Europa Conference League · resolved market
MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc48c3b375ed2f11cc189ab834e0c6e9ad4f09d690cdf84a2bf6e391cf27520bc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $40,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $40,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 72c | 14,452$10,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,047.48 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…281bbacked Over | 24c | 10,537$2,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.52 | 45 | 13.3%6 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 19cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Over | 30c | 3,995$1,206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,205.93 | 1,604 | 38.9%624 W · 980 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 2,929$857 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$856.87 | 558 | 45%251 W · 307 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd871…6bbabacked Over | 42c | 2,500$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,049.98 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425b…18f1backed Over | 27c | 1,412$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$381.34 | 21 | 19%4 W · 17 L | -3.3wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -57.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Over | 54c | 1,269$682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$682.5 | 973 | 46%448 W · 525 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Under | 60c | 1,203$718 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$485.18 | 2,473 | 33.9%839 W · 1,634 L | -95.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -25%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 969 | 47.5%460 W · 509 L | +13.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 73c | 591.67$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.84 | 852 | 60.9%519 W · 333 L | +29.5wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Under | 73c | 584.23$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.45 | 580 | 61.9%359 W · 221 L | +22.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67b0…89d3backed Under | 56c | 475.01$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.76 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 77c | 459.95$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.96 | 2,167 | 37.6%815 W · 1,352 L | +5.7wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Under | 75c | 442.68$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.96 | 2,333 | 41.7%972 W · 1,361 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed Under | 58c | 431.03$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.03 | 155 | 44.5%69 W · 86 L | +6.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 391.52$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.11 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Under | 71c | 382.14$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 318 | 56%178 W · 140 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a55…a82abacked Under | 66c | 357.82$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.5 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x882c…5d07backed Under | 74c | 348.56$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.79 | 351 | 46.2%162 W · 189 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 9c | 320$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 795 | 32.2%256 W · 539 L | -16.9wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x370c…6929backed Under | 62c | 305.57$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22da…2866backed Under | 75c | 265.28$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.27 | 294 | 70.1%206 W · 88 L | +21.6wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Under | 71c | 250.62$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.98 | 191 | 63.4%121 W · 70 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4993…553fbacked Under | 67c | 246.74$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.75 | 59 | 71.2%42 W · 17 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 42c | 243.92$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.45 | 568 | 49.6%282 W · 286 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Under | 71c | 218.5$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.1 | 393 | 57.5%226 W · 167 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Over | 15c | 210$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 374 | 46.8%175 W · 199 L | +27.1wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6dd…7af9backed Under | 72c | 202.53$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.59 | 122 | 54.1%66 W · 56 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Under | 72c | 201$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.11 | 535 | 64.7%346 W · 189 L | +29.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…82d7backed Under | 58c | 167.43$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.32 | 38 | 52.6%20 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 62cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Under | 73c | 149.35$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.13 | 69 | 69.6%48 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Over | 12c | 146.39$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.28 | 370 | 46.5%172 W · 198 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | 0%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Under | 73c | 135.11$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.4 | 655 | 49.8%326 W · 329 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…f6abbacked Over | 29c | 122.71$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 51cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 73c | 101.31$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.88 | 1,573 | 55.7%876 W · 697 L | +25.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe392…d868backed Under | 74c | 97.02$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 75 | 80%60 W · 15 L | +12.6wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x15e9…4b73backed Under | 76c | 92.63$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.63 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Under | 64c | 90.21$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 501 | 54.7%274 W · 227 L | +20.1wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x95b4…7c3fbacked Over | 31c | 80.65$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37e9…ab9fbacked Over | 22c | 79$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.67 | 49 | 16.3%8 W · 41 L | -5.2wins | -0.11per pick | 27cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Under | 79c | 73.32$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +5.6wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0009…5497backed Over | 46c | 68.84$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Over | 22c | 66.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.77 | 335 | 22.4%75 W · 260 L | -43.5wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked Under | 75c | 57.96$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.34 | 88 | 69.3%61 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | -14.7wins | -0.10per pick | 51cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 47c | 54.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.71 | 31 | 32.3%10 W · 21 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3500…07f0backed Under | 73c | 45.33$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.36 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.25per pick | 68cpaid | +39%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 266 | 47.4%126 W · 140 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 73c | 39.41$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.64 | 433 | 44.6%193 W · 240 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fc…097ebacked Over | 27c | 39.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Under | 47c | 36.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 1,033 | 46.1%476 W · 557 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c52…99e1backed Under | 75c | 28.04$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.04 | 42 | 78.6%33 W · 9 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 75cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e1…9bc1backed Under | 51c | 25.5$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.62 | 27 | 74.1%20 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 67cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed Under | 73c | 24.63$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc155…e36bbacked Under | 75c | 23.07$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.66 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…65f2backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe935…3991backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c22…7b22backed Under | 76c | 19.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.67 | 11 | 90.9%10 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.17per pick | 74cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e1…6935backed Under | 76c | 19.37$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 68cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb9…c170backed Under | 80c | 18.77$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 118 | 60.2%71 W · 47 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 3.5this page
- MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. FK Austria Wien: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. FK Austria Wien: MH Beitar Jerusalem O/U 1.5Under won
- MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 1.5Over won
- MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 2.5Over won
- MH Beitar Jerusalem vs. FK Austria Wien: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: MH Beitar Jerusalem (-1.5)FK Austria Wien won
- Spread: MH Beitar Jerusalem (-2.5)FK Austria Wien won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.