CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2a2e6d5368223d074d71a33eb0e984fbc7d0e773e2a43da03608735c819226b6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SPARTAof SPARTA, ex-Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,638
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,357
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,638 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 41 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SPARTA | 65c | 1,305$845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$459.59 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…aedebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 27c | 1,122$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 193 | 57%110 W · 83 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1186…0355backed SPARTA | 56c | 833$466 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$366.95 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9279…4748backed SPARTA | 78c | 516.54$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.74 | 190 | 57.9%110 W · 80 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed SPARTA | 63c | 392.25$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.3 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed ex-Young Ninjas | 42c | 338.1$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ae2…90afbacked SPARTA | 66c | 334.74$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.74 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 63cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed ex-Young Ninjas | 58c | 300$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.38 | 740 | 54.6%404 W · 336 L | +15.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 34c | 227$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.72 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-Young Ninjas | 36c | 225.78$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.73 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 224$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.56 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked SPARTA | 60c | 221.29$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.58 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7069…325bbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 43c | 211.97$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.15 | 946 | 45.8%433 W · 513 L | +18.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197f…7cc5backed ex-Young Ninjas | 48c | 205.18$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -6.2wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -27%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ex-Young Ninjas | 10c | 201$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.49 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed SPARTA | 57c | 184.39$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.39 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.25per pick | 43cpaid | -66.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x824a…3952backed ex-Young Ninjas | 37c | 182.99$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67 | 141 | 39.7%56 W · 85 L | -3.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 43c | 179$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.3 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed ex-Young Ninjas | 15c | 171.73$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed SPARTA | 74c | 168.67$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.69 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked ex-Young Ninjas | 23c | 164.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe660…514fbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 33c | 146.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 99 | 38.4%38 W · 61 L | -8.6wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…bf81backed SPARTA | 62c | 117.76$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.75 | 351 | 48.1%169 W · 182 L | -13.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x267c…5bfdbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 29c | 111.69$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.39 | 179 | 55.3%99 W · 80 L | +11.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbfda…5504backed SPARTA | 50c | 111$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.5 | 251 | 42.6%107 W · 144 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa371…eaa5backed ex-Young Ninjas | 49c | 105.57$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 153 | 47.1%72 W · 81 L | -6.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 100$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.28 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa02…8b07backed ex-Young Ninjas | 50c | 99.82$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 497 | 66.8%332 W · 165 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x989e…6529backed ex-Young Ninjas | 43c | 93.02$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 130 | 40%52 W · 78 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x203a…935fbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 49c | 81.76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 284 | 54.9%156 W · 128 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b94…ab4ebacked SPARTA | 79c | 75.95$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.95 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf679…2d3dbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 22c | 68.18$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9454…9abcbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 102 | 54.9%56 W · 46 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97ee…1f82backed ex-Young Ninjas | 40c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 79 | 38%30 W · 49 L | -10.5wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked SPARTA | 58c | 48.23$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.17 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed ex-Young Ninjas | 48c | 43.98$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.07 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed SPARTA | 74c | 35.06$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.04 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed SPARTA | 56c | 22.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.93 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked SPARTA | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked SPARTA | 60c | 18.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.45 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked SPARTA | 57c | 17.67$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerex-Young Ninjas won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ex-Young Ninjas (+1.5)ex-Young Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.