%30 W · 41 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x061e…8e2fbacked Wizards73c1,263$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.372937.9%11 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-33.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5c57…5b16backed Hornets62c1,186$737 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.0973051.8%378 W · 352 L-2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2c7…1b5bbacked Wizards37c1,099$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$687.5529148.8%142 W · 149 L+7.1wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc25…1f7fbacked Wizards35c1,056$369 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$686.1296447.8%461 W · 503 L+35.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+17.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6dcf…7400backed Hornets48c1,042$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006855.9%38 W · 30 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc558…e8ccbacked Hornets62c1,000$620 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62025651.6%132 W · 124 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick50cpaid-4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed Wizards37c1,000$372 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$628.461,29044%567 W · 723 L+35.0wins+0.03per pick41cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x977a…f2cabacked Hornets1c999.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.731,2772.3%29 W · 1,248 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick3cpaid-84%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xabe4…1996backed Hornets66c923.3$613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$612.591650%8 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-24.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42e8…9d10backed Hornets35c871.14$307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.9421357.7%123 W · 90 L+14.3wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+7.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7f79…1db4backed Wizards39c856$331 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.7316838.7%65 W · 103 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-11.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x60a5…2da4backed Wizards37c817.07$304 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$513.088040%32 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4b…5a92backed Hornets53c800$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.171,16654.4%634 W · 532 L+19.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed Hornets21c800$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17111250%56 W · 56 L+8.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Hornets50c751.36$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$377.895,84446.7%2,728 W · 3,116 L+32.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaa38…ffb3backed Wizards80c620$496 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12410925.7%28 W · 81 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2bd…dce0backed Hornets61c575$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$351.3877745%350 W · 427 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d54…2386backed Hornets63c555.56$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3504456.8%25 W · 19 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick63cpaid-11.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb1c…963ebacked Wizards37c553.87$208 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.299646.9%45 W · 51 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7896…3e00backed Wizards79c530$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.32142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.9wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa647…64eebacked Hornets23c500$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11519350.3%97 W · 96 L+5.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-2.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe59b…488ebacked Wizards37c499.83$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.8972341.2%298 W · 425 L+23.0wins+0.03per pick38cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8c76…477abacked Hornets48c416.67$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027739.4%109 W · 168 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd445…abf3backed Hornets49c403.27$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.31145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf4cd…0516backed Hornets62c400$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24839843.5%173 W · 225 L-1.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8047…54f4backed Wizards69c399.99$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1246743.3%29 W · 38 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-17.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Wizards38c395$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$244.92,43549.8%1,212 W · 1,223 L+30.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77ba…a9cabacked Hornets64c386.09$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.1933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x8117…3405backed Wizards38c385.49$145 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.711060%6 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+61.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0328…28fabacked Wizards15c368.6$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.3122430.8%69 W · 155 L-0.5wins0.00per pick31cpaid-6.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb701…7cf6backed Wizards43c346.2$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.230331.4%95 W · 208 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8c57…9780backed Hornets30c333.33$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004045%18 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-17%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xccff…e845backed Wizards39c330$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.548137.2%179 W · 302 L-15.6wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-12.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7742…03e9backed Wizards70c327.18$229 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.1519939.2%78 W · 121 L-17.7wins-0.09per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7eda…4bb7backed Hornets46c326.09$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15038942.9%167 W · 222 L-16.9wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x97e1…017bbacked Hornets59c320.64$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.1824554.7%134 W · 111 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c27…c8b4backed Wizards39c320.19$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.8117141.5%71 W · 100 L-0.7wins0.00per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc42e…edbdbacked Wizards37c299.94$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$188.9635046%161 W · 189 L+14.3wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x964b…167abacked Wizards67c297.94$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.943053.3%16 W · 14 L+0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid-10.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb90d…7db5backed Wizards74c296.17$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.7530954%167 W · 142 L-8.1wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfd2f…37ddbacked Wizards37c287.81$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$181.3214039.3%55 W · 85 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9602…4d02backed Hornets62c250.58$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.3612040.8%49 W · 71 L-5.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe27b…858fbacked Wizards38c249.99$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.7685542%359 W · 496 L+10.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54f5…e936backed Wizards34c249.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7415947.8%76 W · 83 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbc31…971fbacked Wizards50c248.47$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$123.478950.6%45 W · 44 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7e4…7319backed Wizards41c243.9$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.92759.3%16 W · 11 L+2.0wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+5.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xcef7…e7d7backed Wizards41c234.18$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.0419231.3%60 W · 132 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1b61…78e8backed Hornets5c202$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.12437.5%9 W · 15 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick29cpaid+54.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc26f…7055backed Hornets63c200$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1265468.5%37 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick66cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d64…b03fbacked Hornets64c200$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12835165.2%229 W · 122 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick65cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x068b…9301backed Wizards59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick55cpaid-34.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1625…dfc0backed Wizards25c200$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1501764.7%11 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+30.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x24fe…e52cbacked Wizards39c199.94$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.965240.4%21 W · 31 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick32cpaid+30.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6153…0e04backed Hornets45c179.05$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.796347.6%30 W · 33 L-6.2wins-0.10per pick57cpaid-25.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x6753…7340backed Wizards78c170.08$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.424344.2%19 W · 24 L+2.0wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe208…2b30backed Wizards37c167.57$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.57977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.20per pick58cpaid+43.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x56fd…7ae6backed Wizards36c159.96$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.376752.2%35 W · 32 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+12.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdceb…4248backed Hornets25c159.84$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.9620%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x893e…a75bbacked Hornets63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb544…7fdcbacked Wizards38c152.63$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.63955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4fc1…ec92backed Wizards36c139.69$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.475347.5%358 W · 395 L+10.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2af4…706ebacked Wizards53c138.92$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.364134.1%14 W · 27 L-5.7wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-42.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xa88f…208fbacked Wizards37c135.14$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.144420.5%9 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x51b1…bce2backed Hornets38c134.69$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.9677437.5%290 W · 484 L-1.7wins0.00per pick38cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x610d…188bbacked Wizards38c131.58$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.5818628%52 W · 134 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-9.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bce…558cbacked Wizards76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.588345.8%38 W · 45 L-7.8wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8f0a…e4eabacked Wizards76c131.58$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5815763.1%99 W · 58 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick65cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe91d…81dfbacked Wizards77c129.18$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.184573.3%33 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick72cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3538…e615backed Hornets29c127.46$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.62161.9%13 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.17per pick45cpaid+131%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x1afb…c1ecbacked Wizards80c125$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-21.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9592…381bbacked Hornets54c120.16$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.23366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-7.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f6f…d9d4backed Wizards54c114.14$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.225056%28 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-14.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x10fb…130cbacked Wizards37c113.51$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.511163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.1wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+30.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb337…5589backed Hornets63c106.5$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.136643.2%158 W · 208 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd904…0a2dbacked Wizards38c105.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.261241.7%5 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.