CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group B
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd07bf633049b8159863ab4e78f7fac517d9466c37f390cb1e15c41411b9f0a9b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- HEROIC Academyof HyperSpirit, HEROIC Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,838
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 64 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4713…4d21backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 5,543$1,761 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,761.4 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa927…8d9fbacked HEROIC Academy | 68c | 3,687$2,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.45 | 345 | 59.1%204 W · 141 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 2,422$792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$791.67 | 780 | 43.7%341 W · 439 L | -21.5wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked HyperSpirit | 32c | 1,808$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.36 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed HEROIC Academy | 71c | 1,513$1,071 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.41 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e15…7531backed HyperSpirit | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$825 | 112 | 49.1%55 W · 57 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6185…2965backed HEROIC Academy | 42c | 1,495$628 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$867.35 | 140 | 51.4%72 W · 68 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed HEROIC Academy | 73c | 1,258$918 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340.54 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa573…3987backed HEROIC Academy | 45c | 1,081$486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.55 | 47 | 38.3%18 W · 29 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 1,049$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330.09 | 1,302 | 41.2%536 W · 766 L | -50.1wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7004…a778backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 956$666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.06 | 301 | 55.8%168 W · 133 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed HEROIC Academy | 60c | 946.66$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.17 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 941.15$405 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536.46 | 1,411 | 33.7%475 W · 936 L | +42.1wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked HyperSpirit | 32c | 940.22$302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.39 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 705.48$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.03 | 1,579 | 29.7%469 W · 1,110 L | -86.9wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed HEROIC Academy | 42c | 700$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406 | 576 | 41.5%239 W · 337 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5135…7217backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 547.45$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.84 | 1,620 | 52.7%853 W · 767 L | +57.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc376…6850backed HEROIC Academy | 46c | 432.98$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.98 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 398.36$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.65 | 4,038 | 48.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked HyperSpirit | 27c | 386$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.22 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9ff4…d731backed HEROIC Academy | 45c | 330$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$181.5 | 198 | 40.9%81 W · 117 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d6…e718backed HEROIC Academy | 47c | 312.11$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.95 | 52 | 53.8%28 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed HyperSpirit | 32c | 303$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.09 | 486 | 35.4%172 W · 314 L | -18.3wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9c74backed HyperSpirit | 33c | 300$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.5 | 640 | 46.3%296 W · 344 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…a5c9backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 283$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.99 | 231 | 46.3%107 W · 124 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed HyperSpirit | 44c | 252.51$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.2 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…2debbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 235.54$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 357 | 45.4%162 W · 195 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18f3…0c20backed HEROIC Academy | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 261 | 55.2%144 W · 117 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked HEROIC Academy | 71c | 171.25$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.14 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed HyperSpirit | 46c | 160$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4484…9defbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 159.2$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.72 | 94 | 45.7%43 W · 51 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed HEROIC Academy | 71c | 156.27$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 172 | 30.8%53 W · 119 L | -9.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1b47…d814backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 146.84$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.7 | 109 | 46.8%51 W · 58 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2b3c…9f22backed HyperSpirit | 57c | 144.63$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x14c8…c192backed HyperSpirit | 37c | 137.84$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 100 | 52%52 W · 48 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e31…0e6ebacked HEROIC Academy | 71c | 105.63$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.63 | 446 | 75.3%336 W · 110 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed HEROIC Academy | 74c | 102.11$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.44 | 380 | 37.4%142 W · 238 L | -14.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed HEROIC Academy | 45c | 96.89$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.69 | 773 | 51.2%396 W · 377 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56d6…4404backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 90$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.6 | 640 | 58.1%372 W · 268 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked HyperSpirit | 43c | 82$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.96 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed HEROIC Academy | 70c | 68$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.68 | 2,061 | 50.7%1,045 W · 1,016 L | -18.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked HEROIC Academy | 47c | 61.1$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.59 | 318 | 45.3%144 W · 174 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked HyperSpirit | 33c | 58.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9558…9579backed HyperSpirit | 51c | 56.58$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.63 | 62 | 40.3%25 W · 37 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked HyperSpirit | 50c | 56.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.18 | 581 | 49.2%286 W · 295 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e1c…35c6backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 56.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 214 | 54.2%116 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6df3…b8bebacked HEROIC Academy | 70c | 54.66$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.15 | 212 | 54.2%115 W · 97 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf474…2775backed HyperSpirit | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed HEROIC Academy | 47c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.75 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed HyperSpirit | 53c | 49.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.49 | 388 | 44.6%173 W · 215 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked HyperSpirit | 35c | 49.67$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked HEROIC Academy | 45c | 48.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 491 | 49.9%245 W · 246 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29c…1e43backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 37.28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 236 | 54.7%129 W · 107 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec8c…3bcdbacked HEROIC Academy | 42c | 36$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 351 | 31.1%109 W · 242 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29b5…cc6cbacked HEROIC Academy | 45c | 35.22$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 5,050 | 55.1%2,781 W · 2,269 L | +117.2wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed HEROIC Academy | 43c | 33.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 2,624 | 51.8%1,359 W · 1,265 L | +18.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked HyperSpirit | 31c | 33.61$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.42 | 600 | 32.3%194 W · 406 L | -49.7wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5f43…3a74backed HEROIC Academy | 44c | 32.9$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 659 | 46.6%307 W · 352 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5305…97fcbacked HyperSpirit | 66c | 28.61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed HEROIC Academy | 47c | 28.57$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 110 | 45.5%50 W · 60 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdca1…d96bbacked HEROIC Academy | 43c | 27.77$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad2c…4eecbacked HyperSpirit | 56c | 25.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.29 | 512 | 52.1%267 W · 245 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed HyperSpirit | 54c | 25.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1,003 | 55.7%559 W · 444 L | +24.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe53…2dbabacked HEROIC Academy | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 1,274 | 71.5%911 W · 363 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HEROIC Academy (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #4 Group Bthis page
- Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs HEROIC Academy - Map 2 WinnerHEROIC Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.