CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd05ae29cc442e2f970b17a2892b6e4f84c9b105a366841be8a3a320732215b7b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ex-Young Ninjasof SPARTA, ex-Young Ninjas
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,421
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1186…0355backed SPARTA | 59c | 1,349$797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$796.65 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed ex-Young Ninjas | 52c | 1,341$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$638.59 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed ex-Young Ninjas | 48c | 1,103$532 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$571.06 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed SPARTA | 59c | 780$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.1 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 45c | 713.04$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.35 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed SPARTA | 61c | 577.68$352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$352.36 | 2,326 | 45.1%1,049 W · 1,277 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x17e2…d472backed SPARTA | 38c | 543.92$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.69 | 266 | 24.4%65 W · 201 L | -26.9wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f1…8680backed SPARTA | 66c | 520$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 2,522 | 43%1,085 W · 1,437 L | +42.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 42c | 404.02$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.33 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed SPARTA | 63c | 401.22$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.43 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae22…3ab3backed ex-Young Ninjas | 36c | 400$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 41 | 51.2%21 W · 20 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 39cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8b6a…9fb9backed ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 370$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.3 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dea…e294backed SPARTA | 58c | 329.99$191 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.4 | 358 | 48.3%173 W · 185 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4114…f750backed SPARTA | 58c | 313.6$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.19 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -3.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked ex-Young Ninjas | 42c | 265.86$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.57 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed SPARTA | 24c | 259.99$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24a…8382backed SPARTA | 58c | 240$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.1 | 142 | 48.6%69 W · 73 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed SPARTA | 45c | 220$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.77 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed SPARTA | 29c | 168.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.51 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 36c | 168$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.11 | 919 | 45.8%421 W · 498 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fa…7f62backed SPARTA | 65c | 154.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 335 | 53.4%179 W · 156 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed SPARTA | 62c | 149.99$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.99 | 619 | 48%297 W · 322 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9b…7a35backed ex-Young Ninjas | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 49 | 40.8%20 W · 29 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed SPARTA | 23c | 120$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed SPARTA | 52c | 112.48$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -14.7wins | -0.11per pick | 49cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed ex-Young Ninjas | 53c | 110$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.8 | 120 | 49.2%59 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xece5…6de0backed SPARTA | 49c | 110$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.9 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed SPARTA | 47c | 100$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 99$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 2,349 | 42.5%998 W · 1,351 L | -72.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked SPARTA | 39c | 92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.22 | 1,591 | 46.6%741 W · 850 L | +30.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed ex-Young Ninjas | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked ex-Young Ninjas | 41c | 89$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.28 | 1,848 | 41.7%770 W · 1,078 L | -69.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked SPARTA | 19c | 88.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.7 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed ex-Young Ninjas | 53c | 73.4$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.85 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59d8…ad87backed ex-Young Ninjas | 33c | 58.02$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.87 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ac…7deebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 52c | 57.92$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.82 | 431 | 52.9%228 W · 203 L | +26.6wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed SPARTA | 50c | 53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.27 | 1,083 | 42.1%456 W · 627 L | -13.5wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6cd…e027backed SPARTA | 48c | 40$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 489 | 43.6%213 W · 276 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf1…d7febacked ex-Young Ninjas | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 238 | 35.3%84 W · 154 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc8…e209backed ex-Young Ninjas | 76c | 39.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.47 | 67 | 41.8%28 W · 39 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32e5…ee75backed SPARTA | 47c | 39$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed ex-Young Ninjas | 40c | 38.47$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.99 | 488 | 51.8%253 W · 235 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e2f…f9babacked SPARTA | 60c | 37.58$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.37 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3aa4…1211backed SPARTA | 68c | 36.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 62cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed SPARTA | 58c | 36.28$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 406 | 66.3%269 W · 137 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb77…fbeebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 46c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.9 | 231 | 56.3%130 W · 101 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x505f…645ebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 49c | 35$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 2,604 | 52.6%1,371 W · 1,233 L | +98.0wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed SPARTA | 60c | 33.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.04 | 610 | 54.9%335 W · 275 L | +10.1wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b9d…3373backed ex-Young Ninjas | 36c | 31.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde55…1d2abacked SPARTA | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 60%54 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked SPARTA | 62c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.7 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked SPARTA | 45c | 29.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.27 | 597 | 3%18 W · 579 L | -221.0wins | -0.37per pick | 40cpaid | -90.7%equal weight | 11-0.36 edge/pick |
| 0x212b…0ba5backed ex-Young Ninjas | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.32 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -3.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed SPARTA | 47c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked ex-Young Ninjas | 43c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.25 | 1,630 | 43.2%704 W · 926 L | -32.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked SPARTA | 52c | 23.47$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cc…7262backed ex-Young Ninjas | 58c | 22.25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 42 | 54.8%23 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cdf…58e1backed ex-Young Ninjas | 76c | 19.73$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.74 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb16c…4ceabacked SPARTA | 61c | 19.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 157 | 56.1%88 W · 69 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #6 Group StageSPARTA won
- Counter-Strike: SPARTA vs ex-Young Ninjas - Map 2 WinnerSPARTA won
- Map Handicap: SPARTA (-1.5) vs ex-Young Ninjas (+1.5)ex-Young Ninjas won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.